Nvidia's Impressive Earnings Propel Tech Stocks Higher
Nvidia's Earnings Boost: Nvidia's unexpected strong earnings and positive fourth-quarter forecast alleviated investor concerns about an AI bubble, leading to a surge in technology stocks across Asia.
Market Reactions: Major Asian tech companies, including TSMC, SK Hynix, and Samsung Electronics, saw significant stock price increases, contributing to a rise in regional stock indexes.
Investor Sentiment: Despite recent market negativity and fears of overvaluation in the AI sector, analysts noted that leading tech companies remain highly profitable and are investing heavily in infrastructure.
Concerns Over Valuations: Some investors expressed worries that tech giants like Microsoft and Amazon might be artificially inflating earnings through accounting practices related to AI investments.
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- Nvidia's Market Performance: Nvidia's stock has surged over 700% in the past three years, pushing its market capitalization beyond $4 trillion, making it the largest company globally, which highlights its dominant position in high-performance AI applications and attracts significant investor interest.
- Oracle's Market Challenges: Oracle, with a market cap of $440 billion, has seen its stock drop over 52% since last September, primarily due to high spending on AI infrastructure and a debt exceeding $100 billion, raising concerns about its financial health among investors.
- Financial Performance Highlights: Oracle's recent Q2 FY2026 earnings report revealed a 14% year-over-year revenue increase to $16.05 billion, with net income soaring 95% to $6.13 billion, including a $2.7 billion pre-tax gain, showcasing its strong growth potential in the cloud computing sector.
- Future Growth Expectations: Despite facing debt pressures, Oracle's forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at just 19.8, indicating that its stock is at a two-year low, and analysts expect significant revenue growth in the future, potentially providing a good buying opportunity for investors.
- Strong Debut Performance: Montage Technology's shares surged approximately 60% on their Hong Kong debut, climbing from the offering price of HK$106.89 to HK$171, indicating robust market demand for its high-performance semiconductors and reinforcing its position in the cloud computing and AI sectors.
- Significant Fundraising: The IPO raised $902 million, reflecting strong investor interest in Chinese AI and semiconductor firms, particularly as the public tranche was oversubscribed by more than 700 times and the international offering was nearly 38 times covered.
- Intensifying Market Competition: Despite Montage's successful listing, competition is heating up, with Huawei and its chip unit HiSilicon holding a leading share of the domestic market, suggesting that the push for self-sufficiency will lead to fiercer rivalry within the industry.
- Evolving Policy Landscape: As the Chinese government intensifies efforts for self-sufficiency in advanced chips, the recent approval for Nvidia's H200 imports under specific conditions highlights the uncertainty in policy that could impact market dynamics.
- Market Volatility Impact: Following a week where over $1 trillion was wiped from market caps, Big Tech stocks showed flat performance in premarket trading on Monday, indicating market uncertainty, particularly with rising capital expenditure plans in the AI sector.
- Surge in Capital Expenditure: Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta reported a combined capital expenditure of approximately $120 billion in Q4, with projections soaring to $660 billion by 2026, surpassing the GDP of countries like the UAE, Singapore, and Israel, reflecting strong industry confidence in AI investments.
- Divergent Stock Performance: As of 6:12 a.m. ET, Oracle rose 1.5% and Microsoft edged up 0.8%, while Meta and Amazon fell 0.3% and 0.1% respectively, showcasing varied performances among stocks amidst overall market weakness, which could influence investor decisions.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Despite growing margins for cloud companies, analysts warn of potential stock volatility due to macroeconomic pressures; however, management's confidence in demand forecasting may lead to full capacity utilization by 2026, providing some reassurance to investors.
- Teen Account Launch: Lyft officially launched its teen accounts nationwide on Monday, aiming to match Uber's similar feature, with CEO David Risher emphasizing the importance of getting the product right, particularly in terms of communication with parents and teens.
- Enhanced Safety Features: The new accounts will match passengers aged 13 to 17 with drivers and include safety features such as pin verification, real-time tracking, and recordings, ensuring the safety of young riders.
- Autonomous Vehicle Strategy: Lyft is ramping up its autonomous vehicle strategy, planning to launch Tensor Robocar services powered by Nvidia technology in 2027, while also rolling out Waymo rides in Nashville this year to compete against rivals like Waymo, Uber, and Tesla.
- Market Expansion and Challenges: Lyft's market expansion includes the acquisition of European taxi app Freenow, and despite facing strong competition from companies like Waymo, Risher believes Lyft is in an
- Tesla Position Change: Peter Thiel reduced his Tesla holdings by 76% in Q3 2025, yet it remains the largest position in his portfolio, indicating ongoing confidence in the electric vehicle market despite skepticism towards Musk's humanoid robot strategy.
- Microsoft Investment Increase: Thiel purchased 49,000 shares of Microsoft in Q3, elevating it to the second-largest holding at 34% of his total portfolio, reflecting his optimism about Microsoft's cloud services and AI integration, even as the company faces growth slowdowns.
- New Investment in Apple: Thiel initiated a new position in Apple by acquiring over 79,000 shares in Q3, suggesting he sees potential in Apple's AI capabilities, particularly its vast iPhone sales network and upcoming AI-powered smart glasses.
- AI Stock Selection: Although Thiel's hedge fund holds only three AI stocks, his choices of Microsoft and Apple demonstrate a preference for technology builders, indicating a belief that these companies will play a more significant role in future technological revolutions.
- Stock Volatility: Palantir's stock has surged over 1,900% since the start of 2023, adding more than $300 billion in market value, yet it has plummeted 37% since hitting an all-time high in November, indicating market concerns about its future.
- Core Platform Advantage: Palantir's Gotham and Foundry platforms have driven profitability ahead of Wall Street expectations, with Gotham providing critical support to the U.S. government and Foundry helping commercial clients optimize data flows, although with only 780 customers, it highlights significant long-term growth potential.
- Historical Bubble Warning: While AI is seen as the next major technological trend, history suggests that similar bubbles, like the internet, may emerge, as investors often overestimate the speed of technology adoption and optimization, potentially leading to significant value loss for Palantir and its peers.
- Valuation Risks: Palantir's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio reached 100 before the fourth quarter, and although it has dropped to 69.3, it remains well above historically sustainable levels, indicating that its stock may need to decline by at least 60% to escape bubble territory.










