Webull Partners with Kalshi for Zero-Commission Sports Prediction Markets
Webull Corp (BULL) shares surged by 11.25% as it crossed above the 5-day SMA, reflecting positive market conditions with the Nasdaq-100 up 1.92% and S&P 500 up 1.75%.
The recent partnership with Kalshi to launch zero-commission sports prediction markets is a confirmed catalyst for Webull, aiming to enhance user engagement and competitiveness in the market. This initiative comes amid a backdrop of fluctuating market sentiment, as the company has faced challenges, including a significant stock decline over the past year. However, the new offering is expected to attract more users and improve the company's market position.
The implications of this partnership could be significant for Webull, as it seeks to regain investor confidence and stabilize its stock performance. The positive response from the market indicates that investors are optimistic about the potential growth opportunities arising from this new venture.
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- Launch of Prediction Markets: Webull has partnered with Kalshi to introduce zero-commission sports prediction markets for major events, aiming to enhance user engagement and competitiveness, although exchange fees still apply.
- Merger Completion: The company completed its merger with SK Growth Opportunities Corp in April 2025, transitioning to a public entity, yet its stock has plummeted over 50% in the past year, raising concerns about its future growth prospects.
- Market Sentiment Fluctuations: Despite the optimism surrounding the new zero-commission markets, Webull's shares fell more than 5% on Tuesday, indicating negative impacts from declining bitcoin prices and mixed trader sentiment.
- Diverse User Reactions: On Stocktwits, user sentiment around BULL is polarized, with some bullish users purchasing 67,000 shares at $6.48, while others express bearish views, suggesting the stock has not yet found a bottom.
- Momentum Rating Overview: According to the SA quantitative grading system, Webull Corporation (BULL) has a momentum grade of F and a valuation grade of D+, indicating weak performance in the market that may lead to declining investor confidence.
- Insurance and Financial Firms: Baldwin Insurance Group, Inc. (BWIN) and Compass Diversified (CODI) also face F-grade momentum ratings, suggesting these companies lack growth momentum in the current market environment, potentially affecting their future market performance.
- Cryptocurrency-Related Companies: Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) and FactSet Research Systems Inc. (FDS) both have momentum grades of F and valuation grades of D-, reflecting waning investor confidence that could lead to further declines in stock prices.
- Overall Financial Services Trend: Multiple companies, including Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. (FIS) and Shift4 Payments, Inc. (FOUR), exhibit F-grade momentum, indicating that the financial services sector faces challenges in growth, which may impact long-term investment decisions by investors.
- Silver Price Volatility: Following Donald Trump's nomination of Kevin Warsh as Fed chair, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield rose above 4.27%, causing silver to plunge approximately 30% on Friday, marking its steepest one-day decline since 1980, indicating market sensitivity to interest rate expectations.
- Bitcoin Purchase Hint: MicroStrategy's Executive Chairman Michael Saylor hinted at potential additional bitcoin purchases while raising the dividend on its STRC preferred stock to 11.25% to support further accumulation, demonstrating the company's ongoing confidence in the cryptocurrency market.
- Cloud Expansion Plan: Oracle outlined plans to raise $45 billion to $50 billion in 2026 to fund the expansion of its cloud infrastructure business, indicating the company's ambitious strategy in the cloud computing sector, which could further drive its market share growth.
- Market Sentiment Shift: While retail sentiment towards the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust was bearish, sentiment for the Invesco QQQ Trust remained bullish, reflecting investor divergence across different market segments and highlighting the uncertainty and shifts in risk appetite within the market.
- New Position Disclosure: Yong Rong Asset Management disclosed a new position on January 29, acquiring 5 million shares of Webull Corporation for an estimated $38.85 million, indicating strong confidence in the company's prospects.
- Asset Allocation Ratio: This acquisition represents 11.78% of Yong Rong's reportable U.S. equity assets, highlighting its focus on Webull's growth potential and reflecting a strategic view on market sentiment.
- Company Fundamentals: Webull has a market capitalization of $3.68 billion, with recent trading at $7.34 per share; despite facing intense competition and skepticism, the company maintains stable user engagement and reported a 55% year-over-year revenue increase to $156.9 million in Q3.
- Investor Signal: Allocating nearly 12% of a portfolio to a single stock signals Yong Rong's optimistic outlook on Webull's future growth, especially as platforms built around active retail participation tend to quickly re-rate when market risk appetite returns.
- New Investment Position: Yong Rong Asset Management disclosed on January 29 that it acquired 5 million shares in Webull Corporation (NASDAQ:BULL) valued at approximately $38.85 million, indicating strong confidence in the company.
- Significant Asset Allocation: The newly acquired shares represent 11.78% of the fund's reportable assets, reflecting Yong Rong's optimistic outlook on Webull's growth potential, particularly in the competitive retail brokerage market.
- Market Performance Insight: Webull's shares are currently trading around $7.34, which indicates cautious market expectations for near-term growth; however, the company maintains robust operations in the digital brokerage and wealth management sector.
- Financial Growth Potential: Webull reported a 55% year-over-year increase in total revenues to $156.9 million in the third quarter, suggesting that platforms built around active retail participation are likely to be re-rated quickly when market activity picks up.
- Stock Price Plunge: Webull (BULL) shares have declined over 38% in the past year, hitting an all-time low of $6.96 on Friday, representing a staggering 91% drop from its 52-week high of $79.56, indicating a pessimistic market outlook on its future prospects.
- Zero-Commission Market Launch: On January 27, Webull announced the launch of zero-commission sports prediction markets in partnership with Kalshi, covering major sporting events, although exchange fees still apply; this initiative aims to attract more users and enhance the platform's competitive edge in the market.
- Diverging Investor Sentiment: Despite the significant stock decline, retail sentiment around Webull on Stocktwits remains bullish, with some users asserting that the current risk/reward ratio is attractive and predicting a potential 5x increase in stock price this year, reflecting a portion of investors' confidence in the company's future.
- Market Reaction Analysis: Some users characterize the current stock price drop as a classic











