Comstock Resources Short Interest Hits Record High of 37.1%
Welcome to this week's installment of "The Short Interest Report" - The Fly's weekly recap of short interest trends among some of the most widely followed high-short-float stocks. Using the data from our partner, which utilizes the latest information from stock lenders to estimate short interest changes for thousands of publicly traded companies, this report will screen for some of biggest changes in short interest as a percentage of free float and days-to-cover ratios while also considering the short interest data on some of the more volatile and heavier-traded names of the week. Based on the availability of data from Ortex, the report tracks the trading period that covers prior Friday through Thursday of this week, excluding holidays. As a basis of comparison for stocks discussed below, the S&P 500 index was up 0.6%, the Nasdaq Composite was up 0.4%, the Russell 2000 index was up 2.4%, the Russell 2000 Growth ETFwas up 1.8%, and the Russell 2000 Value ETFwas up 3.0% in the five-day trading session range through December 11.SHORT INTEREST GAINERSOrtex-reported short interest on Comstock Resourceshad tracked in a 23%-24% range from the final week of September through the first week of November. Shares went on a 55% run over the course of November prior to an abrupt reversal this month that has taken about two thirds of those gains away, but through the entire movement, bearish positioning increased for five consecutive weeks. This week, shorts as a percentage of free float jumped from 28.3% to 37.1%, a record high, even as days-to-cover slipped from 9.5 to 8.7 due to outsized trading volume in the name. The stock was down about 20% in the five-day period covered through Thursday, though year-to-date, the energy name remains higher by 19%.Ortex-reported short interest on Kura Sushihas oscillated along with the stock price for much of 2025, with a trough of about 17% in March coinciding with the bottom in shares, and the subsequent runup to 2025 highs just above 30% tracking Kura Sushi's bounce. This week, a budding divergence has emerged as the stock fell about 4% while shorts as a percentage of free float spiked three percentage points to 29.0% toward the top of the range. Shares are looking to recover from another disappointing earnings report in early November that sent Kura Sushi to test the April lows, and the bears appear to be positioning for a test to the downside.Ortex-reported short interest on Grouponis breaking out of a three-and-a-half month long 30%-35.5% range, rising from 32.7% to 36%. That level of bearish positioning is now within two percentage points of the first week of August when the stock registered a multi-year high in the wake of a much stronger than expected earnings report. The stock, meanwhile, was down 10% in the five-day period covered through Thursday, and with another near-4% in losses on Friday is now trading within a dollar of March lows. The company's most recent appearance at the Raymond James TMT/Consumer Conference has referred to Cyber-Monday to December period as accounting for 40% of the Groupon's business for the year, and traders are potentially positioning for disappointment in terms of spending activity among the macro-distressed lower end consumer.SHORT INTEREST DECLINERSOrtex-reported short interest on Intuitive Machinespeaked around 28% in the final week of November as the stock hit its lowest level in seven months around $8 per share, with the subsequent two weeks of declining bearish positioning against a jump of over 50% in the stock price suggesting an effective short squeeze. This week, shorts as a percentage of free float on Intuitive Machines plunged from 26.1% to 22.8% - the lowest level since late August. Days-to-cover on the name retreated from 7.1 to 6.7 - a less dramatic margin as trading volumes from October and on remained relatively elevated. The stock was up 10.1% in the five-day period covered through Thursday and, inclusive of Friday's 5% pullback, has now bounced 54% from November's intra-day lows, though year-to-date, Intuitive Machines is still down 34%.
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- Earnings Beat: Progress Software reported an adjusted Q4 EPS of $1.51, exceeding the market expectation of $1.31, indicating strong profitability growth that is likely to boost investor confidence.
- Revenue Performance: The company's quarterly revenue was $252.67 million, slightly below the consensus estimate of $252.86 million; however, the overall financial performance remains robust, potentially attracting more institutional investor interest.
- Significant Stock Surge: Following the positive earnings report, Progress Software's shares surged 20.5% to $46.50 on Wednesday, reflecting market optimism regarding the company's future growth potential.
- Optimistic Guidance: The company issued first-quarter and FY26 guidance above market estimates, demonstrating management's confidence in future performance, which may further drive stock price increases and enhance market recognition of its long-term investment value.
- Price Surge: U.S. natural gas futures have surged over 50% in just two days, with front-month contracts reaching a new year-to-date high of $4.657/MMBtu, indicating a tight supply-demand balance in the market.
- Global Impact: Cold weather has caused energy prices to skyrocket worldwide, with Japan's power prices hitting a three-month high and European gas futures up 29% this month, reflecting strong international demand for energy.
- Production Risks: Snow is forecasted in Texas, a key natural gas production area, significantly increasing the likelihood of temporary outages and reduced exports, which could further drive prices higher.
- Consumer Pressure: While rising natural gas prices benefit U.S. producers, they pose a challenge for consumers facing higher energy bills, becoming a troubling political issue for President Trump.

Market Opening: U.S. stock markets are set to open in two hours.
Teck Resources Performance: Teck Resources Ltd. Cl B (TECK) saw a 5.8% increase in pre-market trading.
Teledyne Technologies Performance: Teledyne Technologies Inc. (TDY) experienced a 5.1% rise in pre-market trading.
Overall Market Sentiment: The pre-market gains indicate positive sentiment among investors for these companies.
- Demand Surge: A blast of freezing weather sweeping across large parts of the U.S. is expected to significantly increase heating and electricity generation demand, driving natural gas futures up 24.1% to a year-to-date high of $3.853/MMBtu.
- Weather Impact: A major winter storm is forecasted to bring heavy snow, sleet, and freezing rain by Friday, exacerbating cold conditions in the southern U.S. and potentially disrupting natural gas production and supply.
- Market Volatility: With speculator short positions at a 14-month high, the market faces further bullish risks, particularly as sub-zero temperatures threaten production freeze-offs in the Marcellus and Bakken shale regions.
- Production Outlook: Despite the current price surge, EBW analysts caution that any warming in weather models into mid-February could soften near-term price spikes, indicating that the market must remain vigilant regarding future weather impacts on natural gas prices.

- Active Options Trading: Microsoft options have seen a trading volume of 171,422 contracts today, equivalent to approximately 17.1 million shares, indicating a robust activity level at 78.4% of the average daily volume of 21.9 million shares over the past month.
- High Put Option Volume: Notably, the $510 strike put option has traded 10,335 contracts today, representing about 1.0 million shares, reflecting market concerns regarding potential future declines in the stock price.
- Clearwater Options Activity: Clearwater Paper Corp's options volume stands at 1,524 contracts today, equivalent to approximately 152,400 shares, reaching 76% of its average daily volume of 200,630 shares over the past month, indicating investor interest in the company.
- Call Option Trading: Among Clearwater's options, the $20 strike call option has seen 1,510 contracts traded, representing about 151,000 shares, suggesting investor expectations for future price increases in the stock.
- Earnings Release Schedule: Comstock Resources plans to release its Q4 2025 financial results after market close on February 11, 2026, highlighting its latest performance in natural gas production.
- Conference Call Timing: The company will host a conference call on February 12, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. CT to discuss the fourth-quarter results, which is expected to attract significant attention from investors and analysts.
- Participation Details: Interested parties must register in advance to receive the dial-in number and personal PIN, ensuring they dial in at least 15 minutes early for a timely connection to the call.
- Replay Availability: A replay of the conference call will be available starting at 1:00 p.m. CT on February 12, 2026, for twelve months, allowing investors who cannot attend live to review the discussion.









