YPF SA declines amid sector rotation despite market gains
YPF SA experienced a price decline of 5.06%, hitting a 5-day low. This movement occurs in the context of a broader market where the Nasdaq-100 is up 0.92% and the S&P 500 is up 0.65%.
The decline in YPF's stock price is attributed to sector rotation, as investors shift their focus towards other sectors despite the overall market strength. This suggests that YPF is facing challenges that are specific to its sector, leading to a decrease in its stock value.
Investors may need to reassess their positions in YPF SA, considering the current market dynamics and the stock's recent performance. The ongoing sector rotation could indicate a shift in investor sentiment that may impact YPF's future performance.
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YPF's LNG Project: YPF, an Argentinian state-owned energy company, plans to finalize a $20 billion liquefied natural gas (LNG) project with partners Eni and ADNOC's XRG by 2026, targeting a capacity of 12 million metric tons per year.
Shell's Withdrawal: Shell has exited a phase of the Argentina LNG project due to significant changes in project scope, including a reduction in capacity from 12 mtpa to 6 mtpa, prompting YPF to seek a new partner.
Export Timeline: YPF anticipates starting exports from the LNG project around 2030 or 2031, contingent on reaching a final investment decision by mid-2026.
Energy Sector Insights: Oceaneering International and Canadian Natural Resources are highlighted as top-ranked stocks in the energy sector, with Oceaneering holding a Zacks Rank #1 and Canadian Natural Resources a Zacks Rank #2.
Shell Withdraws from Argentina LNG Project: Shell has announced its withdrawal from the Argentina LNG project due to changes in project dynamics and scope, just a year after signing a development agreement with YPF.
YPF's Response and Future Plans: YPF's CEO stated that the company will seek a new partner to replace Shell and anticipates making a final investment decision on the $20 billion project by mid-next year, with equity stakes expected to be shared among YPF, Eni, and Adnoc's XRG unit.
Eni and YPF Agreement: Eni S.p.A has signed an agreement with Argentina's YPF to acquire a 50% stake and operatorship in the OFF-5 Block offshore Uruguay, pending regulatory approval. The block is in a largely unexplored area with potential for hydrocarbon discoveries.
Exploration Potential: The OFF-5 Block covers 16,883 square kilometers and is located 200 kilometers offshore, with depths ranging from 800 to 4,100 meters. Eni views the block as a strategic addition to its exploration portfolio, leveraging proprietary technologies to enhance exploration efficiency.
Previous Collaborations: Eni and YPF have a history of collaboration, including a partnership on an integrated LNG project in Argentina, where Eni serves as a strategic partner.
Market Insights: The article also highlights top-ranked energy stocks, including Canadian Natural Resources and FuelCell Energy, emphasizing their strong market positions and contributions to the energy sector.
Eni's Acquisition: Eni has agreed to acquire a 50% share and operatorship in the OFF-5 exploration block offshore Uruguay from YPF, with financial details undisclosed.
Strategic Importance: The OFF-5 block is considered a highly prospective area that enhances Eni's exploration portfolio, combining near-field and infrastructure-led prospects with high-impact opportunities.
Collaboration with YPF: This agreement strengthens Eni's collaboration with YPF, following previous agreements related to the Argentina LNG project and Eni's role as a strategic partner in the ARLNG project.
Market Context: The news comes amid a positive market response to Milei's mid-term victory in Argentina, which has implications for YPF and the broader energy sector.
- Market Trends: There has been a consistent rotation into defensive sectors of the market, particularly healthcare and energy.
- Performance Metrics: These sectors have ranked as the top performers in the S&P 500 over the past week, month, and three months.

YPF Financial Performance: For Q3 2025, YPF reported a revenue of $4.64 billion, a 12.4% decline from the previous year, and an EPS of $0.84, down from $3.75 year-over-year.
Earnings Surprises: The revenue fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 7.99%, while the EPS exceeded expectations by 2.44%, indicating mixed performance against analyst forecasts.
Investor Insights: Key metrics beyond headline numbers are crucial for understanding YPF's underlying performance, helping investors gauge potential stock price movements more accurately.
Stock Recommendations: Zacks Investment Research has highlighted top stock recommendations, suggesting one may significantly outperform previous picks, emphasizing the potential for substantial returns.









