<Research>BOCI Forecasts Positive Start for CN Auto Sector This Year, but Anticipates Destocking Phase in Q1
New Subsidy Policy: The State Council has announced a subsidy policy for 2026 aimed at renewing large-scale equipment and promoting trade-ins for autos, home appliances, and digital products, with optimizations for better efficiency.
Impact on Auto Sector: Early implementation of subsidy details is expected to positively influence the auto sector's performance in 2026, despite potential destocking challenges due to high inventory levels at the end of 2025.
Stock Performance Insights: Stocks of LI AUTO, XIAOMI, and NIO are projected to be less affected by the subsidy adjustments, while companies like BYD, LEAPMOTOR, CHERY AUTO, and GEELY may face negative impacts due to lower pricing.
Market Reactions: The report includes short selling data for various stocks, indicating market sentiment and potential investor concerns regarding the upcoming subsidy changes and their effects on different automotive brands.
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JPM Cuts LI AUTO-W Rating to Underweight; Recommends GEELY AUTO and SINOTRUK as Top Choices
Market Outlook: JP Morgan predicts the Chinese automobile market will experience a mixed performance in 2023, with potential negative growth similar to 2018, but also volatility driven by new model releases and seasonal trends akin to 2025.
Top Picks: The broker's top stock picks include GEELY AUTO and SINOTRUK, while they see potential in BYD COMPANY, LEAPMOTOR, XPENG-W, and NIO for future positioning.
Investment Ratings: JP Morgan has assigned various investment ratings and target prices for several automobile stocks, with BYD COMPANY and SINOTRUK rated as "Overweight," while LI AUTO-W has been downgraded to "Underweight."
Short Selling Data: The report includes short selling data for the stocks mentioned, indicating varying levels of market sentiment and potential risks associated with each stock.
<Research>CLSA: Rising Costs Squeeze Automaker Profits; BYD and Leapmotor More Resilient to Pressure
Impact of Commodity Prices: Rising commodity prices are creating challenges for automakers, potentially leading to industry consolidation and adjustments in pricing strategies, as highlighted by CLSA's research report.
Cost Increases: Raw material costs are expected to raise the average cost per vehicle by approximately RMB3,000, driven by increases in lithium carbonate, memory chips, and non-ferrous metals.
Vertical Integration Advantage: Automakers with higher vertical integration, like BYD, or those with significant external auto part sales, such as LEAPMOTOR, are better positioned to manage the cost pressures from rising raw material prices.
EV Market Dynamics: Geely Auto is emerging as a strong competitor in the electric vehicle sector, while the Chinese automotive industry is undergoing consolidation, with market share increasingly concentrated among tier 1 OEMs.
Citi Anticipates Higher Commodity Prices Will Favor Basic Materials While Straining Auto and Mid-Tier Battery Firms
Commodity Price Impact: Commodity prices have risen significantly, benefiting the basic materials sector in China, particularly suppliers of aluminum, copper, and lithium, with positive ratings for companies like CHALCO and MMG.
Automakers Under Pressure: Rising material costs are expected to increase the production costs for mass-market electric vehicles, with smaller automakers like XPENG and GAC GROUP being more vulnerable compared to larger firms like BYD and Geely.
Battery Industry Outlook: Short-term challenges are anticipated for second-tier battery companies, while CATL is expected to maintain a strong position due to its bargaining power and upcoming production resumption.
Tech Sector Challenges: Xiaomi may face margin pressures from increasing memory costs, which significantly impact the bill of materials for its smartphones, potentially affecting profitability.
HSI Drops 304 Points at Midday; AIA Plummets Nearly 5% Amid Weak Financials
Market Performance: The HSI fell 304 points (1.1%) to 26,580, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also experiencing declines, while total market turnover reached HKD139.462 billion.
Financial Stocks Decline: Major financial stocks like HSBC, AIA, and Standard Chartered saw significant drops, with short selling ratios indicating increased market pressure.
Tech Stocks Movement: Tech stocks such as Meituan, Tencent, and Alibaba faced losses, while some companies like Bilibili and Kuaishou also reported declines in their stock prices.
Carmakers Rally: In contrast to the overall market, car manufacturers like Geely, BYD, and NIO experienced gains, with notable increases in their stock prices amidst the downturn.
HSI Declines by 530 Points or 2%; Commodities Under Pressure; AIA and BIDU-SW Drop 4%
Market Overview: The HSI opened 530 points lower at 26,354, with significant declines in the HSCEI and HSTECH, reflecting a broader downturn in the market.
Commodity Stocks Performance: Gold and silver stocks, including CHINAGOLDINTL and SD GOLD, started low amid commodity market fluctuations, with notable short selling activity.
Tech Sector Decline: Major tech stocks like Meituan-W, Tencent, and Alibaba experienced declines, with Meituan-W also announcing an acquisition of a grocery e-commerce company.
Financial Sector Impact: Financial stocks such as HSBC and AIA opened lower, reflecting a negative trend in the sector, alongside a general decline in the Hong Kong stock market.
Zeekr 9X Exceeds 30,000 Deliveries as Production of Key Components Increases
Zeekr 9X Deliveries: Zeekr has announced that total deliveries of the Zeekr 9X have exceeded 30,000 units, driven by increasing customer enthusiasm since its launch.
