Graco (GGG): Assessment of Valuation Following Recent Share Buyback and 7.3% Dividend Increase
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Dec 06 2025
0mins
Should l Buy GGG?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Shareholder Rewards: Graco has announced a new share repurchase authorization of up to 15 million shares and a 7.3% increase in its quarterly dividend, reflecting its commitment to rewarding shareholders amid ongoing growth initiatives.
Valuation Insights: The current share price of Graco is $83.47, with analysts suggesting a fair value of around $92.44, indicating that the stock may be undervalued, although there is some disagreement among analysts regarding future price targets.
Market Positioning: Graco's trading at a higher earnings multiple compared to its peers suggests that investors are paying a premium for its perceived quality and growth potential, but this also raises concerns about the risks associated with trade tariffs and demand fluctuations.
Investment Considerations: The article encourages investors to explore other opportunities, including undervalued stocks and high-yield dividend stocks, while emphasizing that the analysis provided is not financial advice and should be considered in the context of individual investment goals.
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Analyst Views on GGG
Wall Street analysts forecast GGG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GGG is 93.50 USD with a low forecast of 89.00 USD and a high forecast of 98.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
1 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Hold
Current: 92.420
Low
89.00
Averages
93.50
High
98.00
Current: 92.420
Low
89.00
Averages
93.50
High
98.00
About GGG
Graco Inc. is a multinational manufacturing company. The Company supplies technology and expertise for the management of fluids and coatings in both industrial and commercial applications. It designs, manufactures and markets systems and equipment to move, measure, control, dispense and spray fluid and powder materials. Its segments include Contractor, Industrial and Expansion Markets. The Contractor segment markets sprayers and equipment that apply paint to walls and other structures, texture to walls and ceilings, insulation to building walls and other items, highly viscous coatings to roofs, and markings on roads, parking lots, athletic fields and floors. The Industrial segment includes its industrial and powder divisions. The Industrial segment markets equipment and solutions for moving and applying paints, powder coatings, sealants, adhesives and other fluids. The Expansion Markets segment includes environmental, semiconductor, high-pressure valves and electric motors businesses.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Graco Inc. Reports Record Q4 2025 Sales and Earnings Growth
- Significant Sales Growth: Graco achieved $593 million in sales for Q4 2025, an 8% increase year-over-year, with acquisitions contributing 4%, showcasing strong performance in both industrial and contractor segments, thereby enhancing market competitiveness.
- Improved Profitability: Net earnings rose 22% to $133 million, translating to $0.79 per diluted share, while gross margin increased by 80 basis points, indicating effective pricing strategies that offset rising product costs and bolstered financial health.
- Robust Cash Flow: Operating cash flow for 2025 reached $684 million, up 10%, with a net cash position of $600 million, enabling significant investments and shareholder returns, reflecting strong financial flexibility.
- Cautiously Optimistic Outlook: Management anticipates low single-digit organic growth for 2026, despite macroeconomic uncertainties, expressing confidence in the growth potential from acquisitions and emphasizing ongoing market opportunities.
See More
Graco Reports Q4 Earnings Exceeding Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Graco's adjusted diluted earnings for Q4 reached $0.77 per share, surpassing the analyst consensus of $0.76, indicating strong performance in sales and margins.
- Revenue Growth: The company reported Q4 revenue of $593.2 million, exceeding estimates of $590.5 million, reflecting robust demand in the contractor and industrial segments.
- Net Income Increase: Net income rose 22% year-over-year to $132.5 million, showcasing the company's success in cost control and sales efficiency, which further bolsters market confidence.
- Future Outlook: Graco anticipates low single-digit organic sales growth for 2026, with mid-single-digit growth including acquisitions, marking a sustained growth trajectory as it celebrates its 100th anniversary.
See More
Graco Inc. Reports Q4 Earnings Beat with Revenue Growth
- Earnings Beat: Graco's Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.77 exceeded expectations by $0.01, demonstrating the company's stable profitability and growth potential.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The fourth-quarter revenue reached $593.2 million, up 8.1% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by $2.66 million, reflecting strong performance in the Contractor and Industrial segments.
