FormFactor Exceeds Q4 2025 Revenue and Margin Expectations
FormFactor Inc. shares surged by 17.28% as the stock crossed above its 5-day SMA, reflecting strong investor confidence.
The company reported Q4 2025 revenues of $215.2 million, exceeding expectations and indicating a 24.5% increase from Q3. Additionally, FormFactor achieved a GAAP gross margin of 42.2%, up 2.4 percentage points sequentially. Management's optimistic outlook for Q1 2026, projecting revenues around $225 million and gross margins expected to reach 45%, further bolstered investor sentiment. The CEO highlighted record performance in the DRAM probe card market, particularly in HBM, forecasting another record-breaking quarter, which reflects strong demand and market share growth in high-performance computing and advanced packaging sectors.
This robust performance and positive guidance suggest that FormFactor is well-positioned for continued growth, despite broader market weakness, as indicated by the declines in the Nasdaq-100 and S&P 500.
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- Strong Earnings: FormFactor reported Q4 earnings of $0.46 per share, exceeding the market expectation of $0.35 and significantly up from $0.27 a year ago, indicating a notable improvement in profitability.
- Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $215.16 million, a 13.6% year-over-year increase, surpassing analyst expectations and reflecting robust market demand recovery.
- Optimistic Outlook: FormFactor expects Q1 adjusted earnings between $0.41 and $0.49 per share, well above the $0.32 projected by analysts, with revenue guidance of $220 million to $230 million, showcasing strong growth potential.
- Strong Technical Setup: FormFactor's stock is currently trading above key moving averages, indicating strong bullish momentum, with a 105.17% increase over the past 12 months, nearing its 52-week high, reflecting market confidence in its future performance.
- Strong Performance: FormFactor reported Q4 2025 revenues of $215.2 million, exceeding expectations and reflecting a 24.5% increase from Q3, while achieving a GAAP gross margin of 42.2%, up 2.4 percentage points sequentially, indicating robust market performance and growth potential.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management projects Q1 2026 revenues around $225 million, with gross margins expected to reach 45%, demonstrating confidence in ongoing operational improvements and tariff mitigation efforts, which are anticipated to further enhance profitability.
- Market Leadership: CEO Slessor highlighted record performance in the DRAM probe card market, particularly in HBM, forecasting another record-breaking quarter, reflecting strong demand and market share growth in high-performance computing and advanced packaging sectors.
- Strategic Investment and Acquisition: The December acquisition of Keystone Photonics enhances FormFactor's technological leadership in co-packaged optics testing, indicating the company's ongoing commitment to innovation and market expansion aimed at capturing future growth opportunities.
- Earnings Beat: FormFactor reported a Q4 non-GAAP EPS of $0.46, surpassing expectations by $0.11, indicating strong performance and improved profitability in the semiconductor testing sector.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q4 revenue of $215.1 million, reflecting a 13.5% year-over-year increase and exceeding market expectations by $4.5 million, showcasing sustained demand in the market.
- Optimistic Outlook: For Q1 2026, FormFactor projects revenue to fluctuate around $225 million with a gross margin target of 34%, reflecting confidence in future market demand and ongoing profitability.
- Increased Net Income Expectations: The anticipated net income per diluted share is $0.34, significantly higher than the previous year, indicating improvements in cost control and operational efficiency that will drive future profitability.
- Earnings Announcement: FormFactor (FORM) is set to release its Q4 2023 earnings on February 4 after market close, with consensus EPS estimates at $0.35, reflecting a 29.6% year-over-year increase, indicating ongoing improvements in profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: Analysts project revenue to reach $210.6 million, marking an 11.1% year-over-year increase, showcasing the company's robust performance and demand growth in the semiconductor testing market.
- Historical Performance Review: Over the past two years, FormFactor has beaten EPS estimates 50% of the time and revenue estimates 88% of the time, demonstrating stability in financial performance and market confidence.
- Market Analysis Insights: Recent analyses suggest that FormFactor is benefiting from the memory shortage trend, which is expected to drive future performance growth and further solidify its competitive position in the technology sector.

- Short Call Impact: Hedgeye analyst Felix Wang noted that FormFactor's stock has more than tripled from cycle lows, now trading at approximately 50x blended 2026/2027 earnings, indicating an extreme valuation with little margin for error.
- Skewed Market Expectations: Despite widespread anticipation for a significant beat-and-raise on February 4th, Intel's downward guidance has meaningfully undermined this setup, potentially leading to market disappointment.
- Increased Valuation Pressure: With fading HBM tailwinds, ongoing share losses, and elevated earnings expectations, Hedgeye estimates a 45% downside to fair value for FormFactor, presenting an asymmetric short opportunity.
- Changing Industry Dynamics: Amid a cooling environment in the semiconductor capital equipment sector, Hedgeye is reassessing its hedging strategies for FormFactor, suggesting that the challenges faced by the company will impact its future profitability.








