Global Business Travel Projects FY26 Adjusted EBITDA Between $615M and $645M
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 10 2025
0mins
Should l Buy GBTG?
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The company anticipates a revenue growth of 19% to 21% for the full year 2026.
- Adjusted EBITDA Projections: Expected Adjusted EBITDA for 2026 is projected to be between $615 million and $645 million, indicating a year-over-year growth of 16% to 22%.
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Analyst Views on GBTG
Wall Street analysts forecast GBTG stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GBTG is 10.25 USD with a low forecast of 8.00 USD and a high forecast of 12.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
4 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 5.630
Low
8.00
Averages
10.25
High
12.00
Current: 5.630
Low
8.00
Averages
10.25
High
12.00
About GBTG
Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (Amex GBT) is a business-to-business (B2B) software and services company for travel, expense, and meetings and events. The Company operates American Express Global Business Travel. The Company provides a full suite of differentiated, technology-enabled solutions to business travelers and clients, suppliers of travel content (such as airlines, hotels, ground transportation providers and aggregators) and third-party travel agencies. The Company manages end-to-end logistics of business travel and provides a link between businesses and their employees, travel suppliers, and other industry participants. Its range of travel and expense solutions are underpinned by specialized professional services, including Amex GBT Meetings & Events and GBT Consulting. With its GBT Partner Solutions program, the Company extends its software and service platform to third-party travel management companies (TMCs) and independent advisors (Network Partners).
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
American Express Global Business Travel Successfully Refinances and Upsizes Loan Facility to $1 Billion
- Successful Refinancing: American Express Global Business Travel has successfully refinanced and upsized its senior secured first lien term loan facility to $1 billion, demonstrating strong company performance and investor confidence.
- Best-in-Class Terms: The terms of this refinancing are considered best-in-class for companies with similar credit ratings, reflecting the company's opportunistic approach in a favorable credit market, enhancing its financial flexibility.
- Enhanced Integration Capability: By increasing the loan capacity, the company is better positioned to integrate CWT and execute its strategies for growth, margin expansion, and cash generation while maintaining a strong balance sheet.
- Increased Market Confidence: CFO Karen Williams stated that this financing not only enhances the company's market position but also lays a solid foundation for future growth, boosting investor confidence.
See More
American Express Global Business Travel Successfully Refinances, Upsizes Loan to $1.486 Billion
- Interest Rate Reduction: The successful refinancing has led to a 50 basis point reduction in American Express Global Business Travel's borrowing rate, now priced at SOFR plus 2.00%, significantly lowering financial costs and enhancing profitability.
- Increased Liquidity: Strong market demand enabled the company to raise an additional $100 million, increasing the loan facility to $1.486 billion, which is expected to provide ample funding for future investments and expansion.
- Enhanced Financial Flexibility: The upsized loan facility grants the company greater financial flexibility to invest in organic and inorganic growth, productivity, and margin expansion, particularly in ongoing investments in AI.
- Market Confidence Demonstrated: CFO Karen Williams noted that the refinancing and upsizing reflect the strength of the company's performance and the confidence of debt investors in its outlook, further solidifying its market position.
See More
Online Travel Stocks Decline as US International Tourism Weakens
- Decline in Foreign Visitors: In 2025, the U.S. saw a 6% drop in foreign visitors, totaling 68 million, significantly lower than France's 105 million and Spain's 96.5 million, indicating a loss of competitiveness in the international tourism market.
- Decreased Spending: International tourist spending in the U.S. fell by 7%, closely linked to the decline in arrivals from key markets such as Canada, Mexico, and Europe, adversely affecting the overall tourism economy.
- Domestic Travel Resilience: Despite the weakness in international tourism, the U.S. remains the world's largest travel economy, suggesting that strong domestic travel is partially offsetting the downturn in the international market.
- Policy Impact Analysis: Analysts have pointed to backlash against U.S. immigration policy as a potential reason for the decline in foreign tourism, negatively impacting online travel companies like Airbnb, Expedia, and Booking Holdings.
See More
Ryvyl Inc Announces 1-for-35 Reverse Split, Shares Plunge 14.4%
- Reverse Split Announcement: Ryvyl Inc's announcement of a 1-for-35 reverse stock split to regain Nasdaq's $1 minimum bid compliance led to a pre-market plunge of 14.4% in share price to $0.13, indicating a significant loss of investor confidence and potential liquidity issues.
- Market Reaction: Following the reverse split news, Ryvyl's shares fell sharply, reflecting market concerns about the company's future prospects, which could hinder its ability to raise capital and maintain competitive positioning.
- Other Stock Movements: Shares of Mink Therapeutics and SMX dropped 13.4% and 8.2% respectively, illustrating a broader market sentiment decline that may negatively impact investor confidence across related sectors.
- Industry Impact: Despite NeoGenomics' 7.1% decline in share price, the appointment of industry veteran John P. Kenny to its Board may provide a strategic turning point for the company, potentially enhancing its competitive edge in the diagnostics and lab services market.
See More
Amex GBT considers possible sale following challenging stock market results - report
Potential Sale Exploration: Global Business Travel Group (GBTG) is considering a potential sale due to stock performance uncertainty and industry competition, with interest expected from corporate travel platforms and private equity buyers.
Recent Acquisition and Challenges: The company, which went public in 2022 and is still largely owned by American Express, recently acquired CWT for $540 million, despite facing legal challenges from the U.S. DOJ regarding the deal.
