OneMain Holdings falls as it crosses below key SMA
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jun 14 2024
0mins
Should l Buy OMF?
Source: NASDAQ.COM
OneMain Holdings Inc. experienced a decline of 5.05% as it crossed below its 5-day SMA, indicating a bearish trend in the stock's performance.
The lack of relevant news surrounding OneMain Holdings suggests that the stock's movement is primarily influenced by sector rotation, as the broader market, including the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500, showed positive gains. This indicates that the decline in OneMain's stock price is not reflective of overall market conditions but rather a shift in investor sentiment within its sector.
Investors may want to monitor the stock closely for any potential recovery or further declines, especially in light of the broader market's upward trajectory.
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Analyst Views on OMF
Wall Street analysts forecast OMF stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for OMF is 72.20 USD with a low forecast of 64.00 USD and a high forecast of 80.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
11 Analyst Rating
6 Buy
4 Hold
1 Sell
Moderate Buy
Current: 62.290
Low
64.00
Averages
72.20
High
80.00
Current: 62.290
Low
64.00
Averages
72.20
High
80.00
About OMF
OneMain Holdings, Inc. is a financial services holding company. The Company provides personal loan products; offers auto financing; offers credit cards; offers optional products; offers a customer-focused financial wellness program; services loans, and acquisitions and dispositions of assets and businesses. It provides origination, underwriting, and servicing of personal loans, primarily to nonprime customers. In addition, the Company offers two credit cards, BrightWay and BrightWay+, through a third-party bank partner. The Company offers optional credit insurance products, such as credit life insurance, which provides for payment to the lender of the finance receivable in the event of the borrower’s death; credit disability insurance, which provides scheduled monthly loan payments to the lender during a borrower’s disability due to illness or injury, and credit involuntary unemployment insurance, which provides scheduled monthly loan payments during involuntary unemployment.
About the author

Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.

- Strong Earnings Growth: OneMain Holdings reported a full-year earnings per share of $6.66 for 2025, reflecting a 36% year-over-year increase, alongside capital generation of $913 million, up 33%, indicating significant progress in personal loans, auto finance, and credit cards.
- Product Innovation Launch: The company introduced a new secured lending product specifically for homeowners, expanded its debt consolidation offerings, and implemented data-driven credit decisioning tools, which are expected to enhance customer experience and competitive positioning in the market.
- Capital Generation and Cost Control: The fourth quarter GAAP net income was $204 million, or $1.72 per diluted share, up 64% from the previous year, while operating expenses totaled $443 million, a 5% increase, demonstrating effective cost management strategies.
- Optimistic 2026 Outlook: Management projects managed receivables growth of 6% to 9% for 2026, emphasizing that ongoing product innovation and a conservative underwriting posture will support future growth and shareholder value creation.
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- Quarterly Dividend Announcement: OneMain Holdings has declared a quarterly dividend of $1.05 per share, consistent with previous distributions, indicating the company's stable cash flow and profitability, which is likely to attract more investor interest.
- Yield Performance: The forward yield of 6.84% is competitive in the current market environment, potentially enhancing shareholder confidence and increasing the attractiveness of the company's stock.
- Payment Schedule: The dividend will be payable on February 23, with a record date of February 17 and an ex-dividend date also on February 17, ensuring shareholders receive their returns promptly and further solidifying the shareholder base.
- Market Reaction Expectations: Following the dividend announcement, market attention on OneMain Holdings may increase, especially against the backdrop of the company’s robust loan base and growth potential.
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- Earnings Beat: OneMain Holdings reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $1.59, exceeding expectations by $0.05, indicating strong profitability that may boost investor confidence in the company's financial health.
- Revenue Decline Yet Surpassing Estimates: Despite a 14% year-over-year revenue decline to $1.29 billion, the figure still beat expectations by $10 million, suggesting the company has maintained a relatively stable revenue stream amidst challenges, potentially laying the groundwork for future recovery.
- Strong Loan Base: The robust growth and solid loan base of OneMain Holdings are seen as its main attractions, demonstrating the company's competitiveness in the credit market, which may draw more investor interest in its long-term growth potential.
- Credit Improvement Outlook: Analysts anticipate that credit improvements will continue into 2026, reflecting a positive outlook on the company's future performance, which could drive stock price increases and attract more institutional investors.
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- Significant Revenue Growth: In Q4 2025, OneMain reported pretax income of $249 million and net income of $204 million, representing a 52% and 62% increase from $164 million and $126 million in the same quarter last year, showcasing the company's strong performance in the nonprime consumer credit market.
- Earnings Per Share Increase: The diluted earnings per share for Q4 2025 rose to $1.72, up 64% from $1.05 in the prior year quarter, reflecting a substantial improvement in profitability that enhances investor confidence.
- Dividends and Buybacks: On February 5, 2026, OneMain declared a quarterly dividend of $1.05 per share and repurchased approximately 1.2 million shares for $70 million in Q4, indicating the company's commitment to creating long-term value for shareholders.
- Enhanced Capital Generation: Capital generation reached $225 million in Q4 2025, a 23% increase from $183 million in the prior year quarter, driven by growth in receivables and yield improvement, further solidifying the company's financial foundation.
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- Earnings Announcement Schedule: OneMain Holdings is set to announce its Q4 earnings on February 5 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $1.54, reflecting a 32.8% year-over-year growth, indicating sustained profitability.
- Revenue Expectations: Despite the optimistic EPS outlook, the revenue estimate stands at $1.28 billion, down 14.7% year-over-year, suggesting challenges in revenue growth that could impact investor confidence.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, OneMain Holdings has beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, showcasing strong performance in earnings forecasts and bolstering market confidence in future results.
- Estimate Revision Dynamics: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 5 upward revisions and 9 downward revisions, while revenue estimates have experienced 3 upward revisions and 1 downward revision, indicating mixed analyst sentiment that may affect stock price volatility.
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- Conference Presentation: Doug Shulman, CEO of OneMain Holdings, is scheduled to present at the Bank of America 2026 Financial Services Conference on February 11 at 11:20 a.m., where he is expected to discuss the company's latest developments and strategies in the nonprime consumer credit sector.
- Investor Relations Transparency: The presentation will be available via a live audio webcast on OneMain's Investor Relations website, reflecting the company's commitment to transparency and aiming to enhance market understanding and trust in its business model.
- Market Leadership: OneMain Holdings operates in 47 states, providing responsible credit services and focusing on improving the financial well-being of hardworking Americans, thereby reinforcing its leadership position in the nonprime consumer credit market.
- Community Impact Commitment: The company emphasizes its mission to empower customers with personalized solutions to address current challenges, showcasing a long-term commitment to serving communities and enhancing customer financial health.
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