Malibu Expects Flat to Mid-Single Digit Decline in FY2026 Net Sales
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3d ago
0mins
Should l Buy MBUU?
For the full fiscal year 2026, Malibu anticipates net sales to be flat to down mid-single digits year-over-year, and Adjusted EBITDA margin ranging from 8%-9%.
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Analyst Views on MBUU
Wall Street analysts forecast MBUU stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for MBUU is 35.40 USD with a low forecast of 30.00 USD and a high forecast of 40.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
5 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 30.710
Low
30.00
Averages
35.40
High
40.00
Current: 30.710
Low
30.00
Averages
35.40
High
40.00
About MBUU
Malibu Boats, Inc. is a designer, manufacturer and marketer of a diverse range of recreational powerboats, including performance sport, sterndrive and outboard boats. The Company's brands include Malibu, Axis, Pursuit, Maverick, Cobia, Pathfinder, Hewes and Cobalt. Its segments include Malibu, Saltwater Fishing and Cobalt. Its Malibu segment participates in the manufacturing, distribution, marketing and sale of Malibu and Axis performance sports boats. Its Saltwater Fishing segment participates in the manufacturing, distribution, marketing and sale throughout the world of Pursuit boats and the Maverick Boat Group family of boats (Maverick, Cobia, Pathfinder and Hewes). The Company’s Cobalt segment is engaged in manufacturing, distribution, marketing and sale of Cobalt boats throughout the world. Its product portfolio of premium brands is used for a range of recreational boating activities including, among others, water sports, general recreational boating and fishing.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Malibu Boats Q2 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Overview: Malibu Boats reported net sales of $188.6 million in Q2, a 5.8% year-over-year decline, with unit volume down 9.5% to 1,106 units, yet still exceeding internal expectations, showcasing the company's resilience in a challenging retail environment.
- Innovative Product Launch: The company plans to debut two new models, the Pursuit 286 and Pathfinder 2800, at the Miami International Boat Show, emphasizing ongoing product innovation and market engagement aimed at attracting more consumers and enhancing market share.
- Share Repurchase Program Expansion: The CFO noted that free cash flow for Q2 was $8.4 million, with $20.8 million in share repurchases completed, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholders while expanding the repurchase program to $70 million to enhance shareholder value.
- Market Outlook: Management expects Q3 net sales to be between $198 million and $202 million, with full-year sales anticipated to be flat to down mid-single digits, reflecting a cautious outlook on the market while emphasizing continued focus on operational efficiency and cost control.
See More
Malibu Boats to Showcase New Models at Miami International Boat Show
- New Model Launch: Malibu Boats will debut the Pursuit DC 286 and Pathfinder 2800 Hybrid at the 2026 Miami International Boat Show, showcasing its innovative capabilities in boat design and manufacturing, which is expected to attract significant attention from water sports enthusiasts.
- Event Significance: The boat show is a key event for the global marine industry, with Malibu's VP Dave Cluka noting that over 11 new models have been launched since 2025, demonstrating strong growth momentum and further solidifying the brand's market position.
- Booth Highlights: Malibu and Axis Boats will feature performance-driven models like the M230 and T250, emphasizing their exceptional on-water performance, cutting-edge technology, and unforgettable surfing experiences, which are expected to enhance brand recognition in the market.
- Media Event Schedule: Pursuit Boats will host a media event on the first day of the show to showcase the DC 286 model at booth MB1762, which is anticipated to attract widespread media and potential customer interest, further promoting the brand's market outreach.
See More
Malibu Boats Q2 Earnings Report Analysis
- Disappointing Earnings: Malibu Boats reported a Q2 non-GAAP EPS of -$0.02, missing expectations by $0.04, indicating pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company generated $188.6 million in revenue, a 5.8% year-over-year decrease, although it beat market expectations by $6.64 million; however, the ongoing revenue decline may impact future liquidity and investment plans.
- Unit Volume Drop: Unit sales fell by 9.5% to 1,106 units, reflecting weak market demand that could lead to a loss of market share in the competitive boating industry.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Malibu anticipates flat to mid-single-digit year-over-year declines in net sales for fiscal 2026, with adjusted EBITDA margins projected between 8%-9%, indicating a cautious stance towards the future market environment.
