Is Nvidia on Track to Become the First Company Valued at $10 Trillion?
Nvidia's Market Value Milestone: Nvidia has surpassed both Microsoft and Apple to become the world's largest company, with its market value reaching as high as $5 trillion, driven by investor confidence in its role in the AI boom.
Growth and Innovation: The company's transition from gaming GPUs to AI-focused products has led to significant revenue growth, with projections indicating continued strong sales increases in the coming years.
Potential for $10 Trillion Valuation: Analysts suggest that Nvidia could potentially reach a $10 trillion market value by 2030, contingent on maintaining a strong growth rate and achieving projected revenue milestones.
Infrastructure Demand for AI: Nvidia is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for AI infrastructure, as major cloud service providers and companies like Meta Platforms are turning to Nvidia for their AI needs, potentially leading to substantial revenue growth.
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- Azure Revenue Growth: Microsoft's Azure cloud computing business has achieved a year-over-year growth rate of 39%, indicating strong demand for its computing resources, which further solidifies Microsoft's market position in the AI era and is expected to drive future revenue growth.
- Strong Overall Performance: Microsoft's total revenue increased by 17% year-over-year to $81.3 billion, with its Productivity and Business Processes division growing by 16% and consumer cloud revenue rising by 29%, demonstrating excellent performance across its customer base and the positive impact of AI feature integration on business growth.
- Opportunity in OpenAI Investment: Microsoft holds a 27% stake in OpenAI, and while OpenAI's contribution to Microsoft's overall business is limited, investing in Microsoft provides indirect exposure to generative AI, enhancing the attractiveness of Microsoft stock for investors.
- Attractive Valuation for Investment: Microsoft's current operating price-to-earnings ratio is near its lowest levels since 2020, and despite trading at a premium in the past, this valuation correction presents a compelling buying opportunity for investors, with significant upside potential expected over the next few years.
- Significant User Growth: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman revealed in an internal message that ChatGPT is experiencing over 10% monthly growth, with approximately 800 million weekly active users, demonstrating strong appeal despite fierce competition in the market.
- Product Update Plans: Altman also mentioned that OpenAI plans to release an updated chat model this week, and its AI coding tool Codex has grown by about 50% in the past week, which will further enhance its product competitiveness.
- Ad Testing Launch: OpenAI is set to begin testing ads in ChatGPT today, facing criticism from competitor Anthropic; Altman emphasized the goal of making AI accessible to a broad user base that cannot afford subscription fees.
- Market Valuation Surge: OpenAI's valuation is expected to soar above $800 billion, while Anthropic's latest funding round could elevate its valuation to $350 billion, indicating strong growth potential for both companies in the AI sector.
- User Growth: Microsoft disclosed that Microsoft 365 Copilot has reached 15 million paid users, a 160% year-over-year increase, yet this only represents about 3.3% of its total 450 million subscribers, indicating significant room for market penetration.
- Diverse Functionality: Copilot offers various plans, including a free version and Microsoft 365 Premium, which provides higher usage limits and enhanced security, aimed at catering to different user needs and boosting product appeal.
- Enterprise Adoption: Major clients like Fiserv and ING have over 35,000 Copilot seats, indicating a strong acceptance of Copilot in specific industries, which could drive future market expansion.
- Competitive Pressure: Despite significant growth, Microsoft's competitiveness in the AI assistant market remains challenged compared to rivals like OpenAI's ChatGPT, with analysts suggesting a need to further validate the effectiveness of these investments.
- Ad Testing Launch: OpenAI confirmed that it will begin testing advertisements in ChatGPT starting today for free and Go subscription users, aiming to support more powerful features while maintaining user trust.
- User Tier Restrictions: The ad testing will only apply to free and Go subscription users, with Pro, Business, Enterprise, and Education tiers unaffected, indicating OpenAI's differentiated strategy for various user segments.
- Pricing Strategy: ChatGPT Go is priced at $8 per month, while ChatGPT Plus and Pro are priced at $20 and $200 per month respectively, reflecting OpenAI's efforts to attract more users through diverse service offerings.
- Shifting Competitive Dynamics: OpenAI's confirmation of ad testing comes a day after competitor Anthropic aired ads during the Super Bowl, highlighting the intensifying competition among AI companies for mainstream users, which could impact OpenAI's market position.
- Surging Capital Expenditures: Alphabet anticipates capital expenditures reaching $185 billion in 2025, more than double last year's figures, reflecting the company's significant commitment to AI and infrastructure, which may impact its core advertising profitability.
- Bond Financing Plan: To support its AI ambitions, Alphabet plans to raise $20 billion through a U.S. dollar bond sale, expected to occur in four tranches, including a 100-year sterling bond, indicating strong market interest with oversubscription by five times.
- Compute Capacity Risks: CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted compute capacity, energy, and supply chain constraints as major challenges during the earnings call, indicating that Google must effectively manage its resources to maintain competitiveness amid rapidly growing AI demand.
- Ad Revenue Growth: Despite potential threats from AI to its search and advertising business, Google's fourth-quarter ad revenue increased by 13.5% year-over-year to $82.28 billion, demonstrating the company's success in adjusting its advertising strategies to meet market changes.
- AI Risk Disclosure: In its latest financial report, Alphabet highlighted for the first time the potential impact of AI on its advertising business, noting risks of 'excess capacity' that could affect core revenue streams and necessitate a reassessment of investment strategies.
- Bond Financing Plan: Alphabet plans to raise $20 billion through a bond sale, including a 100-year bond, expected to be issued in four tranches, indicating strong market interest in its financing needs with oversubscription reaching five times.
- Surge in Capital Expenditures: The company anticipates capital expenditures to reach $185 billion in 2025, more than double the previous year, indicating significant financial pressure from heavy investments in AI infrastructure that require careful fiscal management.
- Gemini User Growth: The monthly active users of Alphabet's Gemini AI application have increased from 650 million to 750 million, reflecting rapid adoption of generative AI, but also posing risks to its search business, necessitating adjustments in advertising strategies to adapt to market changes.











