CICC Predicts Ongoing Surge in Aluminum Prices, Advises Attention on NANSHAN AL INTL and CHINAHONGQIAO
Investment Criteria: CICC's report advises investors to focus on aluminum stocks with overseas expansion capabilities and strong growth potential.
Recommended Stocks: Key stocks highlighted include NANSHAN AL INTL, CHINAHONGQIAO, CHALCO, TIANSHAN ALUMINUM, and HUATONG WIRES AND CABLES, with varying short selling ratios.
Aluminum Price Outlook: Citi has raised its three-month aluminum price target to USD 3,400 per ton, anticipating continued price increases due to a widening supply-demand gap.
Profit Expectations: As aluminum prices rise and costs remain low, the profit per ton of aluminum is expected to increase further.
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Commodity Price Impact: Commodity prices have risen significantly, benefiting the basic materials sector in China, particularly suppliers of aluminum, copper, and lithium, with positive ratings for companies like CHALCO and MMG.
Automakers Under Pressure: Rising material costs are expected to increase the production costs for mass-market electric vehicles, with smaller automakers like XPENG and GAC GROUP being more vulnerable compared to larger firms like BYD and Geely.
Battery Industry Outlook: Short-term challenges are anticipated for second-tier battery companies, while CATL is expected to maintain a strong position due to its bargaining power and upcoming production resumption.
Tech Sector Challenges: Xiaomi may face margin pressures from increasing memory costs, which significantly impact the bill of materials for its smartphones, potentially affecting profitability.

Hong Kong Stock Market Performance: Hong Kong stocks opened lower, with the HSI down 1.1% at 27,097, the HSCEI down 1.3% at 9,191, and the HSTECH down 1.3% at 5,644.
Decline in Precious Metals: Gold and silver prices saw significant drops, with CHINAGOLDINTL plunging 12.3% and other mining stocks like ZIJIN MINING and SD GOLD also experiencing declines of over 10%.
Resource Stocks Slump: Resource stocks, including JIANGXI COPPER and CHALCO, faced declines between 5.5% and 7.2%, with substantial short selling activity reported.
Telecom Sector Adjustments: Telecom service VAT for major companies like CHINA MOBILE and CHINA UNICOM was adjusted from 6% to 9%, leading to significant stock price drops of up to 9.9% for CHINA UNICOM.

Hong Kong Stock Market Decline: Hong Kong stocks experienced a significant decline, with the HSI dropping 580 points (2.08%) to close at 27,387, while the HSCEI and HSTECH also fell by 2.5% and 2.1%, respectively, amid a total market turnover of $301.612 billion.
Gold and Resource Stocks Performance: Spot gold prices fell over 5%, impacting several gold mining stocks, which tumbled between 10-14%. Resource stocks like Jiangxi Copper and MMG also saw declines of 9-10%, with Jiangxi Copper's short selling ratio reaching 28.3%.
Pharmaceutical Sector Developments: CSPC Pharma's stock dropped 10.2% despite a partnership with AstraZeneca for innovative medicines, involving an upfront payment exceeding $9.3 billion. Other pharma stocks also faced declines ranging from 3.3% to 4.9%.
Corporate News and Market Rumors: CKH Holdings fell 4.6% following a court ruling on port contracts, while New World Development's share price rose 2.2% amid rumors of a potential change in ownership involving Blackstone.

Market Reaction to Fed Chair Nominee: The DXY rose following President Trump's announcement of the Fed Chair nominee, while the Hong Kong stock market experienced significant declines, with the HSI dropping 498 points or 1.8% by the morning session's close.
Gold and Mining Stocks Performance: Gold prices fell over 3%, leading to substantial losses in mining stocks such as SD GOLD and ZIJIN GOLD, which plunged 12.9% and 10% respectively, alongside other mining companies experiencing similar declines.
Pharmaceutical Sector Developments: CSPC PHARMA's stock plummeted 12.5% despite a partnership with AstraZeneca for drug development, which included an upfront payment exceeding HKD9.3 billion.
Corporate News and Market Rumors: The Panama Supreme Court ruled contracts for two local ports unconstitutional, negatively impacting CKH HOLDINGS, while rumors of a potential ownership change at NEW WORLD DEV led to a 3.7% increase in its stock price.
Market Performance: The Nasdaq fell by 0.7% due to a drop in Microsoft shares, while the DJIA rose slightly by 0.1%. Hong Kong's stock market also opened lower, with significant declines in various indices.
New World Development Rumors: There are rumors that New World Development is changing ownership, with Blackstone negotiating to become the largest shareholder, leading to a 5.6% increase in its stock price.
Gold and Resource Sector Declines: Gold prices saw a significant drop, affecting stocks like SD Gold and Zhaojin Mining, which opened lower. Other resource companies, including Jiangxi Copper and CMOC, also experienced declines.
Tech Sector Performance: Major tech stocks such as Tencent, Alibaba, and JD.com opened lower, reflecting a broader trend of declines in the technology sector amidst increased short selling activity.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 361 points (1.4%) to close at 27,126, with a total market turnover of $254.37 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Notable stocks included Alibaba (+2.8%), Ping An (+2.3%), and Tencent (+1.3%), while Meituan saw a decline of 0.6%.
Constituents on the Move: China Life surged by 6% to a new high, while Hang Lung Properties and Hansoh Pharma experienced significant declines of 4.5% and 4.4%, respectively.
Short Selling Activity: High short selling ratios were observed in several stocks, with Hansoh Pharma at 39.5% and Meituan at 27.4%, indicating investor caution.






