Zoetis Inc. (NYSE:ZTS) Stock May Be Priced 32% Lower Than Its True Value Estimate
Valuation of Zoetis: The fair value of Zoetis is estimated at US$177, indicating that the current share price of US$121 suggests a potential undervaluation of 32%.
Discounted Cash Flow Analysis: A two-stage Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) model was used to estimate the intrinsic value, taking into account future cash flows and a conservative growth rate for terminal value.
Financial Strengths and Weaknesses: Zoetis shows strong earnings growth and well-covered debt and dividends, but its dividend yield is low compared to top competitors in the pharmaceuticals market.
Investment Considerations: While the DCF model provides insights into valuation, it is important to consider other factors such as market risks, future earnings growth compared to peers, and alternative investment options.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Analyst Views on ZTS
About ZTS
About the author

- Earnings Release Date: Animal healthcare company Zoetis is set to report its Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings on February 12, with market attention focused on whether the guidance will impact stock performance, especially after a significant drop following last November's earnings release.
- Revenue and Earnings Expectations: Analysts forecast Zoetis will achieve $2.36 billion in revenue and earnings of approximately $1.40 per share this quarter, representing only 1.9% year-over-year growth and flat earnings; however, a positive surprise could trigger a bullish response from investors.
- Market Reaction Risks: Despite Zoetis beating earnings expectations in the last four quarters, the company's previous guidance cut for full-year 2025 revenue raises uncertainties about investor reactions to future outlooks, potentially putting pressure on the stock again.
- Valuation Changes: Zoetis's current price-to-earnings ratio has fallen below 20 times, making it more attractive compared to competitor Elanco Animal Health's 23 times; however, the stock may still face further valuation compression risks until concerns about future growth are alleviated.
- Earnings Schedule: This week features a high volume of earnings reports from technology, consumer discretionary, and energy sectors, with RIVN stock showing notable movement ahead of its earnings release, indicating investor sentiment.
- Monday.com and Pagaya Reports: On Monday, work management SaaS provider Monday.com and fintech company Pagaya released their earnings before the market opened, with expectations that their results will reflect broader industry trends.
- Coinbase Earnings Expectations: On Thursday, Coinbase is expected to report earnings of 68 cents per share and quarterly revenue of $1.86 billion, despite facing a projected 33% drop in transaction revenue, raising investor interest in its growing stablecoin and subscription services.
- Nebius Group Forecast: Also on Thursday, Nebius Group is projected to report a loss of $1.14 per share and revenue of $246.05 million, with analysts expressing caution, reflecting concerns over cloud service demand in the current market environment.
- Earnings Release Preview: Zoetis is set to report its Q4 and full-year 2025 earnings on February 12, with forecasts of $2.36 billion in revenue reflecting a 1.9% year-over-year growth and earnings around $1.40 per share, indicating flat earnings but market anticipation for a potential earnings beat.
- Historical Performance Insight: The company has beaten earnings expectations in the last four quarters, and after last quarter's lowered guidance, adjusted expectations may set the stage for a significant earnings surprise this time, potentially leading to a bullish market reaction.
- Market Reaction Risks: Despite the potential for strong earnings, investors may react negatively to the outlook if the company’s guidance for 2026 disappoints, particularly due to macro trends affecting its livestock business, which could lead to further declines in stock price.
- Long-term Investment Outlook: Zoetis remains a leader in its field with over a decade of steady earnings and dividend growth, and while currently trading at a valuation discount compared to Elanco Animal Health, positive surprises in results and guidance could help the stock recover from its recent slump.
- DuPont Earnings Expectations: DuPont is expected to report earnings of $0.43 per share and revenue of $1.69 billion for Q4 2025, with analysts noting ongoing pressure in short-cycle businesses, while slight improvements in the automotive sector may influence investor sentiment.
- Cisco's AI Focus: Cisco anticipates earnings of $1.02 per share and revenue of $15.1 billion for Q2 FY2026, with CEO highlighting a major multi-year campus networking refresh, making AI infrastructure demand a critical growth driver.
- Importance of Employment Report: The January employment report is expected to show an addition of 80,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.4%, directly impacting private consumption and U.S. GDP, making it crucial for investors to monitor.
- Consumer Price Index Insights: The January CPI is projected to increase by 2.5% year-over-year, with core CPI rising by 2.6%, providing essential inflation details despite not being the Fed's preferred measure, particularly regarding persistent shelter cost inflation.

- Market Performance: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 2.5% and closed above 50,000 for the first time.
- Nasdaq Struggles: In contrast, the Nasdaq Composite ended the week down 1.8%, despite a strong rally on Friday.
- Job Data Expectations: The U.S. is expected to add 60,000 jobs in January, up from 50,000 in December, which could influence the Fed's monetary policy direction amidst ongoing economic uncertainty.
- Inflation Metrics Analysis: The January Consumer Price Index is projected to rise by 0.29% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year, showing improvement but still falling short of the Fed's 2% target, potentially affecting investor rate expectations.
- Market Reaction and Risks: Recent signs of labor market weakness, including an ADP report indicating only 22,000 new private sector jobs, may heighten expectations for further Fed rate cuts, although investors remain optimistic about economic resilience.
- Stock Market Rotation Trend: A significant rotation within the stock market is underway, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising over 2% this week, reflecting confidence in economic recovery, despite ongoing weakness in tech stocks.










