Gold's Similarities to GameStop: Metals Now Resemble the Latest Meme Stocks
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 5d ago
0mins
Source: Barron's
- Market Volatility: The financial markets have experienced historic declines followed by significant gains, indicating high volatility.
- Value Debates: There are ongoing discussions regarding the true underlying value of assets amidst these fluctuations.
- Leverage Concerns: Concerns have been raised about the impact of leverage and retail exposure on market stability.
- Broader Financial Impact: There is apprehension about how a sharp market reversal could affect broader financial markets.
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Analyst Views on AMC
Wall Street analysts forecast AMC stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AMC is 2.15 USD with a low forecast of 1.30 USD and a high forecast of 3.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
0 Buy
3 Hold
1 Sell
Hold
Current: 1.400
Low
1.30
Averages
2.15
High
3.00
Current: 1.400
Low
1.30
Averages
2.15
High
3.00
About AMC
AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. is a movie exhibition company. The Company is principally involved in the theatrical exhibition business and owns, operates or has interests in theatres primarily located in the United States and Europe. The Company operates through two segments: U.S. markets and International markets. In the U.S. markets segment, it owns, leases or operates theatres in 41 states and the District of Columbia. The International markets segment has operations in or partial interest in theatres in the United Kingdom, Germany, Spain, Italy, Ireland, Portugal, Sweden, Finland, Norway, and Denmark. Its brands include AMC, AMC CLASSIC and others. It also offers food and beverage alternatives beyond traditional concession items, including collectible concession vessels, made-to-order meals, customized coffee, healthy snacks, beer, wine, premium cocktails, and dine-in theatre options. It operates approximately 870 theatres and 9,700 screens across the globe.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Precious Metals & Critical Minerals Virtual Investor Conference Announced
- Conference Agenda Released: The Precious Metals & Critical Minerals Virtual Investor Conference is scheduled for February 10-12, inviting individual and institutional investors to participate at no cost, aiming to broaden the investor base and facilitate company strategy communication.
- One-on-One Meeting Setup: Investors are encouraged to pre-register and run system checks to expedite participation and receive event updates, ensuring smooth scheduling of 1x1 meetings with management, thereby enhancing investor relations management efficiency.
- Diverse Industry Participants: The conference will feature multiple companies in the precious metals and critical minerals sector, including Valkea Resources and Cabral Gold, showcasing innovations and developments within the industry to attract investor interest and investment.
- Enhanced Investor Engagement: Virtual Investor Conferences provide a real-time interactive platform that helps companies connect with investors more efficiently, improving their presentation capabilities and communication effectiveness, thus driving higher investor participation and market awareness.
See More
Gold's Similarities to GameStop: Metals Now Resemble the Latest Meme Stocks
- Market Volatility: The financial markets have experienced historic declines followed by significant gains, indicating high volatility.
- Value Debates: There are ongoing discussions regarding the true underlying value of assets amidst these fluctuations.
- Leverage Concerns: Concerns have been raised about the impact of leverage and retail exposure on market stability.
- Broader Financial Impact: There is apprehension about how a sharp market reversal could affect broader financial markets.
See More
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- Release Scale and Audience Response: Released in 1,778 theaters and 27 international markets, the film received poor critical reviews but garnered overwhelmingly positive audience feedback, suggesting its appeal among specific demographics despite critical reception.
- High Investment and Market Challenges: Amazon MGM Studios acquired distribution rights for about $40 million and committed tens of millions more to marketing; however, despite a strong debut, the film faces challenges in the streaming era where many viewers prefer to wait for home releases, potentially impacting future box office performance.
- Director Background and Industry Context: Directed by Brett Ratner, who has faced misconduct allegations, this marks his first major release since 2017; despite the politically charged environment and low presidential approval ratings, the film has managed to attract audience attention.
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- Tesla's Market Position: In 2023, Tesla surpassed the SPDR S&P 500 ETF to become the most purchased stock by retail investors, reflecting its skyrocketing popularity among small-scale investors, having not even made the top 20 four years prior.
- Performance Comparison: Tesla's shares more than doubled in 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite only gained 43%, highlighting Tesla's robust recovery and the intense market focus on its performance.
- Influence of Retail Investors: Blackrock estimates that retail investors now account for nearly 20% of average daily flows, a significant increase from low single-digit percentages before the pandemic, underscoring their growing impact on the market.
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- Narrowing Net Loss: While the expected Q4 net loss is anticipated to narrow to about $127.4 million from $135.6 million in the prior year, the full-year net loss is projected to widen to approximately $632.4 million, reflecting ongoing financial pressures on the company.
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See More
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- Rise of Young Investors: GameStop's stock surged over 1,600% in January 2021, drawing a significant number of young investors into the market for the first time, highlighting the profound impact of zero-commission trading and social media on investment behavior.
- Increased Market Participation: Research indicates that approximately 4.5% of GameStop traders opened brokerage accounts after January 13, 2021, demonstrating that this phenomenon attracted a considerable number of new investors, particularly those under 30.
- Changing Investment Psychology: Young investors now expect an average return of 36%, significantly higher than the historical 10% for stocks, reflecting their response to economic pressures and a desire for substantial gains.
