HSI Rises 66 Points as HSBC and AIA Gain, Baidu Declines After Earnings Report
US Stock Market Performance: US stocks showed mixed results, with the DJIA slightly up by 17 points while the Nasdaq fell by 1.2% due to Nvidia's decline.
Hong Kong Stock Market Opening: The HSI opened 66 points higher after a previous drop, while the HSCEI and HSTECH also saw slight increases in their opening values.
Tech Sector Updates: BIDU-SW reported a 42% YoY decline in non-GAAP net profit, leading to a 5.7% drop in its ADR, while MEITUAN-W postponed its launch in Brazil but opened higher.
Financial Sector Movements: HSBC HOLDINGS and AIA opened higher, while HKEX remained flat, indicating a generally positive trend in the financial sector despite varying short selling ratios.
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Company Performance: HSBC Holdings reported 4Q25 results that exceeded expectations, with adjusted revenue of $71 billion, a 5.3% increase YoY, and an annual adjusted net profit of $27.8 billion, up 12.5% YoY.
Future Outlook: CICC's research indicates positive guidance for HSBC's revenue growth over the next three years, prompting a 25% increase in the target price to $170.8 while maintaining an Outperform rating.

Positive Earnings Results: HSBC HOLDINGS reported 4Q25 results and interim ROTE guidance that exceeded expectations, leading to a 6% increase in share price on February 25, outperforming the HSI by 6 percentage points.
Future Growth Insights: The earnings briefing provided clearer insights into revenue growth for 2026-2028, net interest income drivers, and the roadmap for achieving business synergies.
Analyst Outlook: JPMorgan published a report indicating that HSBC HOLDINGS' stock price is likely to remain strong, maintaining an Overweight rating with a target price of $165.
Upcoming Investor Day: The next catalyst for HSBC HOLDINGS' stock performance is the Investor Day scheduled for May, which is anticipated to further influence investor sentiment.

Strong 4Q25 Results: HSBC Holdings reported a profit before tax that exceeded market expectations by 9%, with revenue and net interest income also surpassing estimates, although fee income fell slightly short.
Capital Ratios and Dividends: The CET1 capital ratio was reported at 14.9%, above consensus, and the bank declared a quarterly dividend of US$0.45 while suspending share buybacks, aligning with market expectations.

Stock Performance: HSBC Holdings saw a stock price increase of 5.47% following the announcement of its 2025 results, with short selling at $1.68 billion and a ratio of 27.069%.
Financial Results: The bank's 4Q25 revenue and underlying pre-tax profit exceeded market expectations by 3% and 9%, respectively, with a CET1 ratio of 14.9%, surpassing expectations by 20 basis points.
Updated Guidance: HSBC updated its return on tangible equity (ROTE) guidance for the next three years to 17% or above, and projected a revenue growth of 5% by 2028, both exceeding previous and market expectations.
Analyst Ratings: JPMorgan maintained an Overweight rating on HSBC with a target price of HKD 165, while Morgan Stanley noted a 10% beat in 4Q25 pre-provision operating profit and raised its target price to $149.

Stock Performance: HSBC's London share price rose by 5.1% to GBP13.56, with intraday peaks reaching GBP13.7, reflecting a positive market response.
Financial Results: The bank reported a 7% year-over-year decline in profit before tax (PBT) for 2025, totaling US$29.907 billion, which was close to analysts' expectations.
Earnings Per Share: HSBC's basic earnings per share (EPS) for the year was reported at US$1.21.
Dividends Declared: The group announced a fourth quarterly dividend of US$0.45, bringing the total dividend for the year to US$0.75, surpassing forecasts.

Citi Report on HSBC Holdings: Citi's report indicates HSBC Holdings achieved an underlying PBT of USD 8.6 billion for 4Q25, exceeding consensus by 9%, with revenue outperforming expectations by 3%.
Financial Metrics and Guidance: The CET1 ratio is projected to decrease to 13.8% post-privatization of Hang Seng Bank, with the group anticipating USD 500 million in incremental synergies and raising its RoTE target for FY26-FY28 to 17% or higher.
Broker's Perspective: Citi views the results positively, highlighting strategic updates and new information on Hang Seng Bank, which are expected to lead to healthy upgrades.
Rating and Target Price: Citi has rated HSBC Holdings as a Buy, setting a target price of HKD 143.3.