Production Progress: The company has made significant progress in ramping up production for certain components, thanks to collaboration with supply chain partners.
Market Context: CLSA has predicted that overall auto sales in China will remain sluggish in February, indicating a weak performance for the industry in the first quarter.
Short Selling Data: As of February 4, 2026, short selling for GEELY AUTO stands at $101.29 million, with a ratio of 20.625%.
JPM Cuts LI AUTO-W Rating to Underweight; Recommends GEELY AUTO and SINOTRUK as Top Choices
Market Outlook: JP Morgan predicts the Chinese automobile market will experience a mixed performance in 2023, with potential negative growth similar to 2018, but also volatility driven by new model releases and seasonal trends akin to 2025.
Top Picks: The broker's top stock picks include GEELY AUTO and SINOTRUK, while they see potential in BYD COMPANY, LEAPMOTOR, XPENG-W, and NIO for future positioning.
Investment Ratings: JP Morgan has assigned various investment ratings and target prices for several automobile stocks, with BYD COMPANY and SINOTRUK rated as "Overweight," while LI AUTO-W has been downgraded to "Underweight."
Short Selling Data: The report includes short selling data for the stocks mentioned, indicating varying levels of market sentiment and potential risks associated with each stock.
<Research>CLSA: Rising Costs Squeeze Automaker Profits; BYD and Leapmotor More Resilient to Pressure
Impact of Commodity Prices: Rising commodity prices are creating challenges for automakers, potentially leading to industry consolidation and adjustments in pricing strategies, as highlighted by CLSA's research report.
Cost Increases: Raw material costs are expected to raise the average cost per vehicle by approximately RMB3,000, driven by increases in lithium carbonate, memory chips, and non-ferrous metals.
Vertical Integration Advantage: Automakers with higher vertical integration, like BYD, or those with significant external auto part sales, such as LEAPMOTOR, are better positioned to manage the cost pressures from rising raw material prices.
EV Market Dynamics: Geely Auto is emerging as a strong competitor in the electric vehicle sector, while the Chinese automotive industry is undergoing consolidation, with market share increasingly concentrated among tier 1 OEMs.
Citi Anticipates Higher Commodity Prices Will Favor Basic Materials While Straining Auto and Mid-Tier Battery Firms
Commodity Price Impact: Commodity prices have risen significantly, benefiting the basic materials sector in China, particularly suppliers of aluminum, copper, and lithium, with positive ratings for companies like CHALCO and MMG.
Automakers Under Pressure: Rising material costs are expected to increase the production costs for mass-market electric vehicles, with smaller automakers like XPENG and GAC GROUP being more vulnerable compared to larger firms like BYD and Geely.
Battery Industry Outlook: Short-term challenges are anticipated for second-tier battery companies, while CATL is expected to maintain a strong position due to its bargaining power and upcoming production resumption.
Tech Sector Challenges: Xiaomi may face margin pressures from increasing memory costs, which significantly impact the bill of materials for its smartphones, potentially affecting profitability.
HSI Drops 304 Points at Midday; AIA Plummets Nearly 5% Amid Weak Financials
Market Performance: The HSI fell 304 points (1.1%) to 26,580, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also experiencing declines, while total market turnover reached HKD139.462 billion.
Financial Stocks Decline: Major financial stocks like HSBC, AIA, and Standard Chartered saw significant drops, with short selling ratios indicating increased market pressure.
Tech Stocks Movement: Tech stocks such as Meituan, Tencent, and Alibaba faced losses, while some companies like Bilibili and Kuaishou also reported declines in their stock prices.
Carmakers Rally: In contrast to the overall market, car manufacturers like Geely, BYD, and NIO experienced gains, with notable increases in their stock prices amidst the downturn.
HSI Declines by 530 Points or 2%; Commodities Under Pressure; AIA and BIDU-SW Drop 4%
Market Overview: The HSI opened 530 points lower at 26,354, with significant declines in the HSCEI and HSTECH, reflecting a broader downturn in the market.
Commodity Stocks Performance: Gold and silver stocks, including CHINAGOLDINTL and SD GOLD, started low amid commodity market fluctuations, with notable short selling activity.
Tech Sector Decline: Major tech stocks like Meituan-W, Tencent, and Alibaba experienced declines, with Meituan-W also announcing an acquisition of a grocery e-commerce company.
Financial Sector Impact: Financial stocks such as HSBC and AIA opened lower, reflecting a negative trend in the sector, alongside a general decline in the Hong Kong stock market.
Zeekr 9X Exceeds 30,000 Deliveries as Production of Key Components Increases
Zeekr 9X Deliveries: Zeekr has announced that total deliveries of the Zeekr 9X have exceeded 30,000 units, driven by increasing customer enthusiasm since its launch.
Production Progress: The company has made significant progress in ramping up production for certain components, thanks to collaboration with supply chain partners.
Market Context: CLSA has predicted that overall auto sales in China will remain sluggish in February, indicating a weak performance for the industry in the first quarter.
Short Selling Data: As of February 4, 2026, short selling for GEELY AUTO stands at $101.29 million, with a ratio of 20.625%.
