Impinj Expects Strong Q4 Revenue Despite Stock Decline
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Jan 15 2025
0mins
Should l Buy PI?
Impinj Inc's stock fell 5.39% as it hit a 20-day low amid mixed market conditions, with the Nasdaq-100 down slightly while the S&P 500 showed minor gains.
Despite the stock's decline, Impinj has updated its Q4 sales guidance, expecting revenue between $90 million and $93 million, which exceeds analyst estimates of less than $92 million. The company also anticipates adjusted EBITDA to surpass the midpoint of its previous guidance, indicating potential improvements in profitability. However, market concerns about future profitability persist, particularly with analysts predicting a GAAP loss of $0.35 per share in 2025, leading to a 7% drop in stock price despite the positive sales outlook.
The optimistic sales forecast reflects Impinj's strong market position, particularly in the food and e-commerce sectors. Investors are keenly awaiting the upcoming earnings report on February 5, which will provide further insights into the company's performance and growth potential.
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Analyst Views on PI
Wall Street analysts forecast PI stock price to rise over the next 12 months. According to Wall Street analysts, the average 1-year price target for PI is 240.50 USD with a low forecast of 200.00 USD and a high forecast of 273.00 USD. However, analyst price targets are subjective and often lag stock prices, so investors should focus on the objective reasons behind analyst rating changes, which better reflect the company's fundamentals.
8 Analyst Rating
7 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 153.830
Low
200.00
Averages
240.50
High
273.00
Current: 153.830
Low
200.00
Averages
240.50
High
273.00
About PI
Impinj, Inc. (Impinj) is a RAIN radio frequency identification (RFID) and Internet of things provider. The Company helps businesses and people analyze, optimize, and innovate by wirelessly connecting billions of everyday things, such as apparel, automobile parts, luggage, and shipments to the Internet. The Impinj platform uses RAIN RFID to deliver timely data about these everyday things to business and consumer applications, enabling a boundless Internet of Things. It designs, sells or licenses, including silicon RAIN radios; manufacturing, test, encoding and reading systems, and software and cloud services that encapsulate its solutions know-how. The Company sells two types of silicon integrated circuit (IC), radios. The first are endpoint ICs that store a serialized number to wirelessly identify an item. The second are reader ICs that its partners use in finished readers to wirelessly discover, inventory and engage the endpoint ICs.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Impinj Misses Q4 Estimates, Shares Plunge
- Flat Revenue Growth: Impinj's Q4 revenue increased by only 1.4% to $92.8 million, matching analyst expectations but failing to boost market confidence, resulting in a 21.4% drop in stock price.
- Profitability Pressure: Adjusted EBITDA rose from $15 million to $16.4 million, yet the earnings per share of $0.50 fell short of the $0.51 consensus, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
- Pessimistic Outlook: The company forecasts Q1 revenue between $71 million and $74 million, implying a 2% decline at the midpoint, significantly below the $90.5 million consensus, reflecting weak demand from apparel retailers.
- Market Reaction: Although analysts maintained positive ratings on Impinj, the stock was heavily impacted by the expected GAAP net loss of $15.1 million to $16.6 million, intensifying concerns over its premium valuation amidst ongoing headwinds.
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- Market Reaction: While specific stocks were not mentioned, such rating changes typically influence investor decisions and may lead to price volatility in the affected stocks.
- Investor Focus: Investors considering buying PI stock should pay attention to analysts' opinions to better assess potential investment risks and returns.
- Source of Information: This information is provided by Benzinga, highlighting the significance of analyst ratings in investment decisions, especially in a rapidly changing market environment.
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- Flat Revenue Growth: Impinj's Q4 revenue increased by only 1.4% to $92.8 million, matching analyst expectations but failing to boost market confidence, resulting in a 21.4% drop in stock price.
- Profitability Pressure: Adjusted EBITDA rose from $15 million to $16.4 million, yet the earnings per share of $0.50 fell short of the $0.51 consensus, indicating ongoing profitability challenges.
- Pessimistic Outlook: The company forecasts Q1 revenue between $71 million and $74 million, implying a 2% decline at the midpoint, significantly below the $90.5 million consensus, reflecting weak demand from apparel retailers.
- Market Reaction: Although analysts maintained positive ratings on Impinj, the stock was heavily impacted by the expected GAAP net loss of $15.1 million to $16.6 million, intensifying concerns over its premium valuation amidst ongoing headwinds.
See More
Wall Street Analysts Adjust Ratings on Top Stocks
- Analyst Rating Changes: Top Wall Street analysts have adjusted their ratings on several stocks, including upgrades, downgrades, and initiations, reflecting the latest market views and expectations for these companies.
- Market Reaction: While specific stocks were not mentioned, such rating changes typically influence investor decisions and may lead to price volatility in the affected stocks.
- Investor Focus: Investors considering buying PI stock should pay attention to analysts' opinions to better assess potential investment risks and returns.
- Source of Information: This information is provided by Benzinga, highlighting the significance of analyst ratings in investment decisions, especially in a rapidly changing market environment.
See More
Wall Street Analysts Adjust Ratings
- Analyst Rating Changes: Top Wall Street analysts have adjusted their ratings on several companies, reflecting varying market perspectives on their future performance, which could influence investor decisions and market sentiment.
- AMZN Stock Outlook: Analysts' opinions on Amazon (AMZN) stock indicate mixed views on its future growth potential, prompting investors to pay close attention to the latest ratings and recommendations when considering purchases.
- Impact of Rating Changes: Upgrades and downgrades from analysts can lead to stock price volatility, necessitating that investors closely monitor these changes to timely adjust their investment strategies and optimize their portfolios.
- Market Sentiment Reflection: Changes in analyst ratings not only affect individual stock performance but can also impact overall market sentiment, urging investors to consider these factors comprehensively for informed investment decisions.
See More
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Below Estimates: The company's projected financial performance fell short of analysts' expectations, contributing to the significant decline in share value.
See More
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- Quarterly Loss Report: Molina Healthcare reported a quarterly loss of $2.75 per share, significantly missing the Street estimate of a $0.33 profit, indicating substantial challenges in profitability that could undermine investor confidence.
- Revenue Performance: Despite the severe loss, Molina's quarterly revenue reached $11.38 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of $10.86 billion, suggesting that the company still possesses some resilience in revenue growth, potentially laying a foundation for future recovery.
- Stock Price Reaction: Molina Healthcare's shares dipped 29.4% to $124.90 in pre-market trading, reflecting a negative market reaction to its earnings report, which may lead investors to reassess the stock's value.
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- Accelerating AWS Growth: CEO Andy Jassy reported a 24% growth rate for AWS, the fastest in 13 quarters, with an annualized revenue of $142 billion; however, management anticipates Q1 operating income will fall short of analyst expectations, reflecting intensified market competition.
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