- Risk and Reward Dynamics: While GameStop generated significant investment interest, many latecomers faced losses averaging around 13%, illustrating the potential risks young investors encounter when pursuing high-risk investments.
See More
Precious Metals & Critical Minerals Virtual Investor Conference Announced
- Conference Agenda Released: The Precious Metals & Critical Minerals Virtual Investor Conference is scheduled for February 10-12, inviting individual and institutional investors to participate at no cost, aiming to broaden the investor base and facilitate company strategy communication.
- One-on-One Meeting Setup: Investors are encouraged to pre-register and run system checks to expedite participation and receive event updates, ensuring smooth scheduling of 1x1 meetings with management, thereby enhancing investor relations management efficiency.
- Diverse Industry Participants: The conference will feature multiple companies in the precious metals and critical minerals sector, including Valkea Resources and Cabral Gold, showcasing innovations and developments within the industry to attract investor interest and investment.
- Enhanced Investor Engagement: Virtual Investor Conferences provide a real-time interactive platform that helps companies connect with investors more efficiently, improving their presentation capabilities and communication effectiveness, thus driving higher investor participation and market awareness.
See More
Gold's Similarities to GameStop: Metals Now Resemble the Latest Meme Stocks
- Market Volatility: The financial markets have experienced historic declines followed by significant gains, indicating high volatility.
- Value Debates: There are ongoing discussions regarding the true underlying value of assets amidst these fluctuations.
- Leverage Concerns: Concerns have been raised about the impact of leverage and retail exposure on market stability.
- Broader Financial Impact: There is apprehension about how a sharp market reversal could affect broader financial markets.
See More
Melania Trump Documentary Exceeds Box Office Expectations in Debut
- Box Office Surprise: The Melania Trump documentary grossed approximately $7 million in its opening weekend across North America, significantly surpassing Boxoffice Pro's forecast of $1 million to $2 million, indicating strong viewer interest in the subject matter.
- Release Scale and Audience Response: Released in 1,778 theaters and 27 international markets, the film received poor critical reviews but garnered overwhelmingly positive audience feedback, suggesting its appeal among specific demographics despite critical reception.
- High Investment and Market Challenges: Amazon MGM Studios acquired distribution rights for about $40 million and committed tens of millions more to marketing; however, despite a strong debut, the film faces challenges in the streaming era where many viewers prefer to wait for home releases, potentially impacting future box office performance.
- Director Background and Industry Context: Directed by Brett Ratner, who has faced misconduct allegations, this marks his first major release since 2017; despite the politically charged environment and low presidential approval ratings, the film has managed to attract audience attention.
See More
Rise of Retail Investors and Tesla's Dominance
- Rise of Retail Investors: Five years ago, the meme stock craze initiated by retail investors, particularly through the short squeeze of GameStop, became a pivotal event in modern market history, reshaping trading dynamics.
- Tesla's Market Position: In 2023, Tesla surpassed the SPDR S&P 500 ETF to become the most purchased stock by retail investors, reflecting its skyrocketing popularity among small-scale investors, having not even made the top 20 four years prior.
- Performance Comparison: Tesla's shares more than doubled in 2023, while the Nasdaq Composite only gained 43%, highlighting Tesla's robust recovery and the intense market focus on its performance.
- Influence of Retail Investors: Blackrock estimates that retail investors now account for nearly 20% of average daily flows, a significant increase from low single-digit percentages before the pandemic, underscoring their growing impact on the market.
See More
AMC's Q4 Revenue Forecast Falls Short of Expectations
- Revenue Forecast Decline: AMC is projected to report Q4 revenue of approximately $1.28 billion, falling short of the consensus estimate of $1.29 billion and down from $1.31 billion a year earlier, indicating a sluggish recovery in the cinema industry.
- Narrowing Net Loss: While the expected Q4 net loss is anticipated to narrow to about $127.4 million from $135.6 million in the prior year, the full-year net loss is projected to widen to approximately $632.4 million, reflecting ongoing financial pressures on the company.
- Decline in Adjusted EBITDA: AMC's adjusted EBITDA is forecasted at around $134.1 million, down from $164.8 million last year, highlighting persistent challenges in profitability, although full-year EBITDA is expected to improve to roughly $387.5 million.
- Debt Restructuring Agreement: AMC has reached an agreement with creditors to amend certain debt terms, facilitating easier refinancing, and will pay an $18.9 million consent premium to enhance capital structure flexibility, thereby improving liquidity and reducing capital costs.
See More
GameStop Frenzy's Long-Term Impact on Young Investors
- Rise of Young Investors: GameStop's stock surged over 1,600% in January 2021, drawing a significant number of young investors into the market for the first time, highlighting the profound impact of zero-commission trading and social media on investment behavior.
- Increased Market Participation: Research indicates that approximately 4.5% of GameStop traders opened brokerage accounts after January 13, 2021, demonstrating that this phenomenon attracted a considerable number of new investors, particularly those under 30.
- Changing Investment Psychology: Young investors now expect an average return of 36%, significantly higher than the historical 10% for stocks, reflecting their response to economic pressures and a desire for substantial gains.
- Risk and Reward Dynamics: While GameStop generated significant investment interest, many latecomers faced losses averaging around 13%, illustrating the potential risks young investors encounter when pursuing high-risk investments.
See More
