Carter Worth Indicates Robinhood is Experiencing a Bearish Reversal
Stock Performance: Robinhood (HOOD) is experiencing a "bullish-to-bearish" reversal, with expectations of the stock price declining to around $100, following a significant six-month gain of 419% from a low of $29.66 to a high of $153.86.
Market Comparison: The stock has shown poor relative performance compared to the S&P 500, indicating a potential break in the upward trend that has been in place since early April.
Investment Recommendation: The analysis suggests selling Robinhood shares in anticipation of further declines in the coming days or weeks.
Disclaimer: The opinions expressed are those of CNBC Pro contributors and do not constitute financial advice; individuals are encouraged to seek personalized advice before making investment decisions.
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- Market Sentiment Improvement: The CNN Money Fear & Greed Index rose to 45 on Friday, entering the 'Neutral' zone from a previous reading of 34.2, indicating a significant improvement in market sentiment that could boost investor confidence.
- Dow Jones Surge: The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped over 1,200 points during Friday's session, closing at 50,115.67 and marking its first breach of the 50,000-point milestone, showcasing a strong market rebound that may attract more capital inflows.
- S&P 500 Strong Performance: The S&P 500 rose by 1.97% to close at 6,932.30, with sectors like industrials, energy, and information technology recording significant gains, reflecting positive signals of economic recovery that could drive corporate earnings growth.
- Consumer Confidence Boost: The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment index increased by 0.9 points to 57.3 in February, surpassing market estimates of 55, indicating enhanced consumer confidence in the economic outlook, which may stimulate consumer spending and economic growth.
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- Importance of Employment Report: The January employment report is expected to show an addition of 80,000 nonfarm payrolls and an unchanged unemployment rate of 4.4%, directly impacting private consumption and U.S. GDP, making it crucial for investors to monitor.
- Consumer Price Index Insights: The January CPI is projected to increase by 2.5% year-over-year, with core CPI rising by 2.6%, providing essential inflation details despite not being the Fed's preferred measure, particularly regarding persistent shelter cost inflation.

- Market Performance: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 2.5% and closed above 50,000 for the first time.
- Nasdaq Struggles: In contrast, the Nasdaq Composite ended the week down 1.8%, despite a strong rally on Friday.
- Dow Jones Milestone: The Dow Jones Industrial Average surpassed the 50,000 mark for the first time, reflecting renewed investor confidence in technology and semiconductor stocks, which may drive future investment enthusiasm.
- Tech Stock Recovery: Despite a severe selloff in software and AI-related stocks leading to one of the sharpest pullbacks in years, the market's rebound before the weekend indicates sustained investor interest in tech stocks, potentially boosting earnings for related companies.
- Improved Market Breadth: Financials, industrials, and select consumer names joined the rally, indicating improved market sentiment, while Bitcoin's rebound also lifted crypto-linked stocks, showcasing investors' preference for diversified investments.
- Analysts Warn of Volatility: Despite a strong market finish, analysts caution that volatility remains high, urging investors to closely monitor upcoming earnings reports and Federal Reserve policy signals to assess the sustainability of massive AI spending.
- Market Share of Retail Investors: According to 'The Retail Investor Report,' retail investors accounted for approximately 25% of total equity trading volume in 2021, doubling from a decade earlier, highlighting their increasing significance in the market and prompting online brokers to adjust strategies to attract this demographic.
- Popularity of Robinhood: Robinhood has successfully attracted a large number of retail investors by offering commission-free trading and fractional share purchases, with its '100 Most Popular' leaderboard showing that the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust rank as the fifth and ninth most held securities, reflecting retail investors' preference for S&P 500 exposure.
- Rise of Bond ETFs: The Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF has become the tenth most held security on Robinhood, indicating retail investors' concerns about lofty stock valuations, especially as the Shiller P/E ratio of the S&P 500 approaches historical highs, leading them to seek safer income investments.
- Impact of Expense Ratios: The Vanguard S&P 500 ETF's net expense ratio of 0.03% is significantly lower than SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust's 0.0945%, which can lead to substantial savings for long-term investors, further driving retail preference for Vanguard ETFs.
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- Values and Investment Decisions: An Italian investor explores the duality of Robinhood's tools while contemplating whether to hold its stock, emphasizing the importance of balancing personal values with social impact in investing, reflecting investors' concerns about ethical responsibility.
- Lessons from History: David Gardner reflects on past market fluctuations, highlighting that history is not just nostalgia but a source of confidence for investors, reminding them to maintain patience and optimism in uncertain markets.
- Optimism and Long-Term Investing: Tom shares his journey of wealth accumulation through long-term investing and compounding, emphasizing the key role of patience and a positive mindset in achieving investment success, encouraging more people to believe in their ability to succeed in investing.










