PENN Entertainment Inc is Currently Oversold (PENN)
PENN Entertainment's Stock Performance: PENN Entertainment Inc's shares have entered oversold territory with an RSI of 29.9, trading as low as $13.465 per share, compared to the S&P 500 ETF's RSI of 56.0.
Potential Buying Opportunity: The low RSI reading may indicate that the recent heavy selling is nearing exhaustion, suggesting potential entry points for bullish investors.
52-Week Range: PENN's stock has a 52-week low of $13.2437 and a high of $23.08, with the last trade recorded at $13.55.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.
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- Market Opportunity: Crypto.com has launched the OG predictions app to capitalize on Super Bowl LX, the largest gambling event in the U.S., where Americans are expected to wager $1.76 billion legally, thus seizing a significant market opportunity.
- Significant Business Growth: CEO Kris Marszalek reported a roughly 40-fold week-over-week growth in the company's event contracts business over the past six months, indicating strong demand and growth potential in the prediction market sector.
- Intensifying Competitive Landscape: Despite the favorable timing for the OG app launch, the implied probability of Crypto.com advertising during the Super Bowl is only 15%, reflecting the NFL's prohibition of prediction markets in its advertising, which complicates user acquisition efforts.
- Innovative Financial Engineering: The partnership with Trump Media has expanded into a dedicated treasury vehicle, set to trade publicly under the ticker MCGA via a merger with Yorkville Acquisition Corp, providing investors with a unique proxy to engage with the Crypto.com ecosystem.
- Gaming Sector Outlook: BofA analyst Shaun C. Kelley noted that despite softer trends in Las Vegas, regional casinos, and Asia, online sports betting remains the focal point for investors in 2026, indicating market uncertainty.
- Earnings Forecast Update: Kelley updated forecasts for Las Vegas, regional casinos, and Macau, highlighting that gaming stocks fell about 9% in Q4, with U.S. operators down roughly 4%, Macau stocks off 13%, and digital gaming stocks plummeting 23%.
- Diverging Performance in Las Vegas: Although Kelley’s Q4 estimates are modestly below market expectations, Las Vegas locals are performing well, with BofA's estimates exceeding consensus, indicating potential resilience in the regional market.
- Regional Market Trends: In Macau, Kelley expects Q4 EBITDA to align with market expectations, driven by strong performance from MGM China, while Singapore's Marina Bay Sands may modestly outperform due to the F1 event, showcasing diverging trends in regional markets.
- High Occupancy Rate: Realty Income, with over 15,500 commercial properties, achieved a 98.7% occupancy rate in the latest quarter, indicating its ability to attract tenants amid economic uncertainty, thereby ensuring stable rental income and shareholder returns.
- Stable Dividend Yield: The company has raised its dividend 132 times since its IPO, currently offering a forward yield of 5.3%, with expected AFFO per share growth to $4.25-$4.27 by 2025, comfortably covering its $3.22 dividend payout.
- Diversified Tenant Base: Vici Properties, owning 93 entertainment venues, maintains a 100% occupancy rate by locking tenants into long-term leases tied to the Consumer Price Index, ensuring stable cash flow even during economic fluctuations.
- Data Center Growth Potential: Digital Realty expects its core FFO per share to rise 8%-9% to $7.25-$7.30 by 2025, and while its current yield is about 3%, its expansion in cloud and AI markets positions it as a solid long-term investment.
- REIT Market Recovery: With the Fed cutting rates six times in a row in 2024 and 2025, the attractiveness of Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) is rising again, likely drawing in more income-driven investors and driving up valuations.
- Realty Income's Strong Performance: Realty Income, owning over 15,500 commercial properties, reported a 98.7% occupancy rate in the latest quarter and expects its adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) to grow 1%-2% to $4.25-$4.27 per share in 2025, ensuring its $3.22 per share dividend payment.
- Vici Properties' Rent Growth: Vici Properties has maintained a 100% occupancy rate since its 2018 IPO and expects its AFFO per share to rise 4%-5% to $2.36-$2.37 in 2025, supporting its $1.80 per share dividend, showcasing strong resilience against economic headwinds.
- Digital Realty's Recovery Outlook: Despite a decline in AFFO over the past four years, Digital Realty anticipates an 8%-9% growth in core FFO to $7.25-$7.30 per share in 2025, with occupancy rates expected to rise to 84.9%-85.9%, securing its $4.88 per share dividend.
- Put Contract Yield: The current bid for the $14 put contract is 85 cents, and if an investor sells-to-open this contract, they commit to buying shares at $14, effectively lowering their cost basis to $13.15, which represents a 4% discount compared to the current stock price of $14.63, making it an attractive option for potential PENN investors.
- Expiration Risk Assessment: Current analytics suggest a 63% chance that the put contract will expire worthless, and if it does, the premium would yield a 6.07% return on cash commitment, equating to an annualized return of 36.93%, highlighting the potential appeal of this investment strategy.
- Call Contract Returns: The $15 call contract has a current bid of 96 cents, and if an investor buys PENN shares at $14.63 and sells this call, they could achieve a total return of 9.09% if the stock is called away at the February 2026 expiration, providing an additional profit opportunity.
- Market Volatility Analysis: Both the put and call contracts exhibit an implied volatility of approximately 51%, while the actual trailing twelve-month volatility stands at 50%, indicating market expectations for price fluctuations in PENN stock, which investors should monitor to optimize their investment decisions.
PENN Entertainment's Stock Performance: PENN Entertainment Inc's shares have entered oversold territory with an RSI of 29.9, trading as low as $13.465 per share, compared to the S&P 500 ETF's RSI of 56.0.
Potential Buying Opportunity: The low RSI reading may indicate that the recent heavy selling is nearing exhaustion, suggesting potential entry points for bullish investors.
52-Week Range: PENN's stock has a 52-week low of $13.2437 and a high of $23.08, with the last trade recorded at $13.55.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of Nasdaq, Inc.











