Major U.S. Averages Mostly Unchanged Near Noon
The major averages were mostly unchanged near noon on the penultimate trading day of the year as markets contend with light year-end volumes and a pullback in heavyweight tech and AI names that stalled last week's strong rally. Investors are also awaiting the release of the Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes and digesting recent economic signals that have fueled debate over the pace of future rate cuts.Looking to commodities, gold edged higher following yesterday's sharp losses, while oil is fractionally higher ahead of the API crude numbers set for release this afternoon.Get caught up quickly on the top news and calls moving stocks with this Midday Fly By.1. STOCK NEWS:Meta PlatformsAI startup Manus, with the Wall Street Journal reporting that Meta is paying over $2B for the businessApplied Digitalits cloud computing business with Ekso BionicsOn24by Cvent for $8.10 per share in cashCiti'sboard approved a plan to2. WALL STREET CALLS:ArgusBHP Groupto Buy on "firming" commodity pricesMereo BioPharmato Hold at JefferiesBenchmarkLindblad Expeditionswith a Buy on high growth visibilityStephensof Rubrik, Commvault, and AvePointwith Overweight ratings and Varonisat Equal Weight3. AROUND THE WEB:SMICintends to acquire the remaining 49% stake in unit SMNC for Y40.6B, or $5.79B, giving the company full control of the subsidiary,The U.S. government has granted Samsung Electronicsand SK Hynixan annual license to bring chip manufacturing equipment to their Chinese facilities for 2026,Power-hungry AI projects are benefiting Caterpillaras a range of customers looks to purchase the company's engines and generators,Softbankhas completed its $40B investment in OpenAI,Warner Bros. Discoveryis expected to reject the latest offer made by Paramount Skydance,4. MOVERS:Hycroft Miningincreases after filing aBoeinggains after being awarded afor the F-15 Israel Program and a ceiling $4.2B modification to a previously awarded Air Force contract for E-4B contractor logistic serviceEnergy Fuelsfalls after Roth Capital said shares of the companyTruth Medialower after Yorkville America launchedon the New York Stock Exchange5. EARNINGS/GUIDANCE:Ree Automotive, with EPS higher year-over-yearEtoiles CapitalCemtrexreported, with revenue higher year-over-yearAMTD IDEA Groupreported, with CFO Xavier Zee commenting, "We are proud to deliver another half year of strong performance"INDEXES:Near midday, the Dow was down 0.20%, or 98.77, to 48,363.16, the Nasdaq was down 0.04%, or 9.76, to 23,464.59, and the S&P 500 was down 0.06%, or 3.88, to 6,901.86.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on META
About META
About the author

- AI Budget Surge: Meta plans to increase its capital expenditures to $135 billion in 2026, an 87% rise from last year, aimed at supporting its AI Superintelligence team, which is expected to drive future technological innovation and market competitiveness.
- Profitability Pressure: As capital expenditures rise, Meta's depreciation expenses increased by 20% in 2025 and are expected to rise further in 2026, leading to a decline in operating margin from 48% in Q4 2024 to 41%, although management still anticipates overall operating income growth.
- AI-Driven Revenue Growth: Meta achieved a 24% revenue growth in Q4, driven by increased user engagement and stable ad price hikes, demonstrating its effectiveness in AI applications and market potential.
- Generative AI Potential: Meta is planning to leverage generative AI to attract more advertisers, combining personalized content and shopping agent features, which is expected to generate substantial ad revenue and further solidify its market position.
- Market Volatility Impact: Following a week where over $1 trillion was wiped from market caps, Big Tech stocks showed flat performance in premarket trading on Monday, indicating market uncertainty, particularly with rising capital expenditure plans in the AI sector.
- Surge in Capital Expenditure: Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Meta reported a combined capital expenditure of approximately $120 billion in Q4, with projections soaring to $660 billion by 2026, surpassing the GDP of countries like the UAE, Singapore, and Israel, reflecting strong industry confidence in AI investments.
