NVIDIA Hits 20-Day Low Despite Record Q3 Earnings
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 28 2024
0mins
Should l Buy NVDA?
Source: Bloomberg
Shares of NVDA.O fell sharply today, hitting a 20-day low following the company's impressive Q3 earnings report. Despite reporting record revenue of $57 billion, a 62% year-over-year increase, the stock declined by 3.15%, reflecting broader market volatility and investor concerns over macroeconomic conditions. CEO Jensen Huang noted strong demand for AI chips, particularly from data centers, yet the stock's recent performance suggests a speculative sentiment among investors. Analysts remain divided, with some viewing the dip as a buying opportunity while others express caution regarding the sustainability of AI valuations.
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Analyst Views on NVDA
Wall Street analysts forecast NVDA stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for NVDA is 264.97 USD with a low forecast of 200.00 USD and a high forecast of 352.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
41 Analyst Rating
39 Buy
1 Hold
1 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 171.880
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
Current: 171.880
Low
200.00
Averages
264.97
High
352.00
About NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation is a full-stack computing infrastructure company. The Company is engaged in accelerated computing to help solve the challenging computational problems. The Company’s segments include Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment includes its Data Center accelerated computing platforms and artificial intelligence (AI) solutions and software; networking; automotive platforms and autonomous and electric vehicle solutions; Jetson for robotics and other embedded platforms, and DGX Cloud computing services. The Graphics segment includes GeForce GPUs for gaming and PCs, the GeForce NOW game streaming service and related infrastructure, and solutions for gaming platforms; Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation graphics; virtual GPU software for cloud-based visual and virtual computing; automotive platforms for infotainment systems, and Omniverse Enterprise software for building and operating industrial AI and digital twin applications.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Oracle's Market Challenges: Oracle, with a market cap of $440 billion, has seen its stock drop over 52% since last September, primarily due to high spending on AI infrastructure and a debt exceeding $100 billion, raising concerns about its financial health among investors.
- Financial Performance Highlights: Oracle's recent Q2 FY2026 earnings report revealed a 14% year-over-year revenue increase to $16.05 billion, with net income soaring 95% to $6.13 billion, including a $2.7 billion pre-tax gain, showcasing its strong growth potential in the cloud computing sector.
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- Market Recovery: Despite a pullback in tech stocks since October, Nvidia's price is poised for significant growth in the coming years, particularly as the AI computing market continues to expand.
- Rising Capital Expenditure: AI hyperscalers have announced record capital expenditure plans for 2026, with global data center spending projected to reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion annually, positioning Nvidia as a key beneficiary.
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See More
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- Strong Financial Performance: Nvidia reported record revenue of $57 billion last quarter, marking a 62% year-over-year increase, with GAAP-adjusted gross margins at 73%, indicating robust profitability in AI infrastructure, and forecasts revenue to jump to $65 billion this quarter with margins rising to 74%.
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See More
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See More
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- Nvidia's Market Performance: Nvidia's stock has surged over 700% in the past three years, pushing its market capitalization beyond $4 trillion, making it the largest company globally, which highlights its dominant position in high-performance AI applications and attracts significant investor interest.
- Oracle's Market Challenges: Oracle, with a market cap of $440 billion, has seen its stock drop over 52% since last September, primarily due to high spending on AI infrastructure and a debt exceeding $100 billion, raising concerns about its financial health among investors.
- Financial Performance Highlights: Oracle's recent Q2 FY2026 earnings report revealed a 14% year-over-year revenue increase to $16.05 billion, with net income soaring 95% to $6.13 billion, including a $2.7 billion pre-tax gain, showcasing its strong growth potential in the cloud computing sector.
- Future Growth Expectations: Despite facing debt pressures, Oracle's forward price-to-earnings ratio stands at just 19.8, indicating that its stock is at a two-year low, and analysts expect significant revenue growth in the future, potentially providing a good buying opportunity for investors.
See More
Nvidia Stock Valuation Low, Potential for Rebound
- Valuation Drop: Nvidia's stock currently trades at a forward P/E ratio of 25, slightly above last spring's lows, yet the market's strong growth expectations could yield substantial returns for investors.
- Market Recovery: Despite a pullback in tech stocks since October, Nvidia's price is poised for significant growth in the coming years, particularly as the AI computing market continues to expand.
