monday.com surpasses revenue and earnings expectations; launches Q4 guidance and revises full-year forecast
Q3 Financial Performance: monday.com reported a Q3 Non-GAAP EPS of $1.16, exceeding expectations by $0.28, with revenue of $316.9 million, a 26.3% year-over-year increase, also surpassing estimates by $4.64 million.
Customer Growth and Retention: The company saw significant growth in its customer base, with paid customers exceeding 10 users increasing by 7% to 63,075, and net dollar retention rates for larger customers (over $50,000 and $100,000 in ARR) reaching 117%.
Remaining Performance Obligations: Remaining performance obligations (RPO) rose to $747 million, a 36% increase from the previous year, indicating strong future revenue potential.
Financial Outlook for Q4 and Full Year 2025: For Q4 2025, monday.com anticipates revenue between $328 million and $330 million, while for the full year, it expects total revenue of $1,226 million to $1,228 million, reflecting approximately 26% year-over-year growth.
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- Stock Performance: Monday.com's stock experienced a significant decline following the release of its quarterly earnings report.
- Earnings vs. Outlook: Despite surpassing earnings expectations, the company's disappointing forecast for 2026 negatively impacted investor sentiment.
Stock Performance: Monday.com’s stock experienced a significant decline following the release of its quarterly earnings report.
Earnings Report: The company reported better-than-expected earnings for the quarter, indicating strong current performance.
Future Outlook: Despite the positive earnings, Monday.com provided a disappointing outlook for 2026, which contributed to the stock's drop.
Market Reaction: Investors reacted negatively to the outlook, leading to a plunge in the company's stock price.
- Massive Funding Round: Databricks has successfully raised $7 billion, achieving a valuation of $134 billion, which not only reflects market confidence in its future growth but also solidifies the groundwork for its upcoming IPO.
- AI-Driven Database Development: Currently, 80% of the databases on the Databricks platform are built by AI agents, indicating a rapid adoption of AI in software development, particularly among large enterprises, which could reshape the competitive landscape of the industry.
- Extensive Customer Base: Databricks now boasts over 20,000 customers across various sectors, demonstrating strong market demand for its products and providing robust support for the company's future growth.
- Significant Industry Impact: As AI agents increasingly play a role in software construction, CEO Ali Ghodsi emphasizes that this will have profound implications for the entire software industry, prompting companies to rethink how AI can transform traditional development models.
- Strong Earnings Report: Monday.com reported a 25% year-over-year revenue increase in Q4, reaching $333.9 million, surpassing market expectations of $329.7 million, indicating robust performance in the CRM and project management software sectors.
- Record Customer Growth: The company achieved record net additions of customers with over $100,000 in annual recurring revenue, and its AI-powered Monday Vibe tool became the fastest product in history to reach $1 million in ARR, showcasing strong demand for AI-driven solutions.
- Disappointing Guidance: Despite a solid Q4, Monday.com provided disappointing guidance for Q1, projecting revenue growth to slow to 20%, with estimates of $338 million to $340 million, below the consensus of $342.9 million, reflecting challenges in acquiring lower-end customers.
- Negative Market Reaction: Following the guidance announcement, Monday.com’s stock fell 22.4% on the day and has dropped 70% over the past year, highlighting investor concerns about potential disruptions to its business model from AI competition.
- Market Recovery: The S&P 500 Index rose by 0.46%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average increased by 0.09%, and the Nasdaq 100 climbed by 0.61%, indicating a rebound in the market driven by recovering tech and chipmaker stocks, reflecting investor confidence in economic growth.
- Mining Stocks Surge: Gold prices increased by over 1% and silver prices jumped more than 6%, boosting mining stocks with Coeur Mining up over 6% and Freeport McMoRan up more than 5%, suggesting rising investor demand for precious metals amid inflation concerns.
- Positive Earnings Outlook: Over 79% of S&P 500 companies that reported earnings exceeded expectations, with Q4 earnings growth projected at 8.4%, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth, indicating sustained corporate profitability that could further drive stock market gains.
- Economic Data Focus: The market is closely watching upcoming employment and inflation data, with January nonfarm payrolls expected to rise by 69,000 and the unemployment rate to remain at 4.4%, as these figures will influence investor expectations regarding future monetary policy, potentially leading to market volatility.
- Tech Stock Retreat: Technology stocks are broadly down today, contributing to a 0.03% decline in the S&P 500, a 0.34% drop in the Dow Jones, and a 0.17% decrease in the Nasdaq 100, reflecting a cautious investor sentiment following last Friday's sharp gains.
- Bond Yield Pressure: Rising US bond yields, with the 10-year T-note yield up 2 basis points to 4.22%, are exacerbated by Chinese regulators instructing banks to reduce their US debt holdings, reviving concerns over the haven status of US assets and potentially impacting investor confidence.
- Earnings Season Insights: More than half of S&P 500 companies have reported earnings, with 79% exceeding expectations, and Q4 earnings growth is projected at 8.4%, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of year-over-year growth, indicating resilience in corporate earnings and potential market support.
- Economic Data Focus: The market is set to focus on upcoming economic data, including a projected 0.8% increase in the employment cost index on Tuesday and a 2.5% year-over-year rise in the consumer price index on Friday, which will provide guidance on future economic trends.