- Divergent Stock Performance: As of 6:12 a.m. ET, Oracle rose 1.5% and Microsoft edged up 0.8%, while Meta and Amazon fell 0.3% and 0.1% respectively, showcasing varied performances among stocks amidst overall market weakness, which could influence investor decisions.
- Cautious Future Outlook: Despite growing margins for cloud companies, analysts warn of potential stock volatility due to macroeconomic pressures; however, management's confidence in demand forecasting may lead to full capacity utilization by 2026, providing some reassurance to investors.
- Antitrust Preliminary Findings: The European Commission has issued a statement of objections to Meta, preliminarily concluding that the company's exclusion of third-party AI assistants from WhatsApp violates EU antitrust rules, potentially harming market competition and stifling the growth of other AI companies.
- Policy Change Impact: Since January 15, 2025, WhatsApp has only allowed Meta's own AI assistant, effectively banning competitors, which the EU regulator believes could cause serious and irreparable harm to the market, necessitating interim measures to protect competition.
- Market Dominance: The Commission tentatively concludes that Meta is likely to hold a dominant position in the consumer communication applications market within the European Economic Area, with WhatsApp seen as a crucial entry point, and restricting access for third-party AI assistants could further raise barriers to market entry.
- Urgent Protective Measures: The Commission emphasizes the urgent need for protective measures due to the risk of Meta's actions marginalizing smaller competitors, aiming to ensure that rivals can continue to access WhatsApp during the ongoing investigation to maintain effective competition.
- Child Protection Initiative: Czech Prime Minister Andrej Babiš expressed support for a ban on social media for children under 15, emphasizing that experts believe social media is extremely harmful to children, aiming to protect their mental health.
- Legislative Plans: Deputy Prime Minister Karel Havlíček indicated that the government is seriously considering this ban, and if decided, legislation will be proposed this year, demonstrating the government's commitment to child protection.
- Global Trend: Numerous countries worldwide are contemplating restrictions on children's access to social media, with Australia being the first to implement a ban for those under 16, while Spain, Greece, and Denmark have proposed similar measures, reflecting widespread concern for children's mental health.
- Legislative Progress: France's National Assembly has passed a bill banning social media for children under 15, which will now head to the upper house for consideration, further advancing the movement for social media restrictions across Europe.
- Tesla Position Change: Peter Thiel reduced his Tesla holdings by 76% in Q3 2025, yet it remains the largest position in his portfolio, indicating ongoing confidence in the electric vehicle market despite skepticism towards Musk's humanoid robot strategy.
- Microsoft Investment Increase: Thiel purchased 49,000 shares of Microsoft in Q3, elevating it to the second-largest holding at 34% of his total portfolio, reflecting his optimism about Microsoft's cloud services and AI integration, even as the company faces growth slowdowns.
- New Investment in Apple: Thiel initiated a new position in Apple by acquiring over 79,000 shares in Q3, suggesting he sees potential in Apple's AI capabilities, particularly its vast iPhone sales network and upcoming AI-powered smart glasses.
- AI Stock Selection: Although Thiel's hedge fund holds only three AI stocks, his choices of Microsoft and Apple demonstrate a preference for technology builders, indicating a belief that these companies will play a more significant role in future technological revolutions.
- Price Pressure Emerges: Amazon CEO Andy Jassy stated that consumers are beginning to feel the impact of the Trump administration's 10% tariffs on prices, particularly amid increasing economic uncertainty.
- Inventory Management Strategy: Jassy noted that Amazon and many third-party sellers proactively purchased inventory last year to mitigate tariff impacts, which helped keep prices stable for a time, but as supplies dwindle, tariff costs are starting to reflect in prices.
- Changing Consumer Behavior: Consumers are showing increased caution in their shopping habits, opting for bargains and hesitating on higher-priced discretionary items, indicating the economic environment's influence on spending behavior.
- Limited Retail Profit Margins: Jassy emphasized that the mid-single-digit operating margins in retail leave little room to absorb rising costs, stating that if costs rise by 10%, retailers have very few options to manage that pressure.