- Annual Sales Increase: Net sales for the year grew by 6%, with growth across all segments and regions, indicating the company's robust competitive position in a diversified market.
- Dividend and Buyback Plan: Graco raised its dividend by 7.3% to $0.295 per share and authorized the repurchase of up to 15 million shares of common stock, showcasing confidence in future cash flows and commitment to shareholder returns.
See More
Graco Inc. (GGG) to Announce Q4 Earnings on January 26, EPS Expected to Rise 18.8%
- Earnings Announcement: Graco Inc. is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings on January 26 after market close, with consensus EPS expected at $0.76, reflecting an 18.8% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's resilience and profitability in the current economic climate.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $590.72 million, representing a 7.7% year-over-year growth, primarily driven by the company's ongoing efforts in market demand recovery and product innovation, showcasing its competitive position in the industry.
- Performance Forecast Revisions: Over the past three months, Graco's EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions and four downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced nine upward and two downward revisions, indicating mixed analyst sentiment that could impact investor confidence.
- Dividend and Buyback Plan: Graco announced a 7.3% increase in its dividend to $0.295 per share and authorized the repurchase of up to 15 million shares of common stock, a move that not only enhances shareholder returns but also reflects the company's confidence in its future cash flow.
See More
U.S. Stocks Face Second Week of Losses, Nasdaq Dips 0.1%
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 index barely rose 0.03% this week but fell 0.4% overall, indicating investors' insufficient capacity to digest geopolitical news, leaving market sentiment unsettled.
- Natural Gas Surge: Natural gas futures spiked 75% over five trading days due to Winter Storm Fern, reflecting the impact of extreme weather on energy demand and potentially raising profit expectations for related companies.
- Dollar Depreciation Trend: Over the past five days, the EUR/USD rose nearly 2%, while the dollar fell over 2.7% against the Swiss franc, indicating a shift in investor sentiment away from the dollar, which may affect future forex market dynamics.
- Fed Policy Expectations: The market widely anticipates that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in the 3.5%-3.75% range at next week's meeting, with investors closely watching Trump's nomination for the new Fed chair, which could influence future monetary policy direction.
See More
GGG Stock Fluctuations: 52-Week Low at $72.06, High at $89.67
- Stock Price Analysis: GGG's 52-week low is $72.06, while the high is $89.67, with the last trade at $84.18, indicating significant volatility within this range and reflecting market caution regarding its future performance.
- Technical Indicator Observation: GGG's current stock price is close to its 52-week high, suggesting that the market may have an optimistic outlook on its future growth, but attention is needed to see if it can sustain a breakthrough at this critical resistance level.
- Investor Sentiment Assessment: Although the current stock price is $84.18, there remains considerable upside potential compared to the 52-week low, which may attract yield-seeking investors.
- Market Trend Impact: GGG's stock price fluctuations are closely tied to overall market trends, and investors should monitor macroeconomic factors that could potentially influence its stock price.
See More
Graco Inc. Reports Record Q4 2025 Sales and Earnings Growth
- Significant Sales Growth: Graco achieved $593 million in sales for Q4 2025, an 8% increase year-over-year, with acquisitions contributing 4%, showcasing strong performance in both industrial and contractor segments, thereby enhancing market competitiveness.
- Improved Profitability: Net earnings rose 22% to $133 million, translating to $0.79 per diluted share, while gross margin increased by 80 basis points, indicating effective pricing strategies that offset rising product costs and bolstered financial health.
- Robust Cash Flow: Operating cash flow for 2025 reached $684 million, up 10%, with a net cash position of $600 million, enabling significant investments and shareholder returns, reflecting strong financial flexibility.
- Cautiously Optimistic Outlook: Management anticipates low single-digit organic growth for 2026, despite macroeconomic uncertainties, expressing confidence in the growth potential from acquisitions and emphasizing ongoing market opportunities.
See More
Graco Reports Q4 Earnings Exceeding Expectations
- Earnings Beat: Graco's adjusted diluted earnings for Q4 reached $0.77 per share, surpassing the analyst consensus of $0.76, indicating strong performance in sales and margins.
