Quantum Capital Reduces Landstar Stake by 61,397 Shares, Valued at $12.83 Million
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 31 2025
0mins
Should l Buy LSTR?
Source: Fool
- Stake Reduction: Quantum Capital Management reduced its stake in Landstar System by 61,397 shares in Q3 2025, resulting in an estimated value decrease of approximately $12.83 million, indicating a cautious outlook on the company's future performance.
- Ownership Proportion Shift: Following this reduction, Landstar now represents only 4% of Quantum's reportable AUM, reflecting a diminished relative importance in the investment portfolio that may affect market focus on the company.
- Market Performance: As of November 12, 2025, Landstar shares were priced at $130.43, down 29.9% year-over-year and underperforming the S&P 500 by 45 percentage points, highlighting significant market pressures faced by the company.
- Shareholder Returns: Despite these challenges, Landstar plans to pay a special dividend of $2 per share on January 21, 2026, demonstrating management's confidence in the company's cash flow and commitment to returning value to shareholders.
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Analyst Views on LSTR
Wall Street analysts forecast LSTR stock price to fall over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for LSTR is 148.55 USD with a low forecast of 130.00 USD and a high forecast of 170.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
11 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 161.390
Low
130.00
Averages
148.55
High
170.00
Current: 161.390
Low
130.00
Averages
148.55
High
170.00
About LSTR
Landstar System, Inc. is a technology-enabled, asset-light provider of integrated transportation management solutions delivering transportation services to a range of customers utilizing a network of agents, third-party capacity providers and employees. It operates through two segments. The Transportation logistics segment provides a range of integrated transportation management solutions. Transportation services of the Company include truckload, less-than-truckload and other truck transportation, rail intermodal, air cargo, ocean cargo, expedited ground and air delivery of time-critical freight, heavy-haul/specialized, cold chain/temperature-controlled, United States (U.S)-Canada and U.S.-Mexico cross-border, intra-Mexico, intra-Canada, project cargo and customs brokerage. The Insurance segment consists of Signature Insurance Company and Risk Management Claim Services, Inc. The insurance segment provides risk and claims management services to certain Landstars Operating Subsidiaries.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Performance Overview: The ClearBridge Small Cap Strategy underperformed the Russell 2000 Index in Q4 2025, yet achieved positive absolute performance, indicating resilience and potential investment value amidst market volatility.
- New Investment Positions: The strategy initiated a new position in Landstar System (LSTR) during the quarter, while also adding to its stakes in Interparfums (IPAR) and Signet Jewelers (SIG), reflecting optimism about their future growth potential.
- Portfolio Diversification: Additionally, the strategy established new positions in Solstice Advanced Materials (SOLS), Upwork (UPWK), OPENLANE (OPLN), and Arlo Technologies (ARLO), further diversifying its portfolio to adapt to market changes.
- Exit Strategy: The fund exited positions in several companies, including Alexander & Baldwin (ALEX) and Avidity Biosciences (RNA), demonstrating its ability to dynamically adjust the portfolio to optimize overall performance.
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- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: Landstar System has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.40 per share, payable on March 11, indicating the company's ongoing ability to maintain stable cash flows.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 1.04% reflects the company's commitment to shareholder returns in the current economic environment, enhancing investor confidence.
- Record Date for Shareholders: The record date for the dividend is set for February 18, with the ex-dividend date also on February 18, ensuring eligible shareholders receive their payouts promptly.
- Financial Health Indicator: This dividend announcement aligns with Landstar System's financial performance in Q4 2025, showcasing strong financial resilience despite potential recession risks.
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- Heavy Haul Revenue Record: Landstar achieved a new revenue record of $569 million in its heavy haul segment for fiscal 2025, reflecting a 14% year-over-year increase, which underscores the company's ability to grow even in economic downturns, enhancing its competitive position.
- Increased Technology Investment: The company plans to allocate approximately 50% of its IT CapEx budget for 2026 to AI enablement and solutions, which not only boosts operational efficiency but also lays the groundwork for future business growth.
- Sustained Shareholder Returns: Over the past two years, Landstar returned approximately $261 million to shareholders through share repurchases and $245 million in cash dividends, demonstrating a strong commitment to capital returns and bolstering investor confidence.
- Rising Insurance Cost Pressure: In Q4 of fiscal 2025, insurance and claims costs rose to $56.1 million, primarily due to accident-related charges and increased reserves, posing challenges to the company's financial performance and necessitating attention to future risk management.
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- Earnings Announcement: Landstar System is set to release its Q4 earnings on January 28, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.02, reflecting a 22.1% year-over-year decline, indicating significant pressure on profitability.
- Revenue Decline: The anticipated revenue of $1.18 billion for Q4 represents a 2.5% year-over-year decrease, highlighting sales challenges amid an economic slowdown, which may impact investor confidence moving forward.
- Earnings Performance: Over the past year, Landstar has only beaten EPS estimates 25% of the time and revenue estimates 50% of the time, showcasing instability in its earnings performance that could lead to cautious market sentiment.
- Estimate Revisions: In the last three months, there have been no upward revisions to EPS estimates, with 7 downward adjustments, and similarly, revenue estimates saw no upward revisions and 5 downward adjustments, reflecting a generally pessimistic outlook from analysts regarding the company's future performance.
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- Positive Economic Data: Initial jobless claims rose by 1,000 to 200,000, lower than the expected 209,000, indicating resilience in the labor market and boosting investor confidence in economic recovery.
- GDP Revision Upward: Q3 GDP growth was revised up by 0.1 percentage points to 4.4%, exceeding the market expectation of 4.3%, suggesting strong economic momentum that could drive further stock market gains.
- Surge in Natural Gas Prices: Natural gas prices increased by over 8%, reaching a three-year high due to a cold front raising heating demand, which is expected to positively impact natural gas producers and boost related stocks.
- Strong Performance in Tech Stocks: Chipmakers and AI infrastructure stocks led the rally, with ARM Holdings and Microchip Technology rising over 5% and 3% respectively, reflecting strong market demand for tech stocks and potentially significant returns for investors.
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- Volume Decline: The Cass Freight Index reported a 7.2% month-over-month drop in shipments for December, with a year-over-year decline of 7.5%, indicating softness in the freight market despite stabilizing prices, highlighting industry challenges.
- Elevated Expenditures: Although expenditures fell by 1.9% month-over-month in December and only 0.6% year-over-year, this reflects persistent high freight costs that have not decreased as much as shipment volumes, following significant increases in 2021 and 2022.
- Truckload Index Recovery: The Cass Truckload Linehaul Index rose by 1.0% month-over-month in December and posted a 1.8% increase for 2025, recovering from declines of 10% in 2023 and 3.4% in 2024, indicating gradual market recovery.
- Future Demand Outlook: Cass Information Systems suggests that after significant destocking in Q4, a favorable Supreme Court ruling on IEEPA tariffs could act as a positive catalyst for freight demand moving forward.
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