Dan Ives-Inspired AI ETF Suffered Losses in November — Will There Be Further Declines?
Performance Decline: The Dan IVES Wedbush AI Revolution ETF experienced a 7.51% decline in November, marking a stall in its initial momentum after a strong performance since its launch in June 2025.
Market Conditions: The decline is attributed to concentration risk in sector-specific funds and a broader market shift where institutional investors moved away from high-growth stocks, impacting the ETF's value.
Volatility Reminder: The situation highlights the high-risk, high-reward nature of thematic ETFs, with the fund's performance being closely tied to the fortunes of its key AI holdings, particularly in the semiconductor and software sectors.
Long-term Outlook: Despite the short-term pullback, the IVES ETF remains up over 27% since inception, suggesting that for long-term investors, such dips may present buying opportunities.
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- Nvidia's Market Performance: Nvidia's stock has surged over 700% in the past three years, pushing its market capitalization beyond $4 trillion, making it the largest company globally, which highlights its dominant position in high-performance AI applications and attracts significant investor interest.
- Oracle's Market Challenges: Oracle, with a market cap of $440 billion, has seen its stock drop over 52% since last September, primarily due to high spending on AI infrastructure and a debt exceeding $100 billion, raising concerns about its financial health among investors.
- Financial Performance Highlights: Oracle's recent Q2 FY2026 earnings report revealed a 14% year-over-year revenue increase to $16.05 billion, with net income soaring 95% to $6.13 billion, including a $2.7 billion pre-tax gain, showcasing its strong growth potential in the cloud computing sector.
- Future Growth Expectations: Despite facing debt pressures, Oracle's forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at just 19.8, indicating that its stock is at a two-year low, and analysts expect significant revenue growth in the future, potentially providing a good buying opportunity for investors.
- Strong Debut Performance: Montage Technology's shares surged approximately 60% on their Hong Kong debut, climbing from the offering price of HK$106.89 to HK$171, indicating robust market demand for its high-performance semiconductors and reinforcing its position in the cloud computing and AI sectors.
- Significant Fundraising: The IPO raised $902 million, reflecting strong investor interest in Chinese AI and semiconductor firms, particularly as the public tranche was oversubscribed by more than 700 times and the international offering was nearly 38 times covered.
- Intensifying Market Competition: Despite Montage's successful listing, competition is heating up, with Huawei and its chip unit HiSilicon holding a leading share of the domestic market, suggesting that the push for self-sufficiency will lead to fiercer rivalry within the industry.
- Evolving Policy Landscape: As the Chinese government intensifies efforts for self-sufficiency in advanced chips, the recent approval for Nvidia's H200 imports under specific conditions highlights the uncertainty in policy that could impact market dynamics.
- User Growth Resurgence: OpenAI CEO Sam Altman revealed in an internal message that ChatGPT's monthly growth rate has exceeded 10%, indicating a recovery in user demand that is expected to further drive the company's market share and revenue growth.
- New Model Launch: Altman stated that OpenAI plans to launch an updated ChatGPT model this week, which will enhance its product competitiveness, especially in the face of pressure from rivals like Anthropic.
- Strong Codex Performance: OpenAI's coding product Codex grew approximately 50% over the past week, demonstrating increased market acceptance and potentially eroding market share from competitors like Claude Code.
- Ad Testing Initiation: OpenAI will begin testing ads within ChatGPT on Monday; although ad revenue is expected to account for less than half of total revenue in the long term, this initiative could provide new revenue streams and enhance the company's financial stability.
- Rising Market Demand: GF Securities analyst Jeff Pu noted that Nvidia's launch of the Quantum-X optical switch at the 2025 GTC will drive demand for continuous-wave lasers from Lumentum, presenting significant market opportunities for the company.
- Product Release Timeline: Nvidia plans to gradually introduce its scale-out optical switches from 2025 to 2027, with a new generation featuring 115.2T expected in 2026, further propelling Lumentum's business growth.
- Long-Term Structural Opportunity: Lumentum highlighted in its recent earnings call that optical scale-up represents a long-term structural opportunity, expected to materialize by late 2027, indicating the company's confidence in future market prospects.
- Technological Transition Trend: As Nvidia considers introducing CPO/NPO technologies in the second half of 2027, Lumentum stands to benefit from the transition in optical interconnects, although the readiness for NPO versus CPO production remains uncertain.
- Strong Market Demand: Nvidia's (NVDA) stock has surged 47% over the past year, driven by ongoing investments in chips and data centers, particularly as Google's parent company Alphabet announced a minimum of $175 billion in capital expenditures this year to support AI demand, indicating robust market interest in artificial intelligence.
- Diversified Market Opportunities: Nvidia is not solely reliant on selling powerful chips to AI hyperscalers; it is also partnering with Thermo Fisher Scientific to build an AI lab computing system powered by its DGX Spark supercomputer, targeting the life sciences industry, which spends approximately $300 billion annually on research and development, thereby expanding its market potential.
- Systems Solutions Provider: Nvidia distinguishes itself as a systems and solutions provider rather than just a chip supplier, which enhances its competitive edge against custom chip designers like Broadcom, making it an indispensable partner for enterprises seeking to solve complex problems and solidifying its market position.
- Attractive Investment Value: Nvidia's stock appears attractively valued, trading at 24 times this year's consensus earnings estimate, with Wall Street analysts projecting a 57% increase in earnings this year, suggesting that the recent dip could present an excellent buying opportunity before the stock rises to new highs later this year.
- Sapience AI Investment: Society Pass announced an $8.8 million investment in Sapience AI at the end of January, leveraging Nvidia's Blackwell chips to develop smaller data centers, which is expected to drive growth in a faster and more cost-effective manner, enhancing its competitive edge in the Southeast Asian market.
- NusaTrip Partnership Expansion: NusaTrip has formed new partnerships with Indonesian OTA Bookcabin and Thai OTA Gother to integrate flight and hotel supplies, with expectations for future expansion of products and ancillary services, thereby increasing market share.
- Gorilla eSIM Reinvestment: After selling Gorilla in 2025, Society Pass reacquired an interest in the company through a $1.9 million investment, with management anticipating that the shift to a B2B model will lead to an IPO within the next year, potentially benefiting shareholders.
- Financing and Target Price Adjustment: Society Pass funded the above investments through a $3 million offering with no warrant coverage, which is expected to boost shareholder confidence, while Greenridge's target price adjustment reflects an optimistic outlook on future growth.











