CNBC Daily Open: Expectations can be an irrational thing. Just look at Nvidia
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Nov 22 2024
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Should l Buy GOOGL?
Source: CNBC
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Analyst Views on GOOGL
Wall Street analysts forecast GOOGL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for GOOGL is 338.25 USD with a low forecast of 279.00 USD and a high forecast of 390.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
34 Analyst Rating
27 Buy
7 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 322.860
Low
279.00
Averages
338.25
High
390.00
Current: 322.860
Low
279.00
Averages
338.25
High
390.00
About GOOGL
Alphabet Inc. is a holding company. The Company's segments include Google Services, Google Cloud, and Other Bets. The Google Services segment includes products and services such as ads, Android, Chrome, devices, Google Maps, Google Play, Search, and YouTube. The Google Cloud segment includes infrastructure and platform services, collaboration tools, and other services for enterprise customers. Its Other Bets segment is engaged in the sale of healthcare-related services and Internet services. Its Google Cloud provides enterprise-ready cloud services, including Google Cloud Platform and Google Workspace. Google Cloud Platform provides access to solutions such as artificial intelligence (AI) offerings, including its AI infrastructure, Vertex AI platform, and Gemini for Google Cloud; cybersecurity, and data and analytics. Google Workspace includes cloud-based communication and collaboration tools for enterprises, such as Calendar, Gmail, Docs, Drive, and Meet.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Increased Holdings: According to an SEC filing dated February 9, Arnhold LLC aggressively increased its stake in Axalta Coating Systems from 236,419 shares to 500,700 shares during the fourth quarter, indicating confidence in the company's future performance.
- Value Appreciation: As of December 31, Arnhold's position in Axalta was valued at $16.2 million, up $9.4 million from $6.8 million on September 30, reflecting optimistic expectations for potential returns from the stock.
- Asset Allocation Insight: Axalta represents 1.2% of Arnhold's reported AUM, and while it does not rank among the top five holdings, the increase in shares suggests a sustained interest in the sector.
- Market Performance Comparison: Despite Axalta's stock declining by 11.1% over the past year, trailing the S&P 500's 15.4% return, Arnhold's continued investment indicates a belief in the company's future market performance, potentially leading to strategic adjustments in their investment approach.
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- Share Acquisition: Arnhold purchased 264,281 shares of Axalta in Q4, increasing its total holdings to 500,700 shares valued at $16.2 million, indicating confidence in Axalta's future performance.
- Asset Allocation: As of December 31, Axalta represented 1.2% of Arnhold's reported $1.3 billion AUM, highlighting its significance within the investment portfolio.
- Market Performance: Axalta's stock has declined by 11.1% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500's 15.4% return, raising concerns about its future outlook in the market.
- Investment Strategy: Despite increasing its stake in Axalta, the Motley Fool analyst team did not include it among the best stocks to buy now, suggesting investors should exercise caution before investing.
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- Surging Capital Expenditures: Alphabet anticipates capital expenditures reaching $185 billion in 2025, more than double last year's figures, reflecting the company's significant commitment to AI and infrastructure, which may impact its core advertising profitability.
- Bond Financing Plan: To support its AI ambitions, Alphabet plans to raise $20 billion through a U.S. dollar bond sale, expected to occur in four tranches, including a 100-year sterling bond, indicating strong market interest with oversubscription by five times.
- Compute Capacity Risks: CEO Sundar Pichai highlighted compute capacity, energy, and supply chain constraints as major challenges during the earnings call, indicating that Google must effectively manage its resources to maintain competitiveness amid rapidly growing AI demand.
- Ad Revenue Growth: Despite potential threats from AI to its search and advertising business, Google's fourth-quarter ad revenue increased by 13.5% year-over-year to $82.28 billion, demonstrating the company's success in adjusting its advertising strategies to meet market changes.
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- AI Risk Disclosure: In its latest financial report, Alphabet highlighted for the first time the potential impact of AI on its advertising business, noting risks of 'excess capacity' that could affect core revenue streams and necessitate a reassessment of investment strategies.
- Bond Financing Plan: Alphabet plans to raise $20 billion through a bond sale, including a 100-year bond, expected to be issued in four tranches, indicating strong market interest in its financing needs with oversubscription reaching five times.
- Surge in Capital Expenditures: The company anticipates capital expenditures to reach $185 billion in 2025, more than double the previous year, indicating significant financial pressure from heavy investments in AI infrastructure that require careful fiscal management.
- Gemini User Growth: The monthly active users of Alphabet's Gemini AI application have increased from 650 million to 750 million, reflecting rapid adoption of generative AI, but also posing risks to its search business, necessitating adjustments in advertising strategies to adapt to market changes.
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- Capital Expenditure Surge: Amazon has announced a capital expenditure increase to $200 billion for 2023, with CEO Andy Jassy stating the company is monetizing capacity as quickly as possible, which may exert pressure on short-term financial performance.
- Strong Chip Performance: The installation of 1.4 million Tranium2 AI chips in Amazon's data centers has resulted in an annual revenue run rate of $10 billion, growing over 100% year-on-year, indicating robust growth potential in AI infrastructure.
- Significant Cost Advantage: Amazon's Tranium chips offer 30% to 40% better performance-per-dollar compared to Nvidia's GPUs, reducing operational costs for AWS customers and potentially attracting more AI companies to choose Amazon as their infrastructure provider.
- Intensifying Market Competition: As companies like Amazon increasingly rely on their own AI chips, Nvidia's market dominance is being challenged, which could impact its profit margins, especially as competition in the AI accelerator market intensifies.
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- Market Performance Rebound: The S&P 500 rose approximately 0.5%, the Nasdaq increased by 1%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average held above 50,000, indicating a positive market sentiment and a recovery in investor confidence.
- Strong Tech Stock Recovery: The portfolio's Magnificent Seven stocks, including Alphabet, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Meta, rebounded after recent declines, suggesting renewed confidence in the tech sector that could drive future investment inflows.
- Rising Capital Expenditure Expectations: Bank of America's updated capex tracker revealed a 14% quarter-over-quarter and 66% year-over-year increase in global hyperscale capex to $148 billion in Q4, exceeding expectations by $7 billion, reflecting optimism for future investments.
- Upcoming Earnings Reports: On Semiconductor and Vornado Realty Trust are set to release earnings after the bell, with the market closely watching these reports to assess industry health, while several companies, including Coca-Cola and Spotify, will report before Tuesday's open, further influencing market sentiment.
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