Walmart Shares Rise Following Major US-India Trade Agreement
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Feb 03 2026
0mins
Should l Buy WMT?
Source: Fool
- Stock Price Surge: Walmart (WMT) shares rose over 4% on Monday, closing at $124.08, reflecting market optimism regarding the US-India trade agreement and investor confidence in the company's growth prospects.
- Trade Agreement Impact: The trade deal between the US and India will reduce tariffs on each other's exports, with Indian Prime Minister Modi pledging to purchase more American goods, creating significant business growth opportunities for retailers like Walmart with substantial exposure to the Indian market.
- Supply Chain Strategy: Walmart has shifted more of its supply chain operations to India in recent years to reduce dependence on China, aiming to source $10 billion worth of goods from India by 2027, demonstrating its adaptability and responsiveness in global supply chain management.
- E-commerce Investment Returns: Walmart holds approximately 80% equity in the Indian e-commerce platform Flipkart, having invested around $16 billion since 2018, and is expected to enhance its competitiveness and profitability in the market as India's economy expands.
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Analyst Views on WMT
Wall Street analysts forecast WMT stock price to fall
26 Analyst Rating
25 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 133.640
Low
119.00
Averages
125.75
High
136.00
Current: 133.640
Low
119.00
Averages
125.75
High
136.00
About WMT
Walmart Inc. is a technology-powered omnichannel retailer. The Company is engaged in the operation of retail and wholesale stores and clubs, as well as eCommerce Websites and mobile applications, located throughout the United States (U.S.), Africa, Canada, Central America, Chile, China, India and Mexico. It operates in three reportable segments: Walmart U.S., Walmart International and Sam's Club U.S. The Walmart U.S. segment includes the Company's mass merchandising concept in the U.S., as well as eCommerce, which includes omni-channel initiatives and certain other business offerings such as advertising services. The Walmart International segment consists of the Company's operations outside of the U.S. through its subsidiaries, as well as eCommerce and omni-channel initiatives. The Sam's Club U.S. segment includes the warehouse membership clubs in the U.S., as well as samsclub.com and omni-channel initiatives.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
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- Analyst Upgrades: Several analysts have raised Walmart's price targets, with Oppenheimer expecting fourth-quarter holiday sales to come in at the high end of Walmart's projected growth range, further boosting the stock price.
- Market Share Expansion: Walmart has successfully attracted higher-income shoppers by enhancing online and in-store pickup services, modernizing stores, and broadening brand selections, thereby increasing its competitive edge and encroaching on rival Target's market share.
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- Earnings Release Schedule: Palo Alto is set to release its earnings report after market close on Tuesday, followed by Booking and Walmart on Wednesday and Thursday respectively, with the market closely monitoring these companies' financial results to assess future growth potential.
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- Banking Services: Most commercial banks, including JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Capital One, are closed today following the Federal Reserve's holiday schedule, although online banking and ATM services remain operational, with transactions likely delayed until the next business day.
- Postal Service Suspension: The U.S. Postal Service has suspended regular mail delivery and closed all retail post office locations today, while private carriers continue to operate, highlighting the operational differences in public services during holidays.
- Retail Promotions: Many department stores are leveraging Presidents' Day for significant sales, particularly in furniture and appliances, aiming to attract consumers and boost sales, reflecting retailers' strategic approaches during holiday periods.
See More
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- Operational Efficiency Gains: With over 1 million robots deployed in its distribution centers and coordinated by the DeepFleet AI model, Amazon has not only increased delivery speed but also significantly enhanced operational efficiency, driving sales growth.
- Advertising Revenue Surge: Amazon's high-margin sponsored ad business saw a 22% revenue increase last quarter, becoming a key driver of its operating income growth and further solidifying its leading position in the global digital advertising space.
- Cloud Computing Market Leadership: Holding the number one market share in cloud computing, Amazon's revenue growth reached 24% in Q4, the highest in over three years, indicating its commitment to invest $200 billion in capital expenditures to meet the booming demand for AI infrastructure.
See More
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- Strong Stock Performance: Walmart's stock has surged approximately 20% year-to-date, reaching an adjusted all-time high, and has gained nearly 29% over the past 12 months, indicating robust market performance that attracts investor interest.
- Analyst Optimism: Analysts at Oppenheimer expect Walmart's fourth-quarter holiday sales to come in at the high end of the projected growth range of 3.75% to 4.75%, reflecting market confidence in its sales performance, which could further boost the stock price.
- Market Share Expansion: Walmart has successfully attracted higher-income consumers through modernized stores and online pickup services, enhancing its position in the competitive retail market and encroaching on rival Target's market share.
- Valuation Risks Emerge: Despite Walmart reaching a $1 trillion market cap, its price-to-earnings ratio stands at 45, the highest since 2021, indicating that the stock may be overvalued, prompting investors to carefully consider their buying timing.
See More
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- Stock Surge: Walmart's stock has surged approximately 20% this year, reaching an all-time high and surpassing a $1 trillion market cap, making it the 12th company to achieve this milestone, indicating strong performance in the retail sector.
- Analyst Upgrades: Several analysts have raised Walmart's price targets, with Oppenheimer expecting fourth-quarter holiday sales to hit the high end of the projected growth range of 3.75% to 4.75%, reflecting market optimism about its sales outlook.
- Customer Base Expansion: Walmart has successfully attracted higher-income shoppers while maintaining its traditional budget-conscious clientele, enhancing its market competitiveness through modernized stores and online pickup services, thereby encroaching on rival Target's market share.
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See More
