Are Wall Street Analysts Bullish on Equity Residential Stock?
Company Overview: Equity Residential (EQR) is a real estate company focused on acquiring, developing, and managing high-quality residential rental properties in major U.S. urban markets, with a market cap of $26.9 billion. Despite a 4.9% gain over the past year, EQR has underperformed compared to the S&P 500 and the Residential REIT ETF.
Earnings Performance and Analyst Ratings: EQR reported mixed Q1 earnings with revenue slightly below estimates but a year-over-year increase, leading to a nearly 1.1% rise in shares post-announcement. Analysts maintain a consensus rating of "Moderate Buy," with price targets suggesting potential upside from current levels.
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- New Board Members: Pebblebrook Hotel Trust has announced the election of Nina P. Jones and Bill Bayless to its Board of Trustees, with Jones effective March 1, 2026, and Bayless expected to join in Q4 2026; both bring extensive real estate and capital markets experience that will support the company's strategic execution and long-term shareholder value creation.
- Jones's Background: Nina P. Jones previously served as Vice President and Portfolio Manager at T. Rowe Price, accumulating over 15 years of real estate investment experience, and currently holds board positions at Simon Property Group and Equity Residential, suggesting her governance and audit expertise will add significant value to Pebblebrook.
- Bayless's Achievements: Bill Bayless, CEO of Maslow Campus Communities, has been involved in nearly $30 billion in real estate transactions and played a key role in the $13 billion sale of American Campus Communities in 2022, indicating that his M&A experience will aid Pebblebrook in strategic adjustments and balance sheet optimization.
- Board Refreshment Framework: Pebblebrook also announced a new principles-based board refreshment framework aimed at ensuring board independence and diversity through annual evaluations and skills matrix updates, supporting the goal of an average independent trustee tenure of no more than 12 years by the 2027 shareholder meeting.
- Rental Market Challenges: In 2025, Equity Residential faced challenges in the rental housing sector, with same-store NOI results meeting initial guidance, yet revenue momentum decelerated in the second half, although San Francisco and New York are expected to remain strong, impacting future growth.
- Stock Buyback Strategy: The company repurchased approximately $206 million of its stock in Q4 2025, totaling $300 million for the year, reflecting management's belief that the company's public market valuation is undervalued compared to private market values, indicating strong capital allocation confidence.
- Operational Efficiency Gains: The reported portfolio occupancy stood at 96.4%, with the lowest resident turnover in company history, emphasizing that new competitive supply and job growth are key drivers, while ongoing automation and AI applications are expected to further reduce on-site payroll costs.
- Optimistic Financial Outlook: The company anticipates same-store revenue growth between 1.5% and 3% for 2026, with renewal rates around 4.5%, while capital allocation will focus on stock buybacks using proceeds from property sales, showcasing confidence in future market conditions.
- Financial Overview: Equity Residential reported a Q4 FFO of $1.03, aligning with expectations, while revenue of $781.91 million, reflecting a 2.0% year-over-year increase, fell short by $5.36 million, indicating challenges in revenue growth.
- 2026 Performance Guidance: The company anticipates a physical occupancy rate of 96.4% for 2026, with revenue growth projected between 1.2% and 3.2%, and expense growth between 3.0% and 4.0%, highlighting pressure on cost control.
- Earnings Expectations: EPS for 2026 is expected to range from $1.44 to $1.56, representing a 49.0% decline at the midpoint compared to 2025 actuals, indicating a significant drop in future profitability.
- FFO Projections: The forecast for 2026 FFO per share is between $3.98 and $4.10, with a 2.5% growth at the midpoint compared to 2025 actuals, reflecting cautious optimism regarding the company's future financial performance.
- Equity Residential Q4 Adjusted FFO: The company reported an adjusted funds from operations (FFO) of $1.03 per share for the fourth quarter.
- Performance Overview: This figure reflects the company's performance in the residential real estate sector, indicating stability and growth in their operations.
- Equity Residential Outlook: The company has provided its earnings per share (EPS) guidance for the first quarter, estimating it to be between $0.29 and $0.33.
- Financial Performance: This outlook reflects the company's expectations for its financial performance in the upcoming quarter.
Equity Residential Outlook: The company projects a financial outlook for fiscal year earnings per share (EPS) ranging from $1.44 to $1.56.
Market Performance: This forecast indicates a positive trend in the company's performance, reflecting confidence in its operational strategies and market conditions.








