Laureate Education Q4 Earnings Analysis
- Earnings Performance: Laureate Education reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.76, missing expectations by $0.03, yet revenue reached $541.4 million, reflecting a robust 27.9% year-over-year growth and exceeding forecasts by $14.3 million, indicating strong revenue momentum.
- Enrollment Growth: New enrollments for fiscal year 2025 increased by 8% compared to 2024, with total enrollments rising by 5%, demonstrating the company's ongoing success in attracting new students and enhancing future revenue potential.
- Regional Performance: In Peru, new and total enrollments grew by 13% and 7%, respectively, while in Mexico, they increased by 5% and 4%, showcasing strong demand in the Latin American market and further solidifying the company's position in the region.
- Market Performance: Laureate Education is the top performer among educational services stocks year-to-date, reflecting its competitive advantage in the industry, with Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating highlighting its visible long-term demand and growth potential, boosting investor confidence.
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- Earnings Release Date: Laureate Education is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 19 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.79, reflecting a 27.4% year-over-year increase, indicating sustained profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The revenue for Q4 is projected to reach $527.1 million, representing a 24.5% year-over-year growth, highlighting strong market demand and growth potential in the educational services sector.
- Consistent Outperformance: Over the past year, Laureate has beaten EPS and revenue estimates 100% of the time, showcasing the company's financial stability and effective management execution.
- Top Industry Performer: Laureate Education is the top performer year-to-date among educational services stocks, demonstrating its competitive advantage in the industry and investor confidence in its long-term growth potential.
- Earnings Performance: Laureate Education reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.76, missing expectations by $0.03, yet revenue reached $541.4 million, reflecting a robust 27.9% year-over-year growth and exceeding forecasts by $14.3 million, indicating strong revenue momentum.
- Enrollment Growth: New enrollments for fiscal year 2025 increased by 8% compared to 2024, with total enrollments rising by 5%, demonstrating the company's ongoing success in attracting new students and enhancing future revenue potential.
- Regional Performance: In Peru, new and total enrollments grew by 13% and 7%, respectively, while in Mexico, they increased by 5% and 4%, showcasing strong demand in the Latin American market and further solidifying the company's position in the region.
- Market Performance: Laureate Education is the top performer among educational services stocks year-to-date, reflecting its competitive advantage in the industry, with Seeking Alpha's Quant Rating highlighting its visible long-term demand and growth potential, boosting investor confidence.
- Significant Revenue Growth: In Q4 2025, Laureate reported revenue of $541.4 million, a 28% increase year-over-year, with a 16% rise on an organic constant currency basis, primarily driven by approximately $25 million of intra-year academic calendar timing, indicating strong demand and market share expansion in the education sector.
- Substantial Net Income Increase: The net income for Q4 reached $171.5 million, up 77.9% from $93.6 million in Q4 2024, largely due to higher operating income and a discrete tax benefit of $56.9 million, reflecting a significant improvement in the company's profitability.
- Robust Adjusted EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2025 was $204.3 million, a 45% increase from $141.1 million in Q4 2024, demonstrating the company's success in cost control and operational efficiency, further solidifying its market position.
- Expanded Shareholder Return Program: Laureate announced a $150 million increase to its stock repurchase program, raising the total to $400 million, with plans to finance repurchases through free cash flow and liquidity, showcasing confidence in future growth and commitment to shareholders.
- Stake Reduction Details: First Sabrepoint Capital sold 300,000 shares of Laureate Education in Q4 2025 for an estimated $9.26 million, indicating a potential shift in confidence towards the company.
- Asset Management Shift: Following the sale, Laureate Education now represents 6.4% of First Sabrepoint's assets under management, reflecting a decrease in its relative importance within the investment portfolio.
- Company Performance Metrics: Laureate Education's stock price surged 70.8% over the past year, with a 9% revenue growth to $400.2 million in Q3, highlighting steady demand in its core markets.
- Future Outlook: Despite the reduction, Laureate maintains strong cash flow and a flexible balance sheet, with future growth hinging on enrollment increases and market stability, suggesting that management's cautious trimming could be a prudent investment strategy.
- Stake Reduction: First Sabrepoint Capital Management sold 300,000 shares of Laureate Education in Q4 2025 for an estimated $9.26 million, reflecting the company's strategic response to market fluctuations.
- Position Value Decline: The quarter-end position value for Laureate Education stood at $16.84 million, down $8.40 million from the previous period, indicating the dual impact of trading activity and share price movements.
- Asset Allocation Adjustment: Laureate Education now accounts for 6.5% of the fund's AUM, and while the stake was reduced, it remains a significant holding, suggesting a rebalancing strategy rather than a complete divestment.
- Future Outlook: Despite the reduction, Laureate Education achieved a 9% revenue growth in Q3 2023, with full-year revenue guidance reaching up to $1.686 billion, highlighting sustained demand and growth potential in the Latin American markets.

Consumer Discretionary Sector Performance: The S&P 500 consumer discretionary sector has underperformed the broader market in 2025, with a year-to-date gain of +7.2%, making it the eighth best performing sector among 11 major sectors.
Top Educational Services Stocks: Laureate Education leads the educational services stocks with a remarkable YTD performance of +83.00%, followed by Graham Holdings and TAL Education, while Duolingo has the lowest performance at -43.59%.
Quant Ratings Overview: The top educational stocks have varying quant ratings, with Laureate Education rated as a "Buy" at 3.89, while Duolingo is rated as a "Hold" at 2.95, indicating a mix of investment potential across the sector.
Consumer Discretionary ETFs: Several consumer discretionary ETFs, including XLY, VCR, and FXD, are highlighted, suggesting a range of investment options within the sector for potential growth and risk management.








