Is TotalEnergies a Good Investment Following Its Renewables Initiative and Recent 12% Price Increase?
Stock Performance and Investor Sentiment: TotalEnergies has seen a 5.5% gain in the last week and nearly 12% in the last month, driven by a significant push into renewables and strategic partnerships, leading to increased investor interest and perceptions of growth potential.
Valuation Analysis: The Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model indicates that TotalEnergies is undervalued by 58.6%, with an intrinsic fair value estimated at €135.57 per share, compared to its current market price.
Price-to-Earnings Ratio Insights: TotalEnergies trades at a PE ratio of 10x, significantly below the industry average of 13.5x and the peer group average of 24x, suggesting the market is undervaluing the company relative to its competitors.
Narrative Approach to Valuation: Investors are encouraged to create personal Narratives that connect their views on TotalEnergies' future with financial forecasts, allowing for a more intuitive understanding of the company's value and market price dynamics.
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- Long-term Power Purchase Agreements: TotalEnergies has signed two long-term power purchase agreements with Google to deliver 1 GW of solar capacity, expected to provide 28 TWh of renewable electricity over 15 years for data centers in Texas, showcasing the company's robust position in the renewable energy sector.
- Project Construction Plans: The Wichita (805 MWp) and Mustang Creek (195 MWp) solar projects in Texas are set to begin construction in Q2 2026, which is anticipated to create several hundred jobs locally and generate substantial tax revenues to support public services.
- Strategic Market Significance: This agreement represents the largest renewable power purchase agreement TotalEnergies has signed in the U.S., highlighting the company's strategy to deliver tailored renewable energy solutions that support its clients' decarbonization goals, particularly for digital players.
- Power Supply Assurance: Google stated that this collaboration will add necessary new generation capacity to the local grid, enhancing the availability of affordable and reliable power supply for the entire region, further solidifying TotalEnergies' leadership in the renewable energy market.
- Earnings Schedule: This week features a high volume of earnings reports from technology, consumer discretionary, and energy sectors, with RIVN stock showing notable movement ahead of its earnings release, indicating investor sentiment.
- Monday.com and Pagaya Reports: On Monday, work management SaaS provider Monday.com and fintech company Pagaya released their earnings before the market opened, with expectations that their results will reflect broader industry trends.
- Coinbase Earnings Expectations: On Thursday, Coinbase is expected to report earnings of 68 cents per share and quarterly revenue of $1.86 billion, despite facing a projected 33% drop in transaction revenue, raising investor interest in its growing stablecoin and subscription services.
- Nebius Group Forecast: Also on Thursday, Nebius Group is projected to report a loss of $1.14 per share and revenue of $246.05 million, with analysts expressing caution, reflecting concerns over cloud service demand in the current market environment.
- Renewable Energy Milestone: TotalEnergies' two long-term Power Purchase Agreements (PPAs) with Google will supply 1 GW of solar capacity to Texas data centers, providing 28 TWh of renewable electricity over 15 years, marking the largest renewable PPA signed by the company in the U.S.
- Project Development Timeline: The power will be generated from the Wichita and Mustang Creek solar farms, which are set to begin construction in Q2 2026, further advancing TotalEnergies' strategic positioning in the renewable energy sector.
- Economic Impact and Job Creation: The development of the Wichita and Mustang Creek solar farms is expected to create several hundred construction jobs in Texas, providing economic benefits and supporting public services through tax revenues, thereby boosting local economies.
- Strategic Alignment and Market Positioning: This PPA complements other agreements secured by Clearway, a company 50% owned by TotalEnergies, which recently locked in 1.2 GW of PPAs, showcasing the company's strategy to provide tailored renewable energy solutions that support the decarbonization goals of digital players like Google.
- Long-Term Power Purchase Agreements: TotalEnergies has signed two long-term Power Purchase Agreements with Google to deliver 1 GW of solar capacity, expected to provide 28 TWh of renewable electricity over 15 years for data centers in Texas, marking the largest renewable PPA signed by TotalEnergies in the U.S.
- Project Construction Plans: The solar projects will generate power from TotalEnergies' Wichita (805 MWp) and Mustang Creek (195 MWp) sites in Texas, with construction slated to begin in Q2 2026, anticipated to create several hundred jobs during the construction phase.
- Sustainability Support: This agreement not only enhances Google's power supply capabilities in Texas but also supports its decarbonization goals for data centers by providing reliable renewable energy, reflecting TotalEnergies' strategic focus on renewable energy solutions.
- Global Renewable Energy Portfolio: TotalEnergies boasts a renewable energy portfolio of 10 GW in the U.S., including 400 MW in the PJM market and 5 GW in the ERCOT market, with plans to achieve over 100 TWh of net electricity production by 2030, further solidifying its competitive position in the global energy market.
- Long-Term Power Purchase Agreements: TotalEnergies has signed two long-term power purchase agreements with Google to deliver 1 GW of solar capacity over 15 years, equating to 28 TWh of renewable electricity, significantly enhancing Google's sustainable energy supply for its data centers in Texas.
- Project Development Progress: The power will be generated from TotalEnergies' two projects under development in Texas: Wichita (805 MWp) and Mustang Creek (195 MWp), with construction set to begin in Q2 2026, further advancing the company's renewable energy footprint in the U.S.
- Asset Portfolio Scale: TotalEnergies boasts a gross capacity portfolio of 10 GW of onshore solar, wind, and battery storage assets in the U.S., including 400 MW in the PJM market and 5 GW in the ERCOT market in Texas, showcasing its robust position in the renewable energy sector.
- Strategic Market Implications: By partnering with Google, TotalEnergies not only solidifies its leadership in the renewable energy market but also lays the groundwork for future sustainability goals, likely attracting more corporate clients to its green energy solutions.
- Legitimacy of Transactions: The Namibian government stated that the offshore license transactions by TotalEnergies and Petrobras will not be recognized until the formal approval process is completed, emphasizing that any unapproved transactions are invalid, which could expose the companies to legal risks.
- Equity Acquisition Details: TotalEnergies and Petrobras agreed to acquire a 42.5% interest in the PEL104 exploration license from Maravilla Oil and Gas and Eight Offshore Investments Holdings, but failed to notify the Namibian Ministry of Energy in advance, violating legal requirements.
- Regulatory Reform Context: The Namibian government is advancing plans for its first oil production while reshaping oversight of its energy sector, with recent amendments to petroleum legislation establishing a new upstream regulatory body and tightening conflict-of-interest rules and fiscal transparency.
- Approval Process Impact: TotalEnergies indicated that the deal remains subject to approval by Namibian authorities, and failure to meet all statutory requirements could hinder its oil and gas development plans in Southern Africa, delaying project progress.











