Oxford Economics: AI Job Cuts Narrative May Be Overstated, 55,000 Cuts in 2025
- AI Job Cut Figures: According to Oxford Economics, nearly 55,000 U.S. job cuts were attributed to AI in the first 11 months of 2025, accounting for 75% of all reported AI-related layoffs, yet this represents only 4.5% of total job losses during the same period, highlighting the relative limitation of AI layoffs in the broader employment context.
- Impact of Economic Factors: While AI-related layoffs attract significant media attention, job losses due to market and economic conditions exceeded 245,000, indicating that traditional economic factors have a more pronounced impact on the labor market; Oxford Economics expresses skepticism about the narrative surrounding AI layoffs, suggesting it may be overstated.
- Graduate Unemployment Rates: The analysis notes that although the unemployment rate for recent graduates in the U.S. rose from 3.9% in November 2022 to 5.5% in March 2025, this pattern aligns with normal cyclical factors rather than structural changes driven by AI, indicating limited impact of AI on graduate employment.
- Stagnation in Productivity Growth: Oxford Economics argues that if AI were genuinely replacing workers at scale, productivity growth should be accelerating; however, the current deceleration in productivity growth aligns more with cyclical patterns, leading to the expectation that AI will not significantly raise unemployment rates in the U.S. or elsewhere over the next year or two.
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- Project Launch: GSI Technology announces the launch of the Sentinel project, aimed at enhancing real-time monitoring capabilities using AI-driven compute-in-memory technology, backed by the U.S. Department of War and an international partner.
- Partnership Details: The project is developed in collaboration with Israeli deep-tech AI firm G2 Tech to create an autonomous perimeter security platform that manages drones and cameras in real-time, enhancing security measures.
- Funding Support: The proof-of-concept project is financed through multi-million-dollar government funding, with GSI set to receive approximately $1 million to optimize software and integrate its Gemini-II platform into the Sentinel system.
- Market Reaction: Although GSI Technology's stock rose over 12% in pre-market trading on Wednesday, it quickly reversed course to drop 8% after the bell, indicating mixed short-term market reactions to the project.
- Analyst Downgrade: Goldman Sachs has downgraded Super Micro Computer to a Sell rating with a price target of $26, reflecting a pessimistic outlook that may further erode investor confidence in the stock.
- Challenging Market Environment: Both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 indices have declined, with Super Micro's shares down 8.75% over the past year, currently trading at $28.40, significantly below the 52-week high of $66.44, indicating overall pressure on tech stocks.
- Technical Indicators Show Weakness: The stock is trading 7.1% below its 20-day simple moving average and 31.4% below its 100-day moving average, suggesting a bearish trend in the short term, prompting investors to exercise caution.
- Future Earnings Expectations: Super Micro is expected to report earnings of $0.45 per share on February 10, down from last year, although revenue is projected at $10.38 billion, indicating growth potential, yet analysts remain cautious about future expectations.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Rezolve Ai projects at least $350 million in annual revenue for 2026, significantly exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $126 million, indicating a surge in demand for its AI-driven commerce platform among enterprises.
- Annual Recurring Revenue: The company ended 2025 with approximately $209 million in ARR, marking its first profitable month and highlighting improved operating leverage as it scales its business operations.
- Employee and Customer Growth: In 2025, Rezolve expanded its workforce to over 1,000 employees and served more than 650 enterprise customers, with its infrastructure managing over 51 billion API calls, showcasing its robust global expansion capabilities.
- Positive Market Sentiment: Despite a more than 9% drop in stock price on Tuesday morning, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remained in the 'extremely bullish' territory, with many users expressing confidence in the stock's long-term potential and buying the dip, reflecting strong investor optimism.

- AI Job Cut Figures: According to Oxford Economics, nearly 55,000 U.S. job cuts were attributed to AI in the first 11 months of 2025, accounting for 75% of all reported AI-related layoffs, yet this represents only 4.5% of total job losses during the same period, highlighting the relative limitation of AI layoffs in the broader employment context.
- Impact of Economic Factors: While AI-related layoffs attract significant media attention, job losses due to market and economic conditions exceeded 245,000, indicating that traditional economic factors have a more pronounced impact on the labor market; Oxford Economics expresses skepticism about the narrative surrounding AI layoffs, suggesting it may be overstated.
- Graduate Unemployment Rates: The analysis notes that although the unemployment rate for recent graduates in the U.S. rose from 3.9% in November 2022 to 5.5% in March 2025, this pattern aligns with normal cyclical factors rather than structural changes driven by AI, indicating limited impact of AI on graduate employment.
- Stagnation in Productivity Growth: Oxford Economics argues that if AI were genuinely replacing workers at scale, productivity growth should be accelerating; however, the current deceleration in productivity growth aligns more with cyclical patterns, leading to the expectation that AI will not significantly raise unemployment rates in the U.S. or elsewhere over the next year or two.
AI ETFs Growth Potential: Artificial intelligence ETFs are expected to benefit from ongoing growth in the AI sector, with many funds outperforming the S&P 500 over the past five years due to increasing demand for AI technologies and innovations.
Top AI ETFs: Notable AI ETFs include the iShares Semiconductor ETF, CoinShares Bitcoin Mining ETF, Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF, and Ark Innovation ETF, each focusing on different aspects of AI and technology, with varying expense ratios and historical returns.
Investment Strategies: Investors can potentially double their returns in five years by selecting ETFs that have shown strong past performance, with many funds exceeding an average annual return of 14.5% recently.
Market Insights: The article emphasizes the importance of considering the historical performance and future potential of these ETFs, while also highlighting the need for careful selection based on individual investment goals and market conditions.
Robotics Investment Trends: The robotics sector is gaining political support in the U.S., with potential executive orders and initiatives from the Department of Commerce aimed at promoting the industry, leading to increased interest in robotics ETFs like ROBO and BOTZ.
Electric Vehicle ETF Dynamics: In contrast, electric vehicle (EV) ETFs are influenced by car sales, battery prices, and consumer demand, making them more volatile and cyclical compared to the steadier robotics investments.
Government Support for Robotics: The U.S. government views robotics and advanced manufacturing as essential for domestic production, with discussions around a national robotics commission and the potential for robotics to help address national debt.
Investment Strategy Outlook: Robotics ETFs are seen as a long-term, stable investment supported by government policy, while EV ETFs are characterized by higher risk and potential for significant price swings based on market conditions.








