SoFi anticipates strong Q4 earnings despite capital raise concerns
SoFi Technologies Inc. saw its stock price decline by 3.00%, hitting a 20-day low amid mixed market conditions, with the Nasdaq-100 up 0.34% and the S&P 500 down 0.05%.
The company is set to report its Q4 earnings, projecting the addition of 3.5 million new members and a 36% year-over-year revenue growth, with an adjusted EPS of $0.37. However, concerns have arisen regarding its recent decision to raise approximately $1.5 billion through new share issuance, leading to questions about management's strategic intentions. The market is closely monitoring the impact of these developments on investor sentiment and stock performance.
Despite the capital raise concerns, SoFi's strong membership growth and revenue projections indicate a positive outlook for the company, suggesting that it may continue to attract investor interest and maintain its growth trajectory.
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- Financial Overview: SoFi Technologies' stock price was $7.19 as of February 3, 2026, indicating a neutral market reaction to its financial results, which reflects the company's stability in a competitive fintech landscape.
- Future Prospects Discussion: Analyst Jason Hall discusses SoFi's potential for future growth, noting that while current financial performance is steady, market confidence in its long-term growth needs to be further bolstered.
- Market Reaction Analysis: As of the video's release date, SoFi's stock price showed no significant volatility, suggesting a cautious investor response to its financial data, which may impact the company's future financing capabilities.
- Industry Competition Landscape: In the fintech sector, SoFi faces intense competition from emerging companies, with analysts highlighting that enhancing user experience and innovative services will be crucial for maintaining market share.
- Rating Upgrade: Citizens upgraded SoFi's stock from Market Perform to Outperform and set a $30 price target, with analyst Devin Ryan attributing the recent selloff to shifting investor preferences, indicating a reassessment of high-growth stocks in the market.
- Customer and Product Growth: In Q4 fiscal 2025, SoFi recorded its largest quarterly growth in both customers and products, adding approximately one million new members to reach a total of 13.7 million, a 35% year-on-year increase, while product usage surged 37% YoY to 20.2 million, showcasing the company's strong ability to diversify its revenue streams.
- Market Sentiment: Despite SoFi's stock price declining about 20% year-to-date, retail sentiment on Stocktwits remains bullish, suggesting that confidence in the stock's future performance is intact, supported by high message volume.
- Technical Factors Impact: The analyst noted that the pullback in SoFi's stock price is primarily due to technical factors and compressed valuation multiples rather than concerns about near-term economic conditions, presenting a potential buying opportunity for investors, especially as the company's fundamentals continue to improve.
- SoFi Stock Surge: SoFi Technologies (SOFI) shares rose 5% after Citizens upgraded the stock from Market Perform to Market Outperform, with analyst Devin Ryan noting that the recent selloff was driven by risk-off sentiment rather than fundamentals, setting a price target of $30, implying about 44% upside.
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- Terawulf and Cipher Mining Rise: Terawulf (WULF) and Cipher Mining (CIFR) shares each gained 2% after Morgan Stanley initiated coverage with an Overweight rating, citing attractive valuations linked to Bitcoin-to-data center conversions, with price targets of $37 for Terawulf and $38 for Cipher Mining, both suggesting approximately 159% upside potential.
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- Profit Growth Forecast: SoFi Technologies anticipates adjusted net income to reach $825 million in 2026, a 72% increase from $481 million in 2025, demonstrating a strong transition from losses to profitability that boosts investor confidence.
- Accelerated Customer Growth: In Q4 2025, SoFi added over 1 million customers, bringing the total to nearly 13.7 million, indicating a robust market demand and laying a solid foundation for future revenue growth.
- Expanding Net Interest Margin: With nearly $30 billion in interest-bearing deposits, up 32% year-over-year, SoFi benefits from a low-cost funding source that supports higher-yielding loans, further enhancing profitability through an expanded net interest margin.
- Diversified Revenue Streams: The company's fee-based revenue surged 53% year-over-year, showcasing SoFi's success in building diversified income sources that reduce reliance on interest income and provide a safeguard for sustainable growth.
- Profit Expectations Surge: SoFi Technologies anticipates adjusted net income to reach $825 million in 2026, a 72% increase from $481 million in 2025, marking a significant turnaround from a $484 million loss in 2021, showcasing strong business recovery and growth potential.
- Accelerating Customer Growth: In Q4 2025, SoFi added over 1 million customers, bringing the total to nearly 13.7 million, and this rapid expansion of its customer base not only enhances market share but also strengthens the company's position in the competitive fintech landscape.
- Diversified Revenue Development: SoFi's fee-based revenue surged 53% year-over-year, indicating success in building diversified revenue streams, particularly as demand for personal, student, and home loans skyrockets, further bolstering its profitability.
- Optimistic Market Outlook: While investors reasonably expect growth to slow, Wall Street remains bullish, projecting a 36% increase in earnings per share in 2027 and 25% in 2028, reflecting confidence in SoFi's long-term growth potential.
- Crypto Market Influence: Robinhood's stock price is closely tied to the cryptocurrency market, with Bitcoin dipping near $60,000 on Thursday before rebounding to $68,000 on Friday, resulting in a 12.70% increase in Robinhood's shares, highlighting its sensitivity to market fluctuations.
- Revenue Model Insight: Robinhood attracts users with zero-commission trading, profiting through payment for order flow and interest on customer cash balances, meaning that increased trading activity in Bitcoin and other assets directly boosts Robinhood's revenue opportunities, further driving stock price growth.
- Current Technical Analysis: Robinhood's stock is currently trading 21.1% below its 20-day simple moving average and 34.7% below its 100-day SMA, indicating a bearish short-term trend; however, shares have increased by 51.48% over the past 12 months, suggesting a potential recovery phase as they approach 52-week highs.
- Market Support and Resistance: The key resistance level for Robinhood is $103.50, while the support level is $81.00; despite the current RSI of 15.26 indicating oversold conditions, the MACD remains below its signal line, reflecting ongoing bearish pressure and a complex market sentiment.











