EXCLUSIVE: Traders May Be Getting The Tariff Playbook All Wrong, Here's Why
Traders and Tariff Concerns: Traders are increasingly investing in recession hedges due to renewed tariff threats, but experts suggest they may be misinterpreting the relationship between tariffs, inflation, and recession risks.
Market Strategy and Sentiment: While traders recognize the potential for recession linked to tariffs, overreacting to these signals could lead to poor investment strategies that do not account for slower-moving economic factors like persistent inflation.
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Tim Moore's Investments: Republican Representative Tim Moore has made significant leveraged bets against U.S. small-cap stocks, investing up to $215,000 in the Direxion Daily Small Cap Bear 3X Shares ETF, which profits from declines in the small-cap market.
Performance and Trading Activity: Despite his bearish investments, Moore's overall portfolio has yielded an average gain of 31.50% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500, and he has engaged in 167 trades totaling nearly $6.93 million, including sales of major stocks like UnitedHealth Group and Centene Corp.
Traders and Tariff Concerns: Traders are increasingly investing in recession hedges due to renewed tariff threats, but experts suggest they may be misinterpreting the relationship between tariffs, inflation, and recession risks.
Market Strategy and Sentiment: While traders recognize the potential for recession linked to tariffs, overreacting to these signals could lead to poor investment strategies that do not account for slower-moving economic factors like persistent inflation.

Small-Cap Stocks Potential: With the Federal Reserve hinting at possible rate cuts, small-cap stocks may see a resurgence as lower borrowing costs could benefit their growth, according to Ed Egilinsky from Direxion.
Investment Opportunities: Investors can explore leveraged ETFs like TNA and TZA for trading opportunities in small caps, or consider non-leveraged options tracking the Russell 2000 index for diversified exposure.
- ETF Outflows: The OFOS ETF experienced the largest outflow, losing 140,000 units, a 37.8% decrease from the previous week.
- Video Content: The video discusses significant outflows in TZA and OFOS ETFs.
- Disclaimer: The views expressed in the content are those of the author and not necessarily of Nasdaq, Inc.
- ETF Market Trends: Significant inflows and outflows were observed in ETFs, particularly in sectors like semiconductors and technology.
- Top Inflow ETFs: TSPA, a fund focusing on long-term capital growth in U.S.-listed companies, saw substantial inflows last week, with major holdings in tech giants like Microsoft and Apple.
- Bond ETF Inflows: CGCB, a core bond fund, experienced notable inflows as investors sought safer options amid uncertain interest rate cuts.
- Dividend-Paying Stock ETF: TDVG, which invests in dividend-paying stocks, received significant inflows and holds top positions in companies like Microsoft and Apple.
- Inverse Leverage ETFs: SOXS and TZA, offering inverse exposure to semiconductor and small-cap indices respectively, attracted notable inflows last week.







