BofAS Reports GWMOTOR's Last Quarter Results Fall Short
GWMOTOR's Financial Performance: GWMOTOR reported a 10% increase in preliminary revenue for 2025, reaching RMB222.8 billion, while net profit decreased by 22% to RMB9.9 billion, and net profit excluding one-off items dropped by 36% to RMB6.2 billion.
4Q25 Revenue and Profit Estimates: The estimated preliminary revenue for 4Q25 is RMB69.2 billion, reflecting a 15% year-over-year increase, but the net profit is expected to decline by 44% year-over-year to RMB1.3 billion, significantly below forecasts.
Market Reaction and Ratings: Following the results, GWMOTOR's stock experienced a decline of 4.83%, with short selling activity reported at $19.94 million and a ratio of 10.640%.
Analyst Outlook: BofA Securities maintained a Neutral rating on GWMOTOR, setting a target price of HKD18 amidst the mixed financial results.
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Market Outlook: JP Morgan predicts the Chinese automobile market will experience a mixed performance in 2023, with potential negative growth similar to 2018, but also volatility driven by new model releases and seasonal trends akin to 2025.
Top Picks: The broker's top stock picks include GEELY AUTO and SINOTRUK, while they see potential in BYD COMPANY, LEAPMOTOR, XPENG-W, and NIO for future positioning.
Investment Ratings: JP Morgan has assigned various investment ratings and target prices for several automobile stocks, with BYD COMPANY and SINOTRUK rated as "Overweight," while LI AUTO-W has been downgraded to "Underweight."
Short Selling Data: The report includes short selling data for the stocks mentioned, indicating varying levels of market sentiment and potential risks associated with each stock.

Financial Performance: GWMOTOR's net profit for 2025 fell by 21.7% to RMB9.912 billion, despite a revenue increase of 10.2% year-on-year to RMB222.79 billion, as reported by BOCOMI.
Future Outlook: BOCOMI anticipates that GWMOTOR's earnings in 2026 will depend on efficiency improvements and overcoming overseas challenges, with a focus on direct sales efficiency to aid profit recovery.
Market Position: Citi has placed GWMOTOR on its 30-day downside catalyst watch, setting a target price of HKD18.9, while BOCOMI maintains a Buy rating with a higher target price of HKD22.5.
Short Selling Activity: As of February 3, 2026, GWMOTOR experienced short selling of $55.32 million, with a short selling ratio of 23.429%.

Financial Performance: GWMOTOR reported a 21.7% year-over-year decline in net profit to RMB9.912 billion, attributed to increased investments in a new direct-to-consumer model and brand enhancement despite growth in sales volume and revenue.
Market Outlook: BOCOMI maintains a Buy rating for GWMOTOR, citing potential medium-term benefits from strategies focused on premiumization, new energy, and overseas expansion, while acknowledging a temporary profit squeeze due to escalated investments in late 2025.

Revenue and Profit Decline: GWMOTOR's 4Q25 revenue increased by 13% QoQ to RMB69.2 billion, but net profit fell by 44% QoQ to RMB1.3 billion, significantly below expectations due to seasonal bonuses, low sales efficiency, and reduced tax rebates in Russia.
Operational Challenges: BOCI highlighted that GWMOTOR's extensive direct sales network and unclear sales prospects may hinder operational efficiency, posing significant risks to earnings.
Market Position in NEV: Despite efforts in new energy vehicle (NEV) sales, GWMOTOR is trailing behind competitors like GEELY AUTO and CHERY AUTO in market share and NEV transition.
Rating Downgrade: BOCI has downgraded GWMOTOR's rating from Hold to Sell and reduced its target price from HKD16 to HKD9.5.
GWMOTOR Financial Performance: GWMOTOR reported a 10% year-on-year revenue growth for 2025, but net profit declined by 22%, influenced by a significant year-end bonus provision.
Future Projections: CLSA forecasts a decline in GWM's domestic sales due to weakened demand and ongoing challenges in the Russian market, leading to reduced net profit estimates for 2026 and 2027.
Target Price Adjustments: The broker lowered GWM's target price for H-shares from HKD21 to HKD15 and for A-shares from RMB36 to RMB24, while maintaining an Outperform rating.
Market Context: Despite the challenges, CLSA anticipates GWM will remain resilient amid industry volatility, with expectations of improved unit profitability in the upcoming quarter.

Citi's Research Report: Citi added GWMOTOR (02333.HK) to its 30-Day Downside Catalyst Watch, citing high inventory levels of ICEVs and predicting a de-stocking cycle in early 2026, along with a projected 26% YoY decline in domestic retail sales of ICEVs.
GWM's Performance: GWM's export volume in January fell by 30% MoM, underperforming competitors GEELY and BYD, and its 4Q25 results did not meet expectations. Despite this, Citi assigned a Buy rating with a target price of HKD18.9.






