Blue Owl Capital Exceeds Q4 Earnings Expectations, Surpasses $300 Billion AUM
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: 3d ago
0mins
Should l Buy OWL?
Source: seekingalpha
- Strong Performance: Blue Owl Capital reported a distributable EPS of $0.24 for Q4 2025, exceeding the analyst estimate of $0.22 and up from $0.21 in Q4 2024, indicating robust investment performance.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved GAAP revenues of $755.6 million in Q4, surpassing the $700.6 million consensus and reflecting a 20% year-over-year increase, with management fees contributing $648.7 million, a 16% rise, showcasing strong asset management capabilities.
- AUM Milestone: As of Q4, Blue Owl's assets under management reached $307.4 billion, up from $251.1 billion a year earlier, marking a significant milestone in the firm's growth trajectory in asset management.
- New Capital Commitments: The firm recorded $17.3 billion in new capital commitments during the quarter, primarily from new equity capital, underscoring market confidence in Blue Owl's future growth potential.
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Analyst Views on OWL
Wall Street analysts forecast OWL stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OWL is 21.13 USD with a low forecast of 18.00 USD and a high forecast of 28.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
15 Analyst Rating
12 Buy
3 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 11.630
Low
18.00
Averages
21.13
High
28.00
Current: 11.630
Low
18.00
Averages
21.13
High
28.00
About OWL
Blue Owl Capital Inc. is an alternative asset management company. The Company deploys private capital across Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate platforms on behalf of institutional and private wealth clients. Its product platforms include Credit, GP Strategic Capital and Real Estate. Its credit products offer private financing solutions primarily to upper-middle-market companies. Its credit products are offered through a mix of business development companies, long-dated private funds, managed accounts and collateralized loan obligations. It is focused on acquiring equity stakes in or providing debt financing to private capital firms. Its Real Estate products are focused on acquiring triple net lease real estate occupied by investment-grade or creditworthy tenants. Its Real Estate products are offered through Permanent Capital vehicles, including its real estate investment trusts, and long-dated private funds. It offers asset management services to the insurance industry.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Strong Software Loan Performance: Co-CEO Marc Lipschultz stated that Blue Owl's software loan book remains robust without any performance declines, with loans averaging 30% of enterprise value and possessing 'huge' equity cushions, indicating the firm's resilience in the tech sector.
- Asset Management Growth: Blue Owl's assets under management (AUM) increased by 22% to $307 billion as of December 31, 2024, primarily driven by new capital commitments and the acquisition of IPI, showcasing the company's strong market appeal.
- Significant Capital Commitments: The firm raised $17 billion in new capital commitments in the recent quarter, totaling $56 billion for the year, reflecting Blue Owl's success in attracting investors and enhancing its financial position.
- Challenges in Private Credit: Despite strong growth, CFO Alan Kirshenbaum noted that the firm is behind its Investor Day goals due to headwinds in private credit, indicating the complexities of the current market environment.
See More
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- Strong Investment Returns: The company reported net lease gross returns exceeding 13% in 2025, with the ORENT product net return at approximately 11%, which not only boosts investor confidence but also lays a strong foundation for future capital inflows.
- Increased Shareholder Returns: Blue Owl declared a fixed annual dividend of $0.92 per share for 2026, translating to a quarterly dividend of $0.23, reflecting the company's commitment to creating shareholder value while maintaining profitability, which is expected to attract more investors.
- Robust Financial Performance: The company reported FRE of $0.27 per share for Q4, with a 12% growth in FRE for the full year, while AUM reached $300 billion, indicating effective strategies in risk management and liquidity that enhance market confidence.
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