See More
Malibu Boats Scheduled to Announce Q2 Earnings on February 5th
- Earnings Announcement Date: Malibu Boats (MBUU) is set to release its Q2 earnings on February 5th before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.02, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 93.5%, indicating severe profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Forecast: The consensus revenue estimate stands at $181.96 million, down 9.2% year-over-year, which highlights adverse industry conditions that may place the company at a competitive disadvantage in the market.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, MBUU has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, although recent downward revisions in both EPS and revenue forecasts suggest a cautious market outlook regarding the company's future performance.
- Analyst Rating Changes: While Loop Capital has initiated coverage on boat stocks with optimism about the industry, the recent appointment of a new CFO at Malibu Boats and its financial performance warrant investor scrutiny to assess long-term growth potential.
See More
TD Cowen Upgrades Ametek to Buy, Citing Strong Execution
- Strong Execution: TD Cowen upgraded Ametek from hold to buy, highlighting the company's robust performance across multiple markets, particularly in utilities and commercial aerospace, which indicates sustained support and growth potential.
- Market Opportunities: Ametek demonstrates strong adaptability in the current economic environment, capable of recovering and growing from weaker markets, further solidifying its position in the industrial sector.
- Investor Confidence: This rating upgrade reflects analysts' confidence in Ametek's future performance, which is expected to attract more investor attention and drive stock price appreciation.
- Strategic Positioning: Ametek's successful execution strategy not only enhances its market share but also lays the groundwork for future expansion and innovation, strengthening its competitiveness in the fiercely contested industrial market.
See More
Boat Stocks Rise as Loop Capital Begins Coverage Amid Industry Optimism
Loop Capital's Coverage Initiation: Loop Capital has initiated coverage on marine industry stocks, giving bullish ratings to MarineMax (HZO) and Malibu Boats (MBUU), while starting neutrally on MasterCraft Boat (MCFT) and Brunswick (BC), citing attractive entry points based on valuations.
Positive Outlook for Marine Industry: Despite macroeconomic challenges, Loop Capital is optimistic about the marine industry through 2026, noting a significant inventory rationalization that is nearing completion.
MarineMax and Malibu Boats Ratings: MarineMax is highlighted as a top pick with a "buy" rating and a price target of $29, while Malibu Boats also receives a "buy" rating with a price target of $34, both expected to benefit from strong management and growth initiatives.
MasterCraft and Brunswick Analysis: MasterCraft is rated "hold" with a price target of $21, while Brunswick is also rated "hold" with a price target of $74, with both companies needing favorable market conditions for potential investment.
See More
Malibu Boats Q2 2026 Earnings Call Insights
- Financial Performance Overview: Malibu Boats reported net sales of $188.6 million in Q2, a 5.8% year-over-year decline, with unit volume down 9.5% to 1,106 units, yet still exceeding internal expectations, showcasing the company's resilience in a challenging retail environment.
- Innovative Product Launch: The company plans to debut two new models, the Pursuit 286 and Pathfinder 2800, at the Miami International Boat Show, emphasizing ongoing product innovation and market engagement aimed at attracting more consumers and enhancing market share.
- Share Repurchase Program Expansion: The CFO noted that free cash flow for Q2 was $8.4 million, with $20.8 million in share repurchases completed, demonstrating the company's commitment to shareholders while expanding the repurchase program to $70 million to enhance shareholder value.
- Market Outlook: Management expects Q3 net sales to be between $198 million and $202 million, with full-year sales anticipated to be flat to down mid-single digits, reflecting a cautious outlook on the market while emphasizing continued focus on operational efficiency and cost control.
See More
Malibu Boats to Showcase New Models at Miami International Boat Show
- New Model Launch: Malibu Boats will debut the Pursuit DC 286 and Pathfinder 2800 Hybrid at the 2026 Miami International Boat Show, showcasing its innovative capabilities in boat design and manufacturing, which is expected to attract significant attention from water sports enthusiasts.
