Eric Jackson Claims This Mortgage Finance Stock Could Surge 21,200% in the Next 3 Years: 'Mathematically Feasible'
Eric Jackson's Bold Prediction: Hedge fund manager Eric Jackson forecasts a potential 21,200% increase in Better Home & Finance Holding Co.'s stock price, projecting it could reach $12,000 in three years due to its innovative platform and market opportunities.
Comparison to Palantir: Jackson likens Better's Tinman platform to Palantir's enterprise ontology, emphasizing its unique ability to unify various data structures in the mortgage industry, which enhances efficiency and connectivity among borrowers, homes, and investors.
Strong Financial Performance: Better has shown significant growth, with a 51% year-over-year revenue increase and a 10x rise in its home equity line of credit business, contributing to 40% of total revenue, while expenses have remained stable.
Market Sentiment and Stock Performance: Despite Jackson's optimistic outlook, Better's stock has recently seen a slight decline, ending the week at $56.25, with a short interest of 10.58% and a neutral trend indicated by its relative strength index.
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- Significant Stock Decline: Opendoor's stock plummeted from a peak of $35.88 in February 2021 to the current $5, with a market cap of $4.65 billion, indicating a market pessimism that values it at less than one times this year's sales.
- Revenue Plummet: From 2022 to 2024, the company's revenue fell from $15.6 billion to $5.2 billion, with home purchases dropping from 34,962 to 14,684, and EBITDA margin declining from negative 1.1% to negative 2.8%, highlighting the fragility of its business model in a high-interest-rate environment.
- Management Changes: The appointment of new CEO Kaz Nejatian and the return of co-founders to the board may provide fresh strategic direction, although analysts expect a further 18% revenue decline to $4.2 billion in 2025, with an adjusted EBITDA margin of negative 1.9%.
- Future Growth Potential: Analysts project that from 2025 to 2027, Opendoor's revenue could grow at a 27% CAGR to $6.8 billion, and if achieved, its stock may be grossly undervalued, suggesting that investors should consider gradually accumulating shares before the market fully recovers.
- DuPont Earnings Expectations: DuPont is expected to report earnings of $0.43 per share and revenue of $1.69 billion for Q4 2025, with analysts noting ongoing pressure in short-cycle businesses, while slight improvements in the automotive sector may influence investor sentiment.
- Cisco's AI Focus: Cisco anticipates earnings of $1.02 per share and revenue of $15.1 billion for Q2 FY2026, with CEO highlighting a major multi-year campus networking refresh, making AI infrastructure demand a critical growth driver.
- Importance of Employment Report: The January employment report is expected to show an addition of 80,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.4%, directly impacting private consumption and U.S. GDP, making it crucial for investors to monitor.
- Consumer Price Index Insights: The January CPI is projected to increase by 2.5% year-over-year, with core CPI rising by 2.6%, providing essential inflation details despite not being the Fed's preferred measure, particularly regarding persistent shelter cost inflation.
- Significant Stock Volatility: Opendoor's stock surged over 260% in the past year, yet it is currently down 52% from its 52-week high, indicating high market uncertainty regarding its future performance.
- Declining Sales Performance: The company reported approximately $915 million in sales for Q3 2025, a substantial drop from $1.38 billion in the same quarter last year, reflecting severe challenges in its iBuyer business.
- Decreased Gross Margin: Opendoor's gross margin fell from 7.6% in the previous year to 7.2%, indicating increased pressure on profitability that could affect its long-term sustainability.
- AI Integration Proving Effective: Despite the sales decline, Opendoor managed to narrow its non-GAAP net loss to $61 million in Q3, down from $70 million the previous year, showcasing positive progress in cost control through AI-driven efficiency initiatives.
- Stock Fluctuation: Opendoor Technologies' stock fell 12% in January, with no specific negative news but a shift in retail investor sentiment causing a pullback, indicating market caution ahead of the upcoming earnings report.
- Revenue Decline: In Q3 2025, Opendoor's revenue dropped 34% year-over-year to $913 million, with home sales decreasing from 3,615 to 2,568, and inventory falling from 6,288 to 3,139 homes, highlighting pressures in the high-interest rate environment.
- CEO Strategic Shift: New CEO Kaz Nejatian has outlined three main strategies: scaling acquisitions, speeding up turnover, and enhancing operational efficiency, with plans to leverage artificial intelligence to expedite processes despite the challenging market conditions.
- Market Outlook: Although Opendoor's stock saw a rise after the CEO change, it has been slowly declining as the fourth-quarter earnings report approaches, currently trading at 0.9 times trailing 12-month sales, reflecting market concerns about the company's future performance.
- Housing Development Initiative: Lennar and Taylor Morrison are reportedly working on a plan to develop one million 'Trump Homes' in response to President Trump's affordable housing initiative, which is expected to significantly increase housing supply in the market.
- Innovative Financing Model: The proposal involves financing from private investors, with initial plans to rent these 'entry-level' homes to tenants, allowing rent payments to convert into down payments after three years, thereby lowering the barriers to homeownership.
- Market Scale Expectations: The initiative aims to deliver $250 billion worth of housing, and while initial losses will be borne by private investors, the project's scale could expand if more builders join, potentially driving industry growth.
- Policy Context: The proposal was pitched to the Trump administration in 2025, and although finer details are still being refined, this move indicates the government's focus on the housing market, which could influence future housing policies and market dynamics.
- Stock Plunge: PayPal's stock fell over 20% on Tuesday, reaching its lowest level in nearly a decade, marking the worst single-day decline in its history, which reflects investor disappointment following its latest earnings report.
- Leadership Change Impact: The announcement of HP CEO Enrique Lores taking over as PayPal's new CEO has triggered strong market reactions, indicating uncertainty about the company's future direction, especially after Alex Chriss's leadership raised concerns about the core product's viability.
- Criticism from Industry Leaders: Opendoor CEO Kaz Nejatian publicly criticized PayPal, arguing that the company prioritized the growth of its Braintree unit at the expense of its core product, leading to its current struggles, which highlights widespread dissatisfaction with PayPal's strategic direction within the industry.
- Retail User Sentiment Shift: Despite the significant stock drop, retail sentiment towards PayPal has shifted from 'extremely bearish' to 'extremely bullish' over the past month, indicating rising expectations for the new CEO, with message volumes reaching a one-year high, reflecting increased investor interest.