- Rising Capital Expenditure: AI hyperscalers have announced record capital expenditure plans for 2026, with global data center spending projected to reach $3 trillion to $4 trillion annually, positioning Nvidia as a key beneficiary.
- Strong Revenue Outlook: Analysts forecast a 52% revenue increase for Nvidia in fiscal 2027, indicating robust performance in the AI sector and sustained market demand, despite a slight slowdown in growth rate.
See More
Investors Cautious on Tech Stocks in 2026
- Tech Sector Weakness: As of February 4, 2026, large-cap tech stocks have declined approximately 3%, making them the worst-performing sector, reflecting investor concerns over high valuations and ineffective AI spending, which may increase the risk of a market correction.
- Microsoft's Financials: Microsoft reported a 66% year-over-year increase in capital expenditures in Q2 2026, although growth for its AI cloud engine, Azure, has slowed; however, its remaining performance obligation surged 110% to $625 billion, enhancing its appeal for long-term investors with a current P/E ratio of 26, below S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 averages.
- Oracle's Upside Potential: Oracle's stock has even greater upside potential, with analysts projecting a price target of $272, indicating an 88% upside over the next 12 months; despite concerns over its AI spending, its $523 billion backlog has increased by 438% year-over-year, demonstrating robust market demand.
- Investor Risk Considerations: While Microsoft is rated a buy by 95% of analysts, Oracle is viewed as a higher-risk investment due to its debt and reliance on OpenAI, necessitating careful evaluation of its future profitability and market performance.
See More
Nvidia's Earnings Outlook Remains Bullish
- Strong Financial Performance: Nvidia reported record revenue of $57 billion last quarter, marking a 62% year-over-year increase, with GAAP-adjusted gross margins at 73%, indicating robust profitability in AI infrastructure, and forecasts revenue to jump to $65 billion this quarter with margins rising to 74%.
- Market Dominance: Nvidia's undeniable dominance in the GPU market is reflected in its stock price, which has risen over 40% in the past 12 months and an astonishing 1,230% over the past five years, underscoring the company's core position and growth potential in the AI economy.
- Robust Cash Flow: As of last quarter, Nvidia holds approximately $61 billion in cash and marketable securities against total liabilities of only $42 billion, providing a strong balance sheet that enhances its resilience against industry fluctuations and ensures long-term growth.
- Investment Opportunity: Despite a recent sell-off in tech stocks, Nvidia's market cap remains above $4 trillion, with a forward P/E ratio dropping to 22, making it attractive for long-term investors, suggesting that now is an opportune time to buy ahead of earnings while focusing on the company's promising future growth prospects.
See More
Dow Surpasses 50,000 for the First Time
- Dow Jones Milestone: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has surpassed 50,000 for the first time, indicating a significant boost in market confidence that could attract more investors and drive overall economic recovery.
- Key Stock Performance: Stocks like JPMorgan, Apple, and Boeing are now in buy zones, reflecting their strong fundamentals and market demand, which may further propel their stock prices and enhance investor confidence.
- Nasdaq Divergence: While the Nasdaq remains below key support levels, certain AI stocks are reviving, suggesting a renewed interest in tech stocks that could lay the groundwork for future growth.
- Improved Market Sentiment: The Dow's breakthrough not only reflects optimistic expectations for economic recovery but may also encourage other indices to follow suit, further enhancing overall market vitality and liquidity.
See More
Disney's Earnings Report Triggers Stock Decline
- Negative Earnings Reaction: Following Disney's fiscal Q1 2026 earnings report, shares fell 7.4%, nearing an eight-month low, primarily due to weak performance in the sports segment and lowered profitability projections for the first half of fiscal 2026, indicating significant market concern.
- Experiences Segment Growth: Despite overall challenges, Disney's experiences segment reported $10 billion in revenue and a 33.1% operating margin in Q1 2025, showcasing strong market demand and profitability, serving as a key driver for the company's earnings rebound.
- Streaming Profitability Improvement: Disney's streaming segment saw operating income surge from $189 million to $450 million in the latest quarter, achieving an operating margin of 8.4%, reflecting significant progress in cost control and profitability enhancement.
- Stock Buyback Initiative: Disney announced a plan to repurchase $7 billion in stock in fiscal 2026, which could reduce the share count by 3.8%, signaling management's confidence in the stock's value while also enhancing earnings per share, thereby boosting investor sentiment.
See More
