Look Under The Hood: SMIG Has 13% Upside
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 23 2025
0mins
Should l Buy VCTR?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
ETF Target Price Analysis: The AAM Bahl & Gaynor Small/Mid Cap Income Growth ETF (SMIG) has an implied analyst target price of $32.07 per unit, indicating a potential upside of 12.92% from its current trading price of $28.40.
Key Holdings Performance: Notable underlying holdings such as First Financial Bancorp, Victory Capital Holdings, and Amdocs Ltd. show significant upside potential based on analyst targets, raising questions about the validity and optimism of these forecasts.
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Analyst Views on VCTR
Wall Street analysts forecast VCTR stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for VCTR is 72.00 USD with a low forecast of 68.00 USD and a high forecast of 78.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
6 Analyst Rating
2 Buy
4 Hold
0 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 69.440
Low
68.00
Averages
72.00
High
78.00
Current: 69.440
Low
68.00
Averages
72.00
High
78.00
About VCTR
Victory Capital Holdings, Inc. is a diversified global asset management firm. The Company provides specialized investment strategies to institutions, intermediaries, retirement platforms and individual investors. With 11 autonomous investment franchises and a solutions platform, the Company offers an array of investment products, including actively and passively managed mutual funds, rules-based and active exchange traded funds (ETFs), institutional separate accounts, variable insurance products (VIPs), alternative investments, private closed end funds, and a 529 Education Savings Plan. Its strategies are also offered through third-party investment products, including mutual funds, third-party ETF model strategies, retail separately managed accounts and unified managed accounts. Its franchises and its solutions platform collectively manage a diversified set of 124 investment strategies. The Company's investment adviser is Victory Capital Management Inc.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Quarterly Dividend Declaration: Victory Capital has declared a quarterly dividend of $0.49 per share, consistent with previous distributions, reflecting the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which enhances investor confidence.
- Dividend Yield: The forward yield of 2.75% provides investors with a relatively attractive return, potentially drawing in more income-seeking investors looking for stability in their portfolios.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend is payable on March 25, with a record date of March 10 and an ex-dividend date also on March 10, ensuring shareholders receive their earnings promptly, which may strengthen their commitment to holding shares.
- Market Reaction Expectations: Victory Capital's dividend policy aligns with its financial health, and it is expected to have a positive impact on the company's stock price, further solidifying its position in the asset management industry.
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- Earnings Performance: Victory Capital reported a non-GAAP EPS of $1.78 for Q4, beating expectations by $0.12, indicating a sustained enhancement in profitability and reflecting robust performance in the asset management sector.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved revenues of $374.1 million in Q4, representing a substantial year-over-year increase of 61.0%, exceeding expectations by $0.89 million, which underscores the success of its asset management and investment strategies, further solidifying its market position.
- Stock Price Fluctuation: Despite the strong earnings report, Victory Capital's shares fell by 0.10% post-release, potentially reflecting market caution regarding future growth, prompting investors to monitor subsequent market reactions closely.
- Asset Management Scale: Victory Capital's total client assets continued to grow in Q3 2025, demonstrating effective strategies in attracting new clients and retaining existing ones, signaling potential revenue growth in the future.
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- Earnings Announcement: Victory Capital is set to release its Q4 earnings report on February 4, with consensus EPS estimates at $1.66, reflecting a 14.5% year-over-year increase, indicating sustained profitability.
- Strong Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $373.21 million, representing a significant 60.6% year-over-year growth, highlighting the company's robust performance in asset management and increasing market demand.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, Victory Capital has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time, while beating revenue estimates 63% of the time, showcasing the company's reliability in financial forecasting.
- Estimates Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen three upward revisions and four downward adjustments, while revenue estimates have experienced three upward revisions and two downward adjustments, indicating market divergence and focus on the company's future performance.
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- International Expansion: Victory Capital has added three new UCITS funds through its strategic partnership with Amundi, bringing its total UCITS count to 22, which further enhances the company's international asset management capabilities and demonstrates its commitment to global market expansion.
- Portfolio Diversification: The newly added funds include Amundi Funds Global Equity Core and Amundi Funds US Equity Large Cap Value, aimed at meeting diverse client investment needs, thereby enhancing customer satisfaction and market competitiveness.
- Deepening Strategic Partnership: The launch of these funds continues the momentum from Victory Capital's earlier strategic partnership with Amundi, marking sustained progress in the company's international expansion efforts, which is expected to provide significant support for future growth.
- Asset Management Scale: As of November 30, 2025, Victory Capital's total client assets reached $318 billion, showcasing its strong position and influence in the asset management sector.
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Assets Under Management: Victory Capital Holdings (VCTR) reported an increase in assets under management to $314.9 billion in November.
Performance Indicator: The rise in assets indicates positive growth and performance for the company during the month.
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- Total AUM: As of November 30, 2025, Victory Capital reported total assets under management of $314.8 billion, indicating robust growth in the asset management sector and enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- Client Asset Growth: Total client assets reached $317.7 billion, reflecting a 1.1% increase from the previous month, showcasing the company's successful strategies in attracting new clients and retaining existing ones.
- Asset Class Distribution: Fixed income assets amounted to $80.8 billion, demonstrating effective management of a diversified portfolio aimed at risk reduction and enhanced return potential.
- Regional Asset Distribution: U.S. client assets accounted for $263.7 billion, highlighting the company's strong domestic market foundation while actively expanding its client base in non-U.S. markets.
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