Allegro Microsystems to Announce Strong Q3 Earnings on January 29
Allegro Microsystems Inc. shares rose by 6.49% as the stock crossed above its 5-day SMA, reflecting positive market sentiment ahead of its upcoming earnings report.
The company is set to announce its Q3 2023 earnings on January 29, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.14, indicating a 100% year-over-year increase. Additionally, Allegro anticipates Q3 revenues between $215 million and $225 million, representing a 24.2% year-over-year growth, driven by momentum in the automotive and data center sectors. The company's historical performance shows it has consistently beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time, showcasing strong market confidence.
This upcoming earnings report is expected to further solidify Allegro's reputation for strong profitability and growth, particularly in the automotive and data center markets, which are critical for its future performance.
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- Microsoft Stock Plunge: Microsoft shares fell 12%, marking the largest single-day drop since March 2020, as investors expressed concerns over slowing Azure cloud growth and cautious guidance, resulting in a market cap loss of approximately $400 billion.
- Tech Sector Decline: The Nasdaq 100 dropped 1.6% and the S&P 500 fell 1%, reflecting weakened market confidence in tech stocks, particularly amid questions regarding the pace of AI monetization following Microsoft's results.
- IBM's Strong Performance: International Business Machines Corp. saw a 6% increase in stock price after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results and guidance, standing out as one of the few bright spots in a weak session for large-cap tech stocks.
- Commodity Market Fluctuations: Gold prices tumbled 3% to $5,250 and silver slid 4% to $112, while copper rose 2.5% to a record $6.20 per pound and WTI crude climbed 3.5% to $65 per barrel, indicating a divergence in commodity market trends.
- Sales Performance Exceeds Expectations: Allegro MicroSystems reported Q3 sales of $229 million, surpassing the high end of guidance and reflecting a 29% year-over-year growth, indicating strong demand in the electric vehicle and data center sectors.
- Significant Design Wins: In the automotive sector, E-Mobility continues to lead growth with multiple key design wins in Q3, particularly in ADAS systems, highlighting the company's strengthening competitive advantage in future markets.
- Innovative Product Launch: The introduction of a new current sensor IC that reduces power-related losses by up to 90% not only enhances power density in xEV and data center applications but also has the potential to drive future sales growth.
- Optimistic Outlook: Management expects Q4 sales to range between $230 million and $240 million, representing a 22% year-over-year increase, while maintaining gross margins between 49% and 51%, demonstrating confidence in future growth.
- Earnings Beat: Allegro MicroSystems reported a Q3 non-GAAP EPS of $0.15, beating expectations by $0.01, indicating robust profitability growth amid a competitive landscape.
- Significant Revenue Growth: The company achieved Q3 revenue of $229.21 million, reflecting a 28.8% year-over-year increase and surpassing market expectations by $8.34 million, showcasing strong demand in its sector.
- Optimistic Outlook: For Q4, Allegro expects net sales between $230 million and $240 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $227.04 million, which underscores confidence in continued growth.
- Cost Control Challenges: While gross margin is projected between 49% and 51%, operating expenses are expected to rise by approximately 3% to $81 million, primarily due to annual payroll tax resets, which may exert pressure on profitability.
- Earnings Announcement: Allegro MicroSystems is set to announce its Q3 2023 earnings on January 29 before market open, with a consensus EPS estimate of $0.14, reflecting a 100% year-over-year increase, indicating strong profitability.
- Revenue Growth Expectations: The company anticipates Q3 revenues between $215 million and $225 million, representing a 24.2% year-over-year growth, driven by momentum in the automotive and data center sectors.
- Historical Performance: Over the past two years, Allegro has consistently beaten EPS estimates 100% of the time and revenue estimates 75% of the time, showcasing its stable performance and market confidence.
- Estimates Revision Trend: In the last three months, EPS estimates have seen 8 upward revisions and 2 downward, while revenue estimates have experienced 9 upward revisions with no downward adjustments, reflecting analysts' optimistic outlook on the company's future performance.
- Market Growth Potential: According to MarketsandMarkets.com, the generative AI market is projected to surge from $71.4 billion in 2025 to $890.6 billion by 2032, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 43.4%, indicating significant investment opportunities in this sector.
- ETF Investment Options: Investors can gain diversified exposure to generative AI-related companies through thematic ETFs like the VanEck Semiconductor ETF, which holds 25 semiconductor firms, with the top five holdings comprising nearly half of the fund's weight, providing quick access to industry leaders.
- Broad Semiconductor Coverage: The State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF offers a balanced investment in 43 companies, aiming to mitigate risks from large firms through an equal-weight strategy, and has shown a robust 41% increase over the past 12 months, indicating solid return potential.
- Focus on U.S. Market: The iShares Semiconductor ETF concentrates on U.S. semiconductor companies, holding 31 firms, and has risen 56% in the past year, with an expense ratio of 0.34%, making it an attractive option for investors looking to minimize foreign exposure.

- Balanced Supply-Demand: BofA analyst Vivek Arya indicates that the U.S. semiconductor sector is entering a balanced phase, with expectations for modest earnings rebounds in 2026, reflecting improved sentiment around analog semiconductor stocks.
- Positive Corporate Performance: Positive guidance from companies like Microchip Technology has driven a sharp rise in analog semiconductor stocks early in 2026, with Arya expecting fourth-quarter results to meet or slightly exceed expectations, alongside upward revisions for first-quarter guidance.
- Selective Investment Strategy: Given the uncertain macro environment, Arya recommends focusing on analog semiconductor firms with strong free cash flow and attractive valuations, with Analog Devices as a top pick due to its robust performance in AI and aerospace and defense markets.
- Macro Challenges Persist: Despite the positive industry outlook, Arya cautions that the macroeconomic backdrop remains stable but not improving, with tariff uncertainties and global PMIs below 50 potentially delaying a stronger demand recovery.








