ETFs Expected to Rise as Inflation Increases in August
Inflation Trends: The U.S. annual inflation rate rose to 2.9% in August 2025, driven by higher gasoline and food prices, while core inflation remained steady at 3.1%.
Economic Growth and Jobless Claims: The U.S. economy grew at an annualized rate of 3.3% in Q2 2025, despite a recent rise in jobless claims, which may influence the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates.
Corporate Earnings Outlook: S&P 500 index earnings for Q3 2025 are projected to increase by 5.1% year-over-year, with positive revisions in earnings estimates since the quarter began.
Market Expectations for Rate Cuts: There is a 92.5% probability of a 25-basis point rate cut in the upcoming September meeting, as markets adjust expectations following the recent inflation data.
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Analyst Views on ITOT

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52-Week Range of ITOT: ITOT's share price has a 52-week low of $105 and a high of $150.70, with the last trade recorded at $150.23.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Author's Views: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
ITOT Price Performance: ITOT's 52-week price range is between $105 and $150.56, with the last trade recorded at $145.03, indicating a strong position relative to its moving average.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand, impacting the underlying assets.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly analysis of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows or outflows, which can affect the individual components held within those ETFs.
Author's Perspective: The opinions expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.
Buffett's Investment Philosophy: Warren Buffett emphasizes the importance of long-term investing, advising against panic selling during market downturns and highlighting that market crashes are normal and recoverable.
Cash and Diversification: With Berkshire Hathaway holding a significant cash reserve, Buffett suggests that cash remains a valuable asset, and diversification through ETFs can provide better downside protection.
Learning from Mistakes: Buffett encourages investors to learn from past mistakes and focus on stable, low-valuation stocks, while also recognizing the potential of quality investments amidst market trends.
Shareholder Value Maximization: He notes that companies with shareholder-conscious management often engage in share repurchases and dividend hikes, recommending specific ETFs that focus on maximizing shareholder value.
ETFs as Investment Vehicles: Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) provide diversification and lower risk, making them appealing for investors seeking returns, but selecting the right ETF can be challenging.
Vanguard Russell 1000 Growth ETF (VONG): The VONG ETF has an Outperform rating with a price target of $138, indicating an 11.71% upside, driven by strong holdings in companies like Nvidia and Microsoft, despite some concerns regarding Tesla.
iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT): The ITOT ETF also holds an Outperform rating with a price target of $164, suggesting a 10.04% upside, supported by exposure to high-performing companies, although challenges with Berkshire Hathaway temper its rating.
Vanguard Dividend Appreciation ETF (VIG): The VIG ETF has an Outperform rating and a price target of $243, reflecting a 10.40% upside, bolstered by strong contributions from Microsoft and Mastercard, while concerns about Oracle and JPMorgan Chase slightly affect its overall rating.
ETF Analyst Target Price: The iShares Core S&P Total U.S. Stock Market ETF (ITOT) has an implied analyst target price of $169.10, indicating a potential upside of 13.49% from its current trading price of $149.00.
Notable Holdings with Upside: Key underlying holdings of ITOT, such as Phathom Pharmaceuticals (PHAT), OOMA Inc (OOMA), and Atlanta Braves Holdings (BATRA), show significant upside potential, with target prices suggesting increases of 61.04%, 57.71%, and 33.15%, respectively.
Analyst Target Justification: The article raises questions about whether analysts' target prices are justified or overly optimistic, suggesting that high targets could lead to downgrades if they do not align with recent developments in the companies or industries.
Further Research Needed: Investors are encouraged to conduct additional research to assess the validity of the analysts' targets and to understand the implications of the current market conditions on these price predictions.
52-Week Range of ITOT: ITOT's share price has a 52-week low of $105 and a high of $150.56, with the last trade recorded at $148.34.
Understanding ETFs: Exchange traded funds (ETFs) function like stocks, where investors buy and sell "units" that can be created or destroyed based on demand.
Monitoring ETF Flows: Weekly monitoring of shares outstanding helps identify ETFs with significant inflows (new units created) or outflows (units destroyed), impacting the underlying holdings.
Disclaimer: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.











