Barclays Favors HSBC Holdings, Anticipates Earnings to Surpass Expectations
HSBC Earnings Outlook: Barclays predicts HSBC will significantly exceed earnings guidance due to favorable conditions in Hong Kong and the integration of Hang Seng Bank, maintaining an Overweight rating and raising the target price from GBP12.3 to GBP14.
US Interest Rates Impact: The bank's net interest income (NII) is expected to remain 4-5% above market consensus even if US interest rates fall to 2%, indicating resilience in HSBC's performance.
Standard Chartered Performance: Barclays anticipates Standard Chartered will improve its return on tangible equity (RoTE) to 15% by 2028, although 2026 may present challenges with a potential drop to 13%.
Standard Chartered Rating Update: The broker reaffirmed an Equalweight rating for Standard Chartered, increasing the target price from GBP16 to GBP19, reflecting a cautious but optimistic outlook.
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Market Performance: The HSI rose by 1.8% to close at 27,027, with significant gains in the HSCEI and HSTECH, while total market turnover reached $255.142 billion.
Insurance Sector Gains: Chinese insurers, particularly CHINA LIFE and PING AN, saw substantial increases of 4% and 4.9%, respectively, following PING AN's stake increase in CHINA LIFE.
Financial Stocks Rise: Major financial institutions like HSBC and HKEX experienced gains between 2.6% and 3.4%, contributing to a positive trend in the financial sector.
Tech and AI Stocks Surge: Tech stocks rebounded, with TENCENT and BIDU-SW rising over 2%, while AI-related stocks like KNOWLEDGE ATLAS soared by 36.2%, reflecting strong investor interest.

Market Performance: The Hang Seng Index (HSI) rose by 467 points (1.8%) to close at 27,027, while the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTI) and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI) also saw gains, closing at 5,417 and 9,168 respectively, with a total market turnover of $255.14 billion.
Active Heavyweights: Notable stocks included PING AN, which increased by 4.9% to $73, and HKEX, which rose by 2.7% to $418.6. Other significant movers were TENCENT (+2.3%) and BABA (+1.9%), while MEITUAN experienced a slight decline of 0.4%.
Top Gainers: Among HSI and HSCEI constituents, INNOVENT BIO surged by 7.4%, POP MART by 5.8%, and ZIJIN MINING by 5.6%. Other notable gainers included SMIC and CHINA LIFE, both showing significant increases.
Decliners and High Performers: REALORD GROUP saw a sharp decline of 15.5%, while FIT HON TENG and CHINA EAST EDU experienced substantial gains of 14.1% and 13.3%, respectively, indicating a mixed performance across different sectors.

Market Performance: The HSI rose 1.5% to 26,945, with significant gains in the HSCEI and HSTECH, while total half-day turnover reached $136.256 billion.
Insurance Sector Gains: Chinese insurers like CHINA LIFE and PING AN saw increases of 4.5% and 4.1%, respectively, following PING AN's stake increase in CHINA LIFE.
Financial Stocks Surge: Major financial stocks including HSBC and HKEX experienced gains between 2.6% and 3.0%, contributing to a positive market sentiment.
Consumer Stocks Rally: Companies like POP MART and CTG DUTY-FREE reported substantial increases, with POP MART noted for its potential upside based on investor positions and upcoming product designs.

Market Performance: The HSI opened 1.6% higher at 26,982, with significant gains in the HSCEI and HSTECH, reflecting a positive trend in the Hong Kong stock market.
Tech Sector Highlights: Major tech stocks like TENCENT and JD-SW saw increases, while KUAISHOU-W experienced a decline; overall, tech stocks showed a mixed performance with varying short selling ratios.
Automotive and Commodity Stocks: BYD COMPANY and other automotive stocks like NIO-SW and XPENG-W reported gains, alongside a rebound in commodity prices benefiting gold and mining stocks.
Financial Sector Gains: Financial stocks, including HSBC HOLDINGS and HKEX, opened higher, indicating a positive sentiment in the financial market amidst broader market gains.

Market Performance: The HSI fell 325 points (1.2%) to close at 26,559, with the HSCEI and HSTECH also experiencing declines of 0.7% and 1.1%, respectively, amid a total market turnover of $247.865 billion.
Financial Sector Decline: Major financial stocks like HSBC and AIA saw significant drops of 2.7% and 5.5%, respectively, with short selling ratios indicating increased bearish sentiment.
Volatile Commodities Market: The commodities sector faced volatility, with stocks like CHI SILVER GP and MMG declining over 3%, while jewelry stock LAOPU GOLD also lost 2.32%.
Automakers' Gains: In contrast, automakers such as BYD and NIO saw gains, with NIO rising 6.9% after announcing its first profit, while battery stock CATL increased by 1.8%.
HSBC's Privatization of Hang Seng Bank: HSBC recently completed the privatization of Hang Seng Bank, with an estimated pre-tax synergy effect of approximately US$800-900 million, including cost and revenue synergies.
Cost Synergies and Brand Strategy: It is expected that 20% of Hang Seng's cost base will benefit from synergies, while the bank will continue to operate as a separate brand with its own branch network.
Positive Outlook for HSBC Holdings: BofA Securities has rated HSBC Holdings as a "Buy," projecting significant growth in its Hong Kong deposit and Asia wealth management businesses.
Target Price and Competitive Advantages: The broker set a target price of $149.6 for HSBC Holdings, citing its substantial competitive advantages and management's commitment to increasing investments in key areas.






