O'Reilly Automotive shares decline amid market weakness
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 29 2026
0mins
Should l Buy ORLY?
Source: Benzinga
O'Reilly Automotive Inc experienced a price drop of 3.03%, hitting a 20-day low of $98.11.
The recent decline has raised concerns about the stock's momentum after a strong year, with analysts suggesting a fair value of $110, indicating potential upside from current levels.
Investors are advised to consider the high price-to-earnings ratio and explore other undervalued sectors, as the stock's performance may be influenced by broader market conditions.
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Analyst Views on ORLY
Wall Street analysts forecast ORLY stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for ORLY is 110.75 USD with a low forecast of 91.00 USD and a high forecast of 125.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
20 Analyst Rating
18 Buy
2 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 92.860
Low
91.00
Averages
110.75
High
125.00
Current: 92.860
Low
91.00
Averages
110.75
High
125.00
About ORLY
O’Reilly Automotive, Inc. is a specialty retailer of automotive aftermarket parts, tools, supplies, equipment, and accessories in the United States (U.S.), selling its products to both do-it-yourself (DIY) and professional service provider customers. Its stores carry various product lines, including new and remanufactured automotive hard parts and maintenance items, such as alternators, batteries, brake system components, belts, chassis parts, driveline parts, engine parts, fuel pumps, hoses, starters, temperature control, water pumps, antifreeze, appearance products, engine additives, filters, fluids, lighting, oil, and wiper blades and accessories, such as floor mats, seat covers, and truck accessories. Its stores offer services and programs, including battery diagnostic testing; battery, wiper, and bulb replacement; a loaner tool program; custom hydraulic hoses, drum and rotor resurfacing, electrical and module testing, used oil, oil filter, and battery recycling; and others.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Earnings Performance: O'Reilly Automotive reported a Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.71, missing estimates by $0.01, while revenue reached $4.41 billion, reflecting a 7.6% year-over-year increase and beating expectations by $20 million, indicating the company's resilience in the market.
- 2026 Financial Guidance: The company anticipates opening 225 to 235 new stores in 2026, with comparable store sales growth projected between 3.0% and 5.0%, highlighting O'Reilly's proactive strategy to expand its market share.
- Revenue and Profit Outlook: Total revenue for 2026 is expected to range from $18.7 billion to $19.0 billion, with gross profit margins projected at 51.5% to 52.0%, reflecting the company's ongoing focus on profitability and optimization.
- Cash Flow and Capital Expenditures: The net cash provided by operating activities is projected to be between $3.1 billion and $3.5 billion, with capital expenditures expected to be between $1.3 billion and $1.4 billion, and free cash flow anticipated to range from $1.8 billion to $2.1 billion, showcasing the company's strong cash flow management capabilities.
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- Significant Sales Growth: O'Reilly Automotive achieved a 5.6% increase in comparable store sales for Q4 2025 and a 4.7% increase for the full year, demonstrating the company's ability to gain market share in the competitive automotive aftermarket, thereby solidifying its industry leadership.
- Enhanced Profitability: The diluted earnings per share rose by 13% to $0.71 in Q4 and by 10% to $2.97 for the full year, reflecting the company's success in cost management and gross margin improvement, which bolsters investor confidence.
- Strong Cash Flow: The company generated $2.8 billion in net cash from operating activities in 2025, showcasing robust cash generation capabilities that provide ample funding for future expansion and shareholder returns.
- Successful Expansion Plans: O'Reilly opened 207 new stores in 2025 and established a new distribution center in Virginia, indicating successful execution of its North American expansion strategy, which is expected to further drive sales growth in the future.
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