<Research>CLSA Expects NONGFU SPRING's Interim Rev. to Grow 15%, U-PRESID CHINA's NP to Soar 26%
Chinese Beverage Stocks Performance: CLSA's report indicates that NONGFU SPRING and U-PRESID CHINA are expected to show significant revenue growth in 1H25, while TINGYI and CR BEVERAGE are projected to experience declines due to market challenges and pricing strategies.
Investment Ratings and Target Prices: CR BEVERAGE is rated as "Outperform" with a target price of HKD14.2, while TINGYI has been downgraded to "Hold" with a reduced target price of HKD12.2, reflecting the varying outlooks for these companies.
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Stock Performance: Several stocks experienced declines, with CATL dropping 3.44% and BABA-W down 1.57%, while some stocks like WUXI APPTEC and Luckin Coffee saw gains.
Short Selling Activity: High short selling ratios were noted for multiple companies, including NETEASE MUSIC at 32.83% and SHENZHOU INTL at 34.31%, indicating significant bearish sentiment.
Market Predictions: Analysts from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley provided forecasts, predicting weak construction activity in China's housing market and potential upside for metal stocks driven by ESS demand.
Overall Market Trends: The overall market showed mixed results, with some stocks facing pressure while others managed to gain, reflecting a volatile trading environment.

China's Economic Transition: Under the "15th Five-Year Plan," China is shifting towards an AI and high-tech manufacturing era, focusing on private enterprise and presenting significant growth opportunities, as highlighted by a Jefferies research report.
Investment Themes for 2026: Jefferies identified five key investment themes for 2026, including high-growth technology stocks, companies with upwardly revised earnings forecasts, and those with sustainable yields and buyback programs.
Recommended Stocks: The report suggests various Hong Kong-listed companies for investment, such as TENCENT, ICBC, and WUXI APPTEC, based on their growth potential and financial metrics.
Focus on A-Shares and ROIC: Attention is also directed towards A-shares that may list in Hong Kong and stocks with high Return on Invested Capital (ROIC), while advising against those whose ROIC has peaked.

Financial Performance: U-PRESID CHINA reported a net profit growth of 8% YoY to RMB726 million in 3Q25, falling short of market expectations for double-digit growth, with revenue remaining flat YoY.
Segment Performance: The food segment experienced low- to mid-single-digit growth, while the beverage segment saw a decline, highlighting ongoing challenges in the competitive landscape.
OEM Business Growth: The OEM business achieved triple-digit growth, indicating potential despite the company's struggles with competition and execution risks related to its growth strategy.
Analyst Ratings and Valuation: CLSA and G Sachs have lowered their target prices for U-PRESID CHINA, maintaining a Neutral rating, while the company's dividend yield of 6.5% is noted as increasingly attractive amidst a reasonable risk-reward valuation.
Stock Performance: Various Hong Kong stocks showed mixed performance, with CCB and CNOOC experiencing gains, while HSBC and SITC saw declines.
Short Selling Data: Significant short selling activity was noted across multiple stocks, with PetroChina having the highest short selling ratio at 31.571%.
Projected Dividend Yields: The projected dividend yields for the listed stocks range from 5.3% to 8.1%, indicating potential returns for investors.
Related News: BOCI has raised PetroChina's target price to HKD8.83 following a strong performance in their 3Q earnings report.
Sales Growth and Market Expectations: U-PRESID CHINA experienced a slowdown in its 3Q25 sales growth, remaining flat year-over-year, which aligns with market expectations amid increased competition and subsidies from food delivery platforms.
Management's Sales Target: Despite ongoing pressure on its beverage business, U-PRESID CHINA's management has maintained its full-year sales growth target at 6-8%.
Profit Performance: The company's post-tax profit for the first three quarters of 2025 surged by 23.1% year-over-year, reaching RMB2.01 billion.
Target Price Adjustment: CLSA has reduced its target price for U-PRESID CHINA from HKD10.5 to HKD10, while still maintaining an Outperform rating.

Company Performance: U-PRESID CHINA reported a 23.1% year-on-year increase in its unaudited post-tax profit for the nine months ending September 30, 2025, reaching RMB2.01 billion.
Stock Information: The company's stock (00220.HK) experienced a slight increase of 0.336%, with a short selling amount of $3.28 million and a short selling ratio of 7.428%.







