Nomura places its bets on the dollar over the pound amid U.K. fiscal challenges taking center stage.
Market Strategy: A strategist from Nomura is recommending a short GBP/USD trade, anticipating a decline in the British pound against the dollar.
Target Prediction: The target for the GBP/USD trade is set at £1.30 by the end of October, indicating a potential drop of about 3% from the current level of £1.35.
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Analyst Views on GBPUSD

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- Budget Expectations: The U.K. government aimed to present a budget with minimal controversy to maintain political stability.
- Economic Credibility: There was a focus on demonstrating economic credibility to alleviate concerns from voters and the bond market.

Bank of England's New Initiative: The Bank of England introduced a new transparency measure by allowing each central banker to provide a statement explaining their vote on interest rates.
Voting Outcome: The recent decision to maintain interest rates at 4% was made with a narrow 5-to-4 vote, highlighting differing opinions among the members.
Enhanced Communication: This initiative complements the existing practice of publishing minutes and holding press conferences to improve communication with the public.
Individual Perspectives: Each central banker was given a paragraph to articulate their views, promoting accountability and clarity in the decision-making process.

Saudi-Pakistan Defense Agreement: Saudi Arabia and Pakistan have signed a strategic mutual defense agreement, indicating a strong military alliance between the two nations.
Implications for U.S. Relations: The agreement suggests a shift in alliances that may impact U.S. relations with both countries, as it signals a closer partnership between Saudi Arabia and Pakistan, particularly in the context of military capabilities.

Market Strategy: A strategist from Nomura is recommending a short GBP/USD trade, anticipating a decline in the British pound against the dollar.
Target Prediction: The target for the GBP/USD trade is set at £1.30 by the end of October, indicating a potential drop of about 3% from the current level of £1.35.

Voting Dilemma: The Bank of England faced a challenge with its nine-member committee as opinions on interest rate changes were split, resulting in no clear majority.
Vote Breakdown: Four members supported maintaining current rates, four favored a quarter-point cut, and one member proposed a half-point reduction.
Coal Investment Outlook: Despite being one of the most disliked investments, coal demand may remain strong through 2030 according to Wood Mackenzie, challenging previous predictions of its decline.
Historical Demand Trends: The decline in coal's popularity as an investment has been ongoing since the early 2000s, yet forecasts about its demise have frequently proven inaccurate.







