Shiba Inu Faces 90% Decline and Supply Crisis
- High Investment Risk: Shiba Inu, which delivered a staggering 45,278,000% return in 2021, has since declined 66% in 2025 and is now down 90% from its peak, highlighting its characteristics as a highly speculative token.
- Lack of Use Cases: The token has failed to establish effective use cases, resulting in a lack of widespread acceptance as a payment solution, and it hasn't set a new high in nearly five years, negatively impacting its value stability.
- Severe Supply Issues: With a total supply of 589.2 trillion tokens and a current market cap of $4.9 billion, achieving a price of $1 per token would unrealistically inflate its market cap to $589.2 trillion, far exceeding the combined worth of the S&P 500.
- Slow Token Burn Progress: Although the community is attempting to increase the price through token burns, only 110 million tokens were burned last month, leading to an annualized burn rate of 1.3 billion, indicating that it would take 453,230 years to burn 589 trillion tokens, making the $1 target nearly impossible.
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Robinhood's Stock Performance: Robinhood's stock has been closely tracking Bitcoin's price movements, raising concerns among investors about its volatility and exposure to the cryptocurrency market.
Surge in Crypto Trading Revenue: The company reported a more than 300% year-over-year increase in crypto trading revenue, reaching $268 million in the third quarter, highlighting its sensitivity to fluctuations in cryptocurrency prices.
Investor Sentiment: Despite recent price rebounds, investor sentiment around Robinhood remains extremely bullish, with the stock trading at $84.40 after hours, up from $82.82 at market close.
Speculation on Bitcoin Purchases: There are unconfirmed reports suggesting that former President Donald Trump may have bought Bitcoin for a U.S. strategic reserve at around $60,000, although U.S. officials have not confirmed any new government purchases of Bitcoin.

Initial BTC Price Drop: Arthur Hayes suggested that the recent drop in Bitcoin (BTC) prices may have originated from traders hedging against the BlackRock Bitcoin Spot ETF structure.
Future Plans for Analysis: Hayes plans to systematically compile a list of relevant notes issued by major banks to better identify key trigger points that could lead to significant price fluctuations.

Whale Activity: A significant transaction involving 19,896 USD Coin (USDC) was made by a large holder, often referred to as a "whale."
Investment Strategy: The whale added the USDC to their existing positions in Ethereum (ETH) and Hyperliquid (HYPE), indicating a strategic investment move.
New Position: In addition to the USDC transaction, the whale opened a new long position in Bitcoin (BTC).
Market Implications: Such activities by large holders can influence market trends and investor sentiment in the cryptocurrency space.

Market Pressure on Cryptocurrencies: The cryptocurrency market has faced significant pressure due to broader risk asset weaknesses, with Bitcoin dropping 8% to $67,149 and spot gold falling 2.4% to $4,847.71.
Institutional Withdrawals Impacting Bitcoin: Deutche Bank analysts noted that the decline in cryptocurrencies is largely driven by heavy withdrawals from institutional ETFs, which have recorded billions in outflows since October 2025.
Bitcoin's Long-Term Appeal Strengthens: Despite recent declines, Bitcoin's long-term appeal relative to gold has strengthened, driven by gold's recent volatility and a widening divergence between the two assets.
Significant Market Cap Needed for Bitcoin: Analysts suggest that Bitcoin's market cap would need to reach approximately $266,000 to match private-sector investment in gold, estimated at around $8 trillion, although this is considered unrealistic in the near term.

Bessenet's Authority on Bitcoin Purchases: U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessenet stated he lacks the authority to direct U.S. banks or taxpayer funds to purchase Bitcoin or Trump coins, emphasizing that the government will retain seized Bitcoin linked to criminal activities.
Estimates on Stablecoins: Standard Chartered estimated that dollar-backed stablecoins could draw nearly $500 billion in deposits from U.S. banks by the end of 2028, highlighting the growing interest in stable digital currencies.
Bitcoin Market Pressure: Bitcoin has faced significant selling pressure, declining nearly 3% to $73,503, and has dropped over 26% in the past year, reflecting ongoing volatility in the cryptocurrency market.
Disputes Over Stablecoins: A recent White House meeting aimed to resolve ongoing disputes between major U.S. banks and cryptocurrency firms regarding the regulatory framework for stablecoins, with concerns raised about potential financial stability risks associated with incentives for deposits.
Market Decline: U.S. listed cryptocurrency stocks have experienced a significant drop, reflecting broader market trends.
Bitcoin Performance: Bitcoin has fallen by 2.7%, contributing to the overall decline in cryptocurrency values.





