Demand For High-End Homes 'Will Remain Solid' Into Next Year, Says Toll Brothers CEO
Toll Brothers' Performance: CEO Douglas Yearley anticipates strong demand for luxury homes to continue into 2025, supported by low mortgage rates and favorable demographics, despite a mixed demand trend throughout the quarter. The company reported adjusted EPS of $3.60 and revenue of $2.73 billion, surpassing analyst expectations.
Market Insights: While home orders rose by 11% year-over-year, they fell short of Wall Street's forecasts. Demand was particularly robust in certain states and urban areas, but the sales absorption rate was below expectations, indicating potential seasonal declines ahead.
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Carvana's New Facility: Carvana Co is planning to integrate an auction and reconditioning 'Megasite' in central New Jersey, enhancing its operational capabilities and expanding production capacity while creating around 200 new jobs in the region.
Impact on Services: The new facility will streamline Carvana's reconditioning process, improve delivery speeds for customers, and continue to provide digital auction services for commercial clients, positioning the company for growth in the competitive used car market.
Carvana's Expansion: Carvana Co. is integrating its Inspection and Reconditioning Center capabilities into the ADESA Indianapolis auction site, creating a "Megasite" that will enhance production capacity and services for retail and wholesale customers while generating around 200 new jobs in the area.
Operational Benefits: This integration aims to improve delivery efficiency and inventory access for local customers, with potential same-day vehicle delivery, while also enhancing auction operations supported by Carvana’s CARLI software.
ETF Inflows: The Invesco Dorsey Wright Consumer Cyclicals Momentum ETF saw a significant increase in inflows, adding 260,000 units, which represents a 38.2% rise in outstanding units.
Market Performance: In morning trading, Modine Manufacturing experienced a decline of approximately 4.4%, while Toll Brothers was down by about 0.8%.
Current Housing Market Trends: The U.S. housing market is experiencing a shift with expected mortgage rate declines and a projected modest increase in home prices, while competition remains high due to job growth and limited land availability.
Investment Opportunities: Homebuilders are likely to benefit from stable demand, with stocks of major companies like D.R. Horton, Lennar, and Toll Brothers showing significant gains, indicating favorable conditions for investors in the housing sector.
Earnings Report Highlights: Abercrombie & Fitch Co reported a 21% year-over-year sales increase to $1.134 billion, with adjusted EPS of $2.50 surpassing estimates. The company also saw significant growth in operating income and gross profit margin.
Future Outlook: The company anticipates third-quarter net sales growth in the low double digits and has raised its full-year sales growth outlook to 12%-13%, while projecting an operating margin of 14%-15%.

Toll Brothers' Performance: CEO Douglas Yearley anticipates strong demand for luxury homes to continue into 2025, supported by low mortgage rates and favorable demographics, despite a mixed demand trend throughout the quarter. The company reported adjusted EPS of $3.60 and revenue of $2.73 billion, surpassing analyst expectations.
Market Insights: While home orders rose by 11% year-over-year, they fell short of Wall Street's forecasts. Demand was particularly robust in certain states and urban areas, but the sales absorption rate was below expectations, indicating potential seasonal declines ahead.









