Barclays Anticipates This Chinese Property Stock Will Thrive Despite Market Decline
KE Holdings Performance Amid Market Challenges
Strong Shareholder Returns: KE Holdings, a major player in China's real estate market, has returned more capital to shareholders than it raised from capital markets, highlighting its commitment to shareholder value. The company announced a $5 billion share buyback program, increasing from a previous $3 billion, set to run until August 2028.
Quarterly Profit Report: In its latest earnings report, KE Holdings reported a profit of approximately $182 million for the second quarter, marking a 31% decline year-on-year. Despite this drop, Barclays analysts maintain a positive outlook, rating the stock as overweight with a price target of $25, indicating over 40% potential upside.
Market Context and Challenges
Real Estate Market Decline: The broader Chinese real estate market continues to struggle, with a 12% decline in investment year-to-date as of July. Average property prices, even in major cities like Beijing, have significantly decreased over the past two years.
Government Response: Chinese Premier Li Qiang has acknowledged ongoing challenges in the real estate sector, calling for increased support. However, the government's approach has been selective, focusing on specific projects rather than providing widespread assistance to developers.
KE Holdings' Business Diversification
Growth in New Revenue Streams: KE Holdings has diversified its business since 2021, with revenue from new home transaction services increasing by 8.6% and home renovation services rising by 13% year-on-year. Additionally, revenue from home rentals surged by 78% from a low base, now contributing over 40% to the company's total revenue.
Market Resilience: Despite the overall market downturn, KE Holdings has gained market share in both existing and new home sales over the past three years. Analysts expect that seasonal factors may lead to a recovery in home sales in September, although they caution about potential base effects from last year's stimulus-driven transactions.
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RSI Comparison: The RSI for KraneShares CSI China Internet (KWEB) is at 29.5, indicating potential exhaustion of selling pressure, while the S&P 500's RSI is at 46.3.
Investment Opportunity: Bullish investors may view the low RSI as a signal to seek buying opportunities in KWEB.
52-Week Performance: KWEB's 52-week low is $27.27 and high is $43.365, with the last trade at $35.97, reflecting a slight decline of 0.8% on the day.
Author's Opinion Disclaimer: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
52 Week Range: KWEB's stock has a 52-week low of $27.27 and a high of $43.365, with the last trade recorded at $36.30.
Market Analysis: The article mentions a comparison with other ETFs that have recently fallen below their 200-day moving average.
Author's Perspective: The views expressed in the article are solely those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.
Investment Insight: The information provided may be useful for investors tracking KWEB's performance and market trends.
- ETF Performance: The KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF is underperforming, down approximately 2% in Tuesday afternoon trading.
- Weakest Components: Notable declines among its components include Iqiyi, which fell by about 3.4%, and Tal Education Group, which decreased by around 3%.
- Market Context: The performance of the ETF is contrasted with other ETFs, indicating a broader market trend.
- Author's Perspective: The views expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent Nasdaq, Inc.

Byron Wien's Legacy: Byron Wien, a prominent Wall Street strategist who passed away in 2023, was renowned for his annual "10 surprises" report, which featured predictions with a greater than 50% likelihood of occurring, despite lower market consensus.
Continuing the Tradition: U.K. research firm Variant Perception has taken up the mantle of Wien's "no surprise" approach, maintaining his framework of 50% likelihood and 33% consensus for their predictions.

Tepper's Investment Moves: Billionaire David Tepper's Appaloosa hedge fund significantly reduced its stake in UnitedHealth Group by selling 92% of its shares, likely to take profits after a 29% gain, while reallocating funds into Whirlpool, Qualcomm, and AMD stocks.
Whirlpool and AI Stocks: Tepper increased his investment in Whirlpool by nearly 2,000% and made substantial purchases in Qualcomm and AMD, anticipating growth in the AI chip market, where both companies are key players.
Market Timing and Strategy: Tepper's decision to sell UnitedHealth and invest in other stocks raises questions about his market timing and strategy, as he has a history of trading in and out of UnitedHealth shares.
Investment Caution: While Tepper's moves in AI stocks are viewed positively, there is caution regarding Whirlpool's valuation amid economic uncertainty, and the article advises against making investment decisions solely based on Tepper's actions.
RSI Comparison: The RSI for KraneShares CSI China Internet (KWEB) is at 29.7, significantly lower than the S&P 500's 41.2, indicating potential overselling.
Investment Opportunity: A bullish investor may interpret the low RSI as a sign that selling pressure is waning, suggesting possible entry points for buying KWEB shares.
52-Week Performance: KWEB's shares have a 52-week low of $27.27 and a high of $43.365, with the last trade recorded at $37.34, reflecting a decline of about 1.2% on the day.
Author's Disclaimer: The opinions expressed in the article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of Nasdaq, Inc.