Stock Performance: Following the news of the potential sale, GBTG's stock price rose over 10% during after-market trading.
Future Growth Targets: GBTG aims for a revenue growth target of 19%–21% for 2026, bolstered by the CWT acquisition and a partnership with SAP Concur.
See More
GBTG Stock Surpasses 200-Day Moving Average
- 52 Week Range: GBTG's stock has a 52-week low of $5.78 and a high of $9.60, with the last trade recorded at $7.30.
- Moving Average: There is a mention of other stocks that have recently crossed above their 200-day moving average.
- Author's Opinion: The views expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
- Stock Performance: The article provides a brief overview of GBTG's stock performance within the specified time frame.
See More
American Express Global Business Travel Successfully Refinances and Upsizes Loan Facility to $1 Billion
- Successful Refinancing: American Express Global Business Travel has successfully refinanced and upsized its senior secured first lien term loan facility to $1 billion, demonstrating strong company performance and investor confidence.
- Best-in-Class Terms: The terms of this refinancing are considered best-in-class for companies with similar credit ratings, reflecting the company's opportunistic approach in a favorable credit market, enhancing its financial flexibility.
- Enhanced Integration Capability: By increasing the loan capacity, the company is better positioned to integrate CWT and execute its strategies for growth, margin expansion, and cash generation while maintaining a strong balance sheet.
- Increased Market Confidence: CFO Karen Williams stated that this financing not only enhances the company's market position but also lays a solid foundation for future growth, boosting investor confidence.
See More
American Express Global Business Travel Successfully Refinances, Upsizes Loan to $1.486 Billion
- Interest Rate Reduction: The successful refinancing has led to a 50 basis point reduction in American Express Global Business Travel's borrowing rate, now priced at SOFR plus 2.00%, significantly lowering financial costs and enhancing profitability.
- Increased Liquidity: Strong market demand enabled the company to raise an additional $100 million, increasing the loan facility to $1.486 billion, which is expected to provide ample funding for future investments and expansion.
- Enhanced Financial Flexibility: The upsized loan facility grants the company greater financial flexibility to invest in organic and inorganic growth, productivity, and margin expansion, particularly in ongoing investments in AI.
- Market Confidence Demonstrated: CFO Karen Williams noted that the refinancing and upsizing reflect the strength of the company's performance and the confidence of debt investors in its outlook, further solidifying its market position.
See More
Online Travel Stocks Decline as US International Tourism Weakens
- Decline in Foreign Visitors: In 2025, the U.S. saw a 6% drop in foreign visitors, totaling 68 million, significantly lower than France's 105 million and Spain's 96.5 million, indicating a loss of competitiveness in the international tourism market.
- Decreased Spending: International tourist spending in the U.S. fell by 7%, closely linked to the decline in arrivals from key markets such as Canada, Mexico, and Europe, adversely affecting the overall tourism economy.
- Domestic Travel Resilience: Despite the weakness in international tourism, the U.S. remains the world's largest travel economy, suggesting that strong domestic travel is partially offsetting the downturn in the international market.
- Policy Impact Analysis: Analysts have pointed to backlash against U.S. immigration policy as a potential reason for the decline in foreign tourism, negatively impacting online travel companies like Airbnb, Expedia, and Booking Holdings.
See More
Ryvyl Inc Announces 1-for-35 Reverse Split, Shares Plunge 14.4%
- Reverse Split Announcement: Ryvyl Inc's announcement of a 1-for-35 reverse stock split to regain Nasdaq's $1 minimum bid compliance led to a pre-market plunge of 14.4% in share price to $0.13, indicating a significant loss of investor confidence and potential liquidity issues.
- Market Reaction: Following the reverse split news, Ryvyl's shares fell sharply, reflecting market concerns about the company's future prospects, which could hinder its ability to raise capital and maintain competitive positioning.
- Other Stock Movements: Shares of Mink Therapeutics and SMX dropped 13.4% and 8.2% respectively, illustrating a broader market sentiment decline that may negatively impact investor confidence across related sectors.
- Industry Impact: Despite NeoGenomics' 7.1% decline in share price, the appointment of industry veteran John P. Kenny to its Board may provide a strategic turning point for the company, potentially enhancing its competitive edge in the diagnostics and lab services market.
See More
Amex GBT considers possible sale following challenging stock market results - report
Potential Sale Exploration: Global Business Travel Group (GBTG) is considering a potential sale due to stock performance uncertainty and industry competition, with interest expected from corporate travel platforms and private equity buyers.
Recent Acquisition and Challenges: The company, which went public in 2022 and is still largely owned by American Express, recently acquired CWT for $540 million, despite facing legal challenges from the U.S. DOJ regarding the deal.
Stock Performance: Following the news of the potential sale, GBTG's stock price rose over 10% during after-market trading.
Future Growth Targets: GBTG aims for a revenue growth target of 19%–21% for 2026, bolstered by the CWT acquisition and a partnership with SAP Concur.
See More
GBTG Stock Surpasses 200-Day Moving Average
- 52 Week Range: GBTG's stock has a 52-week low of $5.78 and a high of $9.60, with the last trade recorded at $7.30.
- Moving Average: There is a mention of other stocks that have recently crossed above their 200-day moving average.
- Author's Opinion: The views expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
- Stock Performance: The article provides a brief overview of GBTG's stock performance within the specified time frame.
See More
