China's 'Consumption Downgrade' Trips Up Anta
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 15 2024
0mins
Should l Buy AS?
Source: Benzinga
Fila Sales Decline: Anta Sports reported a low single-digit decline in sales for its Fila brand in the third quarter, contrasting with previous growth, as Chinese consumers increasingly prefer cheaper domestic brands amid economic slowdown.
Overall Revenue Growth Expected: Despite the Fila downturn, analysts anticipate a 16% revenue growth for Anta in the second half of the year, driven by strong performance from its other brands and effective management strategies.
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Analyst Views on AS
Wall Street analysts forecast AS stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for AS is 46.98 USD with a low forecast of 39.80 USD and a high forecast of 58.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
13 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 37.510
Low
39.80
Averages
46.98
High
58.00
Current: 37.510
Low
39.80
Averages
46.98
High
58.00
About AS
Amer Sports Inc is a Finland-based global group of sports and outdoor brands such as Arcteryx, Salomon, Wilson, Peak Performance, Atomic, Armada, ATEC, DeMarini, EvoShield and ENVE. The Company develops, manufactures, and markets sports and fitness equipment. Its products include sports equipment for tennis, badminton, soccer, baseball, basketball, golf, American football, alpine skiing, fitness training, cycling, running, hiking, snowboarding, cross-country skiing and diving. It also offers fitness equipment through factory outlets, and e-commerce companies through trade customers in sporting goods chains, mass merchants, specialty retailers, fitness clubs, and distributors. The Company operates worldwide.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Put Option Appeal: The current bid for the $35.00 put option is $2.95, and if an investor sells this option, they commit to buying the stock at $35.00, effectively lowering their cost basis to $32.05, which represents an approximately 11% discount to the current price of $39.19, making it attractive for those interested in AS stock.
- Yield Potential: Should the put option expire worthless, it would yield an 8.43% return on cash commitment, or 19.48% annualized, highlighting the strategy's potential appeal in the current market environment.
- Call Option Returns: The $40.00 call option has a current bid of $3.90, and if an investor buys AS stock at $39.19 and sells this call, they could achieve a total return of 12.02% if the stock is called away at expiration, showcasing the profit potential of this strategy.
- Risk Assessment: Current analytics suggest a 70% chance that the $35.00 put option will expire worthless, while the $40.00 call option has a 44% chance, prompting investors to weigh potential returns against risks to formulate optimal investment strategies.
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- Bond Redemption Plan: Amer Sports announced the redemption of $80 million of its 6.750% Senior Secured Notes on February 6, 2026, at a price of 103.000% of the principal plus accrued interest, reflecting a proactive approach to debt management.
- Earnings Release Schedule: The company is set to report its fourth quarter and fiscal year 2025 financial results before the market opens on February 24, 2026, and will hold a management call at 8:00 a.m. to enhance investor transparency.
- Global Brand Impact: With iconic brands like Arc'teryx and Salomon, Amer Sports generated $5.2 billion in revenue in 2024, showcasing its strong competitive position in the global sports and outdoor market.
- International Business Presence: Operating in 40 countries and selling products in over 100 countries, with more than 13,400 employees globally, the company demonstrates extensive international reach and ongoing growth potential.
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- Globalization Strategy Advancement: ANTA has reached an agreement with Groupe Artémis to acquire a 29.06% stake in PUMA for €1.5 billion, significantly enhancing ANTA's competitiveness and brand influence in the global sporting goods market.
- Strengthened Shareholder Position: This acquisition makes ANTA the largest shareholder of PUMA, with the transaction expected to close by the end of 2026, demonstrating ANTA's commitment and confidence in its multi-brand globalization strategy.
- Brand Synergy Effects: ANTA and PUMA possess highly complementary strengths in product portfolios and market coverage, and are expected to drive mutual growth in global markets through shared resources and experiences.
- Respect for Management Culture: ANTA values PUMA's independent governance structure and plans to seek appropriate representation on PUMA's Supervisory Board, ensuring the continuity of brand identity and heritage while fostering long-term collaboration between the two parties.
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- Acquisition Intent: Anta has reportedly offered to acquire a 29% stake in Puma held by the Pinault family, which, if successful, would significantly enhance its global brand portfolio and support its international strategy.
- Financing Assurance: Anta has secured financing for the acquisition, and despite facing challenges related to valuation and regulatory scrutiny, its history of successful integrations suggests it has the capability to manage such deals effectively.
- Market Opportunity: Acquiring Puma would provide Anta with further exposure to global markets, helping to diversify its operations and reduce reliance on the domestic market amid China's economic slowdown.
- Competitive Advantage: With Puma currently facing financial difficulties, Anta's acquisition could allow it to acquire the brand at a bargain price, positioning itself more favorably in the global sportswear market.
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- Increased Market Confidence: Dillard’s, Carnival, and Somnigroup International also received A ratings, suggesting these companies demonstrate strong profitability in the current economic environment, potentially attracting more investor interest.
- Investor Focus: Trip.com Group and Williams-Sonoma also earned A ratings, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on their future performance, which may drive their stock prices up post-earnings release.
- Consumer Sector Outlook: Amer Sports and Five Below received A ratings, highlighting the potential of the consumer sector in the economic recovery, prompting investors to monitor these companies' future performance.
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- Strong Demand: Amer Sports is benefiting from robust demand for its premium brands, particularly the exceptional performance of Salomon footwear, which has allowed it to gain market share in the global sports and outdoor markets.
- Earnings Outlook: The company is expected to see a 22% year-over-year growth in earnings per share for 2026, reflecting analysts' confidence in its earnings growth potential.
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