BP and Shell Seek US Licenses for Natural Gas Development
BP PLC's stock rose by 3.01% as it reached a 52-week high amid positive developments in its natural gas projects.
BP is actively pursuing U.S. licenses for the Cocuina-Manakin field, which is linked to the Plataforma Deltana offshore gas project, potentially enhancing its position in the Latin American energy market. Additionally, Kepler Cheuvreux has replaced TotalEnergies with BP among its preferred European stocks, citing BP's resilience in the LNG market, which is expected to support its cash flow amid potential oversupply concerns.
This strategic move to secure licenses and the favorable analyst outlook could bolster BP's growth prospects in the competitive energy sector, particularly as it aims to expand its operations in Latin America.
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- Market Performance: The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose by 2.5% and closed above 50,000 for the first time.
- Nasdaq Struggles: In contrast, the Nasdaq Composite ended the week down 1.8%, despite a strong rally on Friday.
- Strike Authorization Vote: Following unsuccessful negotiations with BP, 98% of the 800 workers represented by the local USW union voted to authorize a strike, reflecting strong dissatisfaction and a demand for a fair contract.
- Negotiation Breakdown: Negotiations that began on January 5 failed to reach a new agreement by the January 31 deadline, as BP rejected nearly all proposals, leaving workers anxious about job security and future terms.
- Union Leadership Statement: USW 7-1 President Eric Schultz stated that while workers are ready to strike, the union will continue to bargain in good faith, emphasizing the importance of unity in demanding a fair contract for all members.
- Refinery Impact: BP's Whiting refinery in Indiana, the largest in the U.S. Midwest with a capacity of 440,000 barrels per day, produces essential transportation fuels including gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, and a strike could significantly disrupt fuel supply.
- Partner Search: BP is actively seeking a partner to enhance production at the Kirkuk oil field and share costs, with a process underway to identify potential investors, which will help alleviate BP's financial burden and improve project sustainability.
- Contract Context: The Kirkuk development contract signed last year is a key part of BP's efforts to boost earnings, with annual costs projected at approximately $1 billion over the 25-year contract period, significantly impacting BP's long-term financial performance.
- Middle East Strategy: The Middle East is one of BP's top-producing regions; in addition to Kirkuk, BP operates Iraq's largest oil field, Rumaila, in the south, further solidifying BP's market position in the region.
- Production Increase Plan: BP's plan to nearly double Kirkuk's production aligns with Iraq's ambition to raise its overall oil and gas output capacity to over 6 million barrels per day by 2029, highlighting BP's proactive role in the global energy market.
- Quarterly Profit Decline: Shell reported adjusted earnings of $3.26 billion for Q4, missing analyst expectations of $3.53 billion, indicating significant profit pressure due to a weaker crude price environment and unfavorable tax adjustments, marking the lowest quarterly performance since Q1 2021.
- Weak Annual Performance: For the full year 2025, Shell's adjusted earnings were $18.5 billion, a notable decline from $23.72 billion the previous year, reflecting the challenges of the market environment and weakening profitability, which may impact future investment decisions.
- Shareholder Return Initiatives: The company announced a 4% increase in its dividend to $0.372 per share and initiated a $3.5 billion share buyback program, marking the 17th consecutive quarter of buybacks exceeding $3 billion, aimed at boosting shareholder confidence and stabilizing stock prices.
- Rising Debt Levels: As of the end of last year, Shell's net debt stood at $45.7 billion with a gearing ratio of 20.7%, an increase from $41.2 billion and 18.8% in Q3, indicating financial pressure amidst declining earnings.
- Earnings Beat: Shell has exceeded earnings expectations in five of the last eight quarters, notably reporting $5.4 billion in Q3 last year, surpassing the $5.1 billion forecast, highlighting its operational resilience amid falling oil prices.
- Share Buyback Program: The company has announced over $3 billion in share buybacks for 16 consecutive quarters, establishing itself as a best-in-class performer in capital discipline, despite the challenges posed by declining crude prices.
- Cost Control Targets: Shell raised its cost reduction target from $2-3 billion to $5-7 billion by 2028 and lowered its capital expenditure target from $22-25 billion to $20-22 billion, indicating a strong focus on maintaining financial health in a volatile market.
- Investment Enthusiasm in Nigeria: Shell's investments in Nigeria have reached $5 billion, including the Bonga North deepwater project and HI gas field, reflecting a strategic pivot towards the region that could enhance its global energy market position.










