Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Hormel Foods Stock Will Climb or Sink?
Company Overview and Performance: Hormel Foods Corporation, valued at $16.6 billion, has seen its shares decline 15.3% over the past year, underperforming both the S&P 500 Index and the First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF. The company reported mixed Q1 earnings with a revenue increase but a significant drop in adjusted EPS.
Analyst Ratings and Future Outlook: Analysts maintain a consensus "Hold" rating on HRL, with recent upgrades suggesting potential upside. The company expects organic net sales growth of 1% to 3% for fiscal 2025, while current EPS projections indicate a modest year-over-year growth of 1.9%.
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ETF Overview: The Invesco Food & Beverage ETF (PBJ) and the First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF (FTXG) provide targeted exposure to the food and beverage sector, with PBJ being larger and slightly more diversified than FTXG.
Performance Comparison: Both ETFs have underperformed compared to the S&P 500 over the past five years, with FTXG down 28% from its peak in 2022, while PBJ is down 11.9%. Total returns for FTXG are 11.5% and for PBJ are 45%, including dividends.
Dividend Growth: The latest quarterly dividend for PBJ has increased by 72.6% over the past five years, while FTXG's dividend has risen by 52.5%, indicating stronger growth in PBJ's payouts.
Portfolio Composition: PBJ focuses on a mix of Consumer Defensive and Consumer Cyclical stocks, while FTXG is heavily concentrated in Consumer Defensive stocks, featuring blue-chip companies like PepsiCo and Mondelez International.
Financial Performance: Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. reported a 10.7% year-over-year increase in quarterly sales to $4.31 billion, exceeding expectations, with adjusted earnings per share of 54 cents.
Segment Growth: The U.S. Refreshment Beverages segment saw a 14.4% increase in net sales, while U.S. Coffee grew by 1.5%, and International sales rose by 10.5%.
Profitability Metrics: Despite strong sales, adjusted operating margins contracted to 25.3%, while adjusted net income increased by 6.5% to $738 million, with operating cash flow of $639 million.
Future Outlook: The company raised its fiscal 2025 guidance for net sales growth to the high-single-digit range and reiterated its outlook for adjusted diluted EPS growth, while also preparing for future transformations.
Warren Buffett's Investment Moves: Berkshire Hathaway disclosed new investments, including over 5 million shares in UnitedHealth Group valued at $1.6 billion, which led to an 11% stock increase.
Focus on Homebuilders: Buffett has increased stakes in homebuilding companies like Lennar and D.R. Horton, indicating confidence in the housing market amid easing mortgage rates.
Consumer Staples Investments: Buffett expanded his positions in food and beverage companies such as Constellation Brands and Domino’s Pizza, reflecting a strategy focused on non-cyclical sectors that perform well during economic slowdowns.
Reduction in Apple and Bank of America Stakes: Berkshire Hathaway has significantly reduced its holdings in Apple by 69% and Bank of America by selling 26 million shares, continuing a trend of trimming large positions amidst changing market dynamics.
ETF Performance Overview: On Monday, Kraft Heinz saw a trading increase of about 1.8% with over 16.9 million shares traded, while Coca-Cola experienced a slight decline of 0.4% on more than 4.9 million shares. Constellation Brands lagged behind, dropping approximately 4.2%.
Market Commentary: The article includes a video segment discussing unusual volume in the ETF market, specifically highlighting FTXG, and notes that the views expressed are those of the author and not necessarily reflective of Nasdaq, Inc.
Company Overview and Performance: Hormel Foods Corporation, valued at $16.6 billion, has seen its shares decline 15.3% over the past year, underperforming both the S&P 500 Index and the First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF. The company reported mixed Q1 earnings with a revenue increase but a significant drop in adjusted EPS.
Analyst Ratings and Future Outlook: Analysts maintain a consensus "Hold" rating on HRL, with recent upgrades suggesting potential upside. The company expects organic net sales growth of 1% to 3% for fiscal 2025, while current EPS projections indicate a modest year-over-year growth of 1.9%.
Company Overview and Performance: Molson Coors Beverage Company, with a market cap of $11.2 billion, has seen its stock decline 4.6% over the past year, underperforming the S&P 500 Index, while reporting a significant drop in Q1 net sales and adjusted EPS that missed analyst expectations.
Analyst Ratings and Future Outlook: TAP stock holds a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating among analysts, with a mean price target suggesting a potential upside of 13.8%, despite Barclays lowering its price target from $60 to $57.