- Event Significance: The boat show is a key event for the global marine industry, with Malibu's VP Dave Cluka noting that over 11 new models have been launched since 2025, demonstrating strong growth momentum and further solidifying the brand's market position.
- Booth Highlights: Malibu and Axis Boats will feature performance-driven models like the M230 and T250, emphasizing their exceptional on-water performance, cutting-edge technology, and unforgettable surfing experiences, which are expected to enhance brand recognition in the market.
- Media Event Schedule: Pursuit Boats will host a media event on the first day of the show to showcase the DC 286 model at booth MB1762, which is anticipated to attract widespread media and potential customer interest, further promoting the brand's market outreach.
See More
Malibu Boats Q2 Earnings Report Analysis
- Disappointing Earnings: Malibu Boats reported a Q2 non-GAAP EPS of -$0.02, missing expectations by $0.04, indicating pressure on profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Decline: The company generated $188.6 million in revenue, a 5.8% year-over-year decrease, although it beat market expectations by $6.64 million; however, the ongoing revenue decline may impact future liquidity and investment plans.
- Unit Volume Drop: Unit sales fell by 9.5% to 1,106 units, reflecting weak market demand that could lead to a loss of market share in the competitive boating industry.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Malibu anticipates flat to mid-single-digit year-over-year declines in net sales for fiscal 2026, with adjusted EBITDA margins projected between 8%-9%, indicating a cautious stance towards the future market environment.
See More
Malibu Boats Scheduled to Announce Q2 Earnings on February 5th
- Earnings Announcement Date: Malibu Boats (MBUU) is set to release its Q2 earnings on February 5th before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.02, reflecting a significant year-over-year decline of 93.5%, indicating severe profitability challenges for the company.
- Revenue Decline Forecast: The consensus revenue estimate stands at $181.96 million, down 9.2% year-over-year, which highlights adverse industry conditions that may place the company at a competitive disadvantage in the market.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, MBUU has beaten EPS estimates 63% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, although recent downward revisions in both EPS and revenue forecasts suggest a cautious market outlook regarding the company's future performance.
- Analyst Rating Changes: While Loop Capital has initiated coverage on boat stocks with optimism about the industry, the recent appointment of a new CFO at Malibu Boats and its financial performance warrant investor scrutiny to assess long-term growth potential.
See More
TD Cowen Upgrades Ametek to Buy, Citing Strong Execution
- Strong Execution: TD Cowen upgraded Ametek from hold to buy, highlighting the company's robust performance across multiple markets, particularly in utilities and commercial aerospace, which indicates sustained support and growth potential.
- Market Opportunities: Ametek demonstrates strong adaptability in the current economic environment, capable of recovering and growing from weaker markets, further solidifying its position in the industrial sector.
- Investor Confidence: This rating upgrade reflects analysts' confidence in Ametek's future performance, which is expected to attract more investor attention and drive stock price appreciation.
- Strategic Positioning: Ametek's successful execution strategy not only enhances its market share but also lays the groundwork for future expansion and innovation, strengthening its competitiveness in the fiercely contested industrial market.
See More
Boat Stocks Rise as Loop Capital Begins Coverage Amid Industry Optimism
Loop Capital's Coverage Initiation: Loop Capital has initiated coverage on marine industry stocks, giving bullish ratings to MarineMax (HZO) and Malibu Boats (MBUU), while starting neutrally on MasterCraft Boat (MCFT) and Brunswick (BC), citing attractive entry points based on valuations.
Positive Outlook for Marine Industry: Despite macroeconomic challenges, Loop Capital is optimistic about the marine industry through 2026, noting a significant inventory rationalization that is nearing completion.
MarineMax and Malibu Boats Ratings: MarineMax is highlighted as a top pick with a "buy" rating and a price target of $29, while Malibu Boats also receives a "buy" rating with a price target of $34, both expected to benefit from strong management and growth initiatives.
MasterCraft and Brunswick Analysis: MasterCraft is rated "hold" with a price target of $21, while Brunswick is also rated "hold" with a price target of $74, with both companies needing favorable market conditions for potential investment.
See More