- Revenue Growth: The company reported Q4 revenue of $593.2 million, exceeding estimates of $590.5 million, reflecting robust demand in the contractor and industrial segments.
- Net Income Increase: Net income rose 22% year-over-year to $132.5 million, showcasing the company's success in cost control and sales efficiency, which further bolsters market confidence.
- Future Outlook: Graco anticipates low single-digit organic sales growth for 2026, with mid-single-digit growth including acquisitions, marking a sustained growth trajectory as it celebrates its 100th anniversary.
See More
Graco Inc. Reports Q4 Earnings Beat with Revenue Growth
- Earnings Beat: Graco's Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.77 exceeded expectations by $0.01, demonstrating the company's stable profitability and growth potential.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The fourth-quarter revenue reached $593.2 million, up 8.1% year-over-year, surpassing market expectations by $2.66 million, reflecting strong performance in the Contractor and Industrial segments.
- Annual Sales Increase: Net sales for the year grew by 6%, with growth across all segments and regions, indicating the company's robust competitive position in a diversified market.
- Dividend and Buyback Plan: Graco raised its dividend by 7.3% to $0.295 per share and authorized the repurchase of up to 15 million shares of common stock, showcasing confidence in future cash flows and commitment to shareholder returns.
See More
Graco Inc. (GGG) to Announce Q4 Earnings on January 26, EPS Expected to Rise 18.8%
- Earnings Announcement: Graco Inc. is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings on January 26 after market close, with consensus EPS expected at $0.76, reflecting an 18.8% year-over-year increase, indicating the company's resilience and profitability in the current economic climate.
- Revenue Expectations: The anticipated revenue for Q4 is $590.72 million, representing a 7.7% year-over-year growth, primarily driven by the company's ongoing efforts in market demand recovery and product innovation, showcasing its competitive position in the industry.
- Performance Forecast Revisions: Over the past three months, Graco's EPS estimates have seen five upward revisions and four downward adjustments, while revenue estimates experienced nine upward and two downward revisions, indicating mixed analyst sentiment that could impact investor confidence.
- Dividend and Buyback Plan: Graco announced a 7.3% increase in its dividend to $0.295 per share and authorized the repurchase of up to 15 million shares of common stock, a move that not only enhances shareholder returns but also reflects the company's confidence in its future cash flow.
See More
U.S. Stocks Face Second Week of Losses, Nasdaq Dips 0.1%
- Market Performance: The S&P 500 index barely rose 0.03% this week but fell 0.4% overall, indicating investors' insufficient capacity to digest geopolitical news, leaving market sentiment unsettled.
- Natural Gas Surge: Natural gas futures spiked 75% over five trading days due to Winter Storm Fern, reflecting the impact of extreme weather on energy demand and potentially raising profit expectations for related companies.
- Dollar Depreciation Trend: Over the past five days, the EUR/USD rose nearly 2%, while the dollar fell over 2.7% against the Swiss franc, indicating a shift in investor sentiment away from the dollar, which may affect future forex market dynamics.
- Fed Policy Expectations: The market widely anticipates that the Federal Reserve will maintain interest rates in the 3.5%-3.75% range at next week's meeting, with investors closely watching Trump's nomination for the new Fed chair, which could influence future monetary policy direction.
See More
GGG Stock Fluctuations: 52-Week Low at $72.06, High at $89.67
- Stock Price Analysis: GGG's 52-week low is $72.06, while the high is $89.67, with the last trade at $84.18, indicating significant volatility within this range and reflecting market caution regarding its future performance.
- Technical Indicator Observation: GGG's current stock price is close to its 52-week high, suggesting that the market may have an optimistic outlook on its future growth, but attention is needed to see if it can sustain a breakthrough at this critical resistance level.
- Investor Sentiment Assessment: Although the current stock price is $84.18, there remains considerable upside potential compared to the 52-week low, which may attract yield-seeking investors.
- Market Trend Impact: GGG's stock price fluctuations are closely tied to overall market trends, and investors should monitor macroeconomic factors that could potentially influence its stock price.
See More
