Nvidia's Expected $8 Billion Impact from China Raises Concerns for Semiconductor ETFs Before Earnings Reports
NVIDIA's Earnings Report: NVIDIA Corp is set to release its second-quarter earnings report, which is expected to reflect an $8 billion impact from U.S. chip-export restrictions to China, raising concerns about the sustainability of its revenue.
Market Volatility and ETF Influence: The options market anticipates significant volatility in NVIDIA's stock, potentially affecting various semiconductor ETFs where NVIDIA holds substantial weight, such as VanEck and iShares Semiconductor ETFs.
Impact on Industry Peers: NVIDIA's performance often influences other chipmakers; a disappointing report could lead investors to shift away from companies like AMD and Broadcom, while benefiting those with stronger domestic markets like Intel.
AI and Data Center Growth: Despite regulatory challenges, NVIDIA's data center business is projected to generate $41.2 billion this quarter, indicating strong growth potential amidst the risks associated with its earnings report.
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- Market Pullback Impact: AI stocks experienced a brief 10% pullback in early 2026, yet they remain near recent highs, indicating sustained market interest and potential in this sector.
- ETF Investment Opportunity: The Global X Artificial Intelligence & Technology ETF (NASDAQ: AIQ) invests across the AI ecosystem, with 28% allocated to non-tech companies, enhancing its resilience in the current macroeconomic environment.
- Capital Expenditure Growth: As companies like Meta increase AI capital expenditures, the scope of AI investment is broadening, providing strong growth opportunities for the ETF's diversified portfolio, which is expected to drive future performance.
- Interest Rate Expectations: The market is pricing in two potential interest rate cuts in 2026, which would support growth in AI-related stocks and improve financials, thereby boosting investor confidence.
- Stable Dividend Yield: Enterprise Products Partners (EPD) has increased its distributions for 28 consecutive years, currently offering a 6.2% yield, reflecting strong cash flow and financial stability that appeals to income-focused investors.
- Robust Cash Flow: In fiscal 2025, EPD reported record cash flow from operations of $8.7 billion and returned approximately $5 billion to shareholders, indicating that its distributions are funded by operational performance rather than debt, which boosts investor confidence.
- Future Growth Potential: The company expects to generate $1 billion in discretionary free cash flow in 2026, with 50% to 60% earmarked for unit repurchases, which could further enhance distribution per unit for remaining investors and increase shareholder value.
- Project Investment Plans: EPD is undertaking $4.8 billion worth of major projects, including natural gas gathering and processing, with plans to invest $2.5 billion to $2.9 billion in 2026 and $2 billion to $2.5 billion in 2027, supporting future cash flow growth.
- Buffett's Investment Returns: From 1965 to 2025, Berkshire Hathaway achieved an average annual return of approximately 20%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 10.3%, indicating Buffett's investment strategy has excelled over the long term, reinforcing the company's market leadership.
- Signs of DaVita's Recovery: DaVita exceeded expectations in its latest quarterly results and projected earnings per share between $13.60 and $15 for 2026, with shares surging over 30% since the earnings release, presenting an opportunity for investors to reassess its value, especially as it historically traded at 13 to 14 times forward earnings.
- Investment Opportunity in Kraft Heinz: Despite Berkshire's losses in Kraft Heinz, the stock currently trades at a mere 9 times forward earnings, below peers, and the company's plan to split into two entities could unlock significant value, attracting new investors' interest.
- Cautious Approach to UnitedHealth Group: Although Berkshire purchased 5 million shares of UnitedHealth last year, the stock has dropped from $350 to around $280 due to lower-than-expected Medicare payment increases, with a current P/E ratio of 16, which is still above peers, prompting investors to consider their buying strategy carefully.
- Solana's Potential: Despite a 35.7% drop in 2025, Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) reached an all-time high of $293.31 last January, and if it succeeds in stablecoin and real-world asset tokenization, it could rebound in 2026, especially as the stablecoin market is projected to grow to $4 trillion by 2030.
- Stablecoin Market Outlook: Analysts predict that with current stablecoin issuance just over $300 billion, if the market grows as expected, Solana's speed and low transaction costs could make it an attractive option for a significant number of transactions moving on-chain, thereby driving its price recovery and enhancing market competitiveness.
- Chainlink's Opportunity: Chainlink (CRYPTO: LINK) lost nearly 40% in 2025, closing at $12.19, and with its current price near a five-year low of $5.30, it shows strong rebound potential, particularly as traditional finance begins to embrace blockchain.
- Demand for Smart Contracts: As an oracle coin, Chainlink provides data for smart contracts, and with the anticipated growth in stablecoin demand, there will be increased need for trustworthy proof-of-reserve and price data, further driving Chainlink's market demand and price appreciation.
- Massive Market Potential: According to Bloomberg Intelligence, the total addressable market for AI accelerators is expected to grow at a 16% CAGR through 2033, reaching $604 billion, providing strong market support for Micron Technology.
- Surging Memory Demand: Micron's management forecasts the memory market will grow from $35 billion in 2025 to $100 billion by 2028, indicating that demand for memory chips is accelerating at a pace far exceeding that of the GPU market.
- Rising Prices Driven by Capex: With hyperscalers' capital expenditure budgets increasing, big tech is expected to spend over $500 billion on AI infrastructure this year, leading to shortages in HBM solutions, with DRAM and NAND prices potentially soaring by 60% and 38% respectively in Q1.
- Attractive Valuation: Micron currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 12, significantly lower than other leaders in the AI chip market, and combined with the multi-year supercycle for HBM chips, this suggests strong investment value, positioning Micron as a potential
- Tech Sector Weakness: As of February 4, 2026, large-cap tech stocks have declined approximately 3%, making them the worst-performing sector, reflecting investor concerns over high valuations and ineffective AI spending, which may increase the risk of a market correction.
- Microsoft's Financials: Microsoft reported a 66% year-over-year increase in capital expenditures in Q2 2026, although growth for its AI cloud engine, Azure, has slowed; however, its remaining performance obligation surged 110% to $625 billion, enhancing its appeal for long-term investors with a current P/E ratio of 26, below S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 averages.
- Oracle's Upside Potential: Oracle's stock has even greater upside potential, with analysts projecting a price target of $272, indicating an 88% upside over the next 12 months; despite concerns over its AI spending, its $523 billion backlog has increased by 438% year-over-year, demonstrating robust market demand.
- Investor Risk Considerations: While Microsoft is rated a buy by 95% of analysts, Oracle is viewed as a higher-risk investment due to its debt and reliance on OpenAI, necessitating careful evaluation of its future profitability and market performance.











