Carvana Sets 3 Million Retail Unit Goal Amid Q4 Profitability Challenges
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 1 hour ago
0mins
Should l Buy CVNA?
Source: seekingalpha
- Profitability Goals: Carvana has set an ambitious target of achieving 3 million retail units by Q4 2025, aiming for a 13.5% EBITDA margin through scaling and operational efficiencies, indicating confidence in future growth.
- Profitability Decline: Despite these goals, Carvana's profitability has faltered in Q4, leading to a more than 20% drop in share price, reflecting market concerns about the feasibility of achieving these targets.
- Operational Efficiency Focus: The company plans to enhance operational processes and improve customer experience to meet its goals; however, the current decline in profitability may hinder its financing capabilities and market trust.
- Market Reaction: The significant drop in profitability and stock price volatility has raised investor concerns about Carvana's future prospects, potentially impacting its position in the highly competitive used car market.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy CVNA?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on CVNA
Wall Street analysts forecast CVNA stock price to rise
18 Analyst Rating
16 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 350.940
Low
395.00
Averages
497.94
High
550.00
Current: 350.940
Low
395.00
Averages
497.94
High
550.00
About CVNA
Carvana Co. is a holding company. The Company operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. The Company primarily acquires used vehicle inventory directly from customers, used car auctions, and wholesale used vehicle suppliers, including retail marketplace partners. Once it acquires a vehicle, the Company leverages its in-house logistics network or a vendor to transport the vehicle to one of its inspection and reconditioning centers (IRC) or auction locations with reconditioning capabilities, at which point the vehicle enters its inventory management system. It offers a mobile-optimized Website, where prospective retail car buyers can immediately begin browsing, researching, filtering, and identifying their vehicle of choice, where it offers an annotated virtual vehicle tour, which includes a 360-degree view of the interior and exterior of the actual vehicle. The Company also offers integrated financing using its loan origination platform.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
- Carvana's Stock Performance: Shares of Carvana fell significantly in after-hours trading following the release of their quarterly results.
- Quarterly Results Overview: The company's financial report showed mixed results, contributing to the decline in stock value.
See More
- Net Income Surge: Carvana reported a Q4 net income of $951 million, reflecting a 58% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $340 million, indicating robust performance in retail unit sales and Adjusted EBITDA.
- Adjusted EBITDA Metrics: The company achieved an Adjusted EBITDA of $511 million with a margin of 9.1%, demonstrating significant progress in operational efficiency and profitability, thereby enhancing its competitive position in the market.
- 2025 Strategic Goals: Carvana is focused on three key objectives for 2025: substantial growth in retail units and Adjusted EBITDA, fundamental improvements in unit economics and customer experience, and the development of foundational capabilities to support sustainable growth.
- Future Outlook: Looking ahead to 2026, Carvana anticipates continued significant growth in both retail units sold and Adjusted EBITDA, particularly in Q1 2026, assuming stable market conditions, which will further solidify its leadership in the industry.
See More
- Stock Market Outlook: Stock futures are indicating a downward trend on Thursday.
- Investor Concerns: Investors are closely monitoring the rise in oil prices.
- Geopolitical Tensions: The increase in oil prices is linked to ongoing tensions with Iran.
- Market Reactions: The combination of these factors is influencing investor sentiment and market performance.
See More
- Fed Minutes Analysis: The January FOMC minutes indicate broad support among policymakers for pausing rate cuts despite ongoing inflation risks, which could influence future monetary policy directions and affect market sentiment and investment decisions.
- Walmart Earnings Preview: Walmart is set to report earnings before the bell today, with investors keenly awaiting insights from the new CEO regarding consumer health and demand, which will directly impact retail sector performance and investor confidence.
- Meta Smartwatch Plans Revived: Reports suggest that Meta has revived its smartwatch plans targeting a launch this year, a strategic shift that could enhance its competitiveness in the wearables market and provide new revenue streams for the company.
- Economic Data and Market Reaction: Key economic indicators such as Initial Jobless Claims and the Philly Fed Business Index are scheduled for release today, with investors closely monitoring their impact on the market, especially amid heightened uncertainty regarding Fed policies.
See More
- Significant Transaction Value: Etsy has entered into a definitive agreement with eBay to sell its fashion marketplace Depop for approximately $1.2 billion in cash, which not only provides Etsy with substantial cash flow but also enhances its financial flexibility to support future strategic investments.
- Stock Price Surge: Etsy's shares jumped 15.5% to $50.86 in pre-market trading, reflecting a positive market reaction to the deal and increasing investor confidence in the company's future growth potential.
- Market Consolidation Trend: This transaction signifies further consolidation in the e-commerce sector, as eBay's acquisition of Depop will expand its influence in the fashion market, while Etsy can focus on its core business to improve operational efficiency.
- Strategic Focus Shift: By selling Depop, Etsy can reallocate resources to concentrate on growth within its primary platform, with expectations to drive long-term profitability through optimizing product lines and enhancing user experience.
See More
- Profitability Goals: Carvana has set an ambitious target of achieving 3 million retail units by Q4 2025, aiming for a 13.5% EBITDA margin through scaling and operational efficiencies, indicating confidence in future growth.
- Profitability Decline: Despite these goals, Carvana's profitability has faltered in Q4, leading to a more than 20% drop in share price, reflecting market concerns about the feasibility of achieving these targets.
- Operational Efficiency Focus: The company plans to enhance operational processes and improve customer experience to meet its goals; however, the current decline in profitability may hinder its financing capabilities and market trust.
- Market Reaction: The significant drop in profitability and stock price volatility has raised investor concerns about Carvana's future prospects, potentially impacting its position in the highly competitive used car market.
See More











