Will Usiminas' Write-Down and Diminished Outlook Alter Ternium's (TX) Investment Story?
Written by Emily J. Thompson, Senior Investment Analyst
Updated: Oct 30 2025
0mins
Should l Buy TX?
Source: Yahoo Finance
Ternium's Financial Results: Ternium S.A. reported third-quarter 2025 sales of US$3.96 billion and a net loss of US$270 million, largely due to a US$405 million write-down of deferred tax assets at Usiminas, alongside weaker revenue and earnings compared to the previous year.
Dividend and Future Outlook: The company announced a US$0.90 per ADS interim dividend, reaffirming its commitment to shareholder returns despite near-term profitability pressures, while forecasting $18.4 billion in revenue and $828.7 million in earnings by 2028.
Investment Considerations: Investors are encouraged to assess Ternium's ability to navigate challenges such as global steel oversupply and margin pressures, which could impact free cash flow and capital project returns, while also considering varying fair value estimates for the stock.
Research and Analysis: Simply Wall St provides a comprehensive analysis of Ternium's financial health, highlighting key rewards and risks, and emphasizes the importance of independent research in making investment decisions.
Trade with 70% Backtested Accuracy
Stop guessing "Should I Buy TX?" and start using high-conviction signals backed by rigorous historical data.
Sign up today to access powerful investing tools and make smarter, data-driven decisions.
Analyst Views on TX
Wall Street analysts forecast TX stock price to fall
4 Analyst Rating
3 Buy
1 Hold
0 Sell
Strong Buy
Current: 44.710
Low
39.00
Averages
40.13
High
41.00
Current: 44.710
Low
39.00
Averages
40.13
High
41.00
About TX
Ternium S.A. is a producer of steel products. The Company produces finished and semi-finished steel products and iron ore, which are sold either directly to steel manufacturers, steel processors or end users. The Company operates through two segments: Steel and Mining. The Steel segment includes the sales of steel products, and the Mining segment includes the sales of iron ore products, which are primarily inter-company. The Steel segment comprises three operating segments: Mexico, the Southern Region, and Other Markets. In the steel segment, steel products include slabs, billets, and round bars (steel in its basic, semi-finished state), hot-rolled coils and sheets, bars and stirrups, wire rods, cold-rolled coils and sheets, tin plate, hot dipped galvanized and electrogalvanized sheets and pre-painted sheets, steel pipes and tubular products, beams, roll-formed products, and other products. In the mining segment, iron ore is sold as concentrates (fines) and pellets.
About the author
Emily J. Thompson
Emily J. Thompson, a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) with 12 years in investment research, graduated with honors from the Wharton School. Specializing in industrial and technology stocks, she provides in-depth analysis for Intellectia’s earnings and market brief reports.
Exploring Undervalued Potential Stocks
- Investment Opportunities: Analyst Tyler Crowe emphasizes that while many investors focus on large companies, significant investment opportunities still exist within smaller firms, particularly those that are not widely recognized.
- Market Potential: Crowe points out that certain lesser-known stocks could evolve into larger businesses in the future, suggesting that investors willing to look beyond mainstream options may reap substantial rewards.
- Investment Strategy: By focusing on these undervalued stocks, investors can uncover unique opportunities in a competitive market, thereby enhancing portfolio diversification and potential returns.
- Long-Term Perspective: Crowe's analysis indicates that while these stocks may not be valued in the short term, they have the potential to become market leaders in the long run, making them worthy of investor attention.
See More
POSCO Holdings Partners with Yaskawa Electric to Enhance Automation in Mobility Parts Production
- Agreement Signing: POSCO Mobility Solutions, Yaskawa Electric, and POSCO DX signed a tripartite agreement on January 14 in Cheonan to accelerate advanced automation in global mobility parts operations, enhancing production efficiency.
- Robotic System Introduction: The new system will support the production of drive motor cores, expected to improve safety, reduce manual workload, and boost production speed, aiding the manufacturing of critical components for electric and hybrid vehicles.
- International Expansion: The automation rollout will cover plants in Cheonan and Pohang, as well as international facilities in Poland, Mexico, and India, further enhancing POSCO's competitiveness in the global market.
- Technical Integration and Support: POSCO DX will oversee system design and integration to ensure seamless compatibility with existing production lines, while Yaskawa will provide high-precision robots and technical support, facilitating the company's transition to intelligent factories.
See More
Ternium S.A. (TX) Stock Gains 14.3% Over 12 Weeks Indicating Strong Momentum
- Significant Price Momentum: Ternium S.A.'s stock has increased by 4.8% over the past four weeks, reflecting growing investor interest and enhancing market expectations for its future performance.
- Long-Term Return Potential: The stock has gained 14.3% over the past 12 weeks, demonstrating its capability as a momentum stock and indicating strong resilience amid market volatility.
- Excellent Momentum Score: Ternium S.A. currently holds a Momentum Score of A, suggesting that entering the stock in the current market environment has a high probability of success, enabling investors to capitalize on rapid growth opportunities.
- Valuation Advantage: With a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.51, investors only need to pay 51 cents for each dollar of sales, indicating that the stock possesses good investment value while exhibiting strong momentum.
See More
Sonoco Products Co Upgraded to Buy with $60 Price Target by Analyst
- Dividend Appeal: Sonoco Products Co boasts a 4.65% dividend yield, attracting investors seeking stable returns during market turbulence, which highlights the company's strong free cash flow and commitment to shareholder rewards.
- Rating Upgrade: Analyst George Staphos from B of A Securities upgraded Sonoco from Neutral to Buy on January 5, 2026, raising the price target from $56 to $60, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance.
- Market Reaction: Following the analyst upgrade, Sonoco's stock price showed an upward trend, indicating market recognition of its growth potential, which may attract more investor interest.
- Recent Transaction: On November 3, Sonoco completed the sale of its ThermoSafe unit, further optimizing its asset portfolio, which is expected to enhance the company's financial flexibility and competitive position in the market.
See More
Ternium's Credit Strength Transforms Cyclical Business into Durable Investment
- Credit Advantage: Ternium, as a leading steel producer in Latin America, showcases strong credit strength characterized by low leverage and ample liquidity, allowing it to invest during industry downturns and protect shareholder value.
- Value Investment: Ternium trades at earnings and cash flow multiples below normalized cycle peaks, reflecting persistent skepticism towards the steel industry, yet improved industry discipline lays the groundwork for future growth.
- Momentum Recovery: With stabilized pricing and recovered volumes, Ternium's stock is firmly in an intermediate and long-term uptrend, indicating increasing market recognition of its value.
- Market Positioning: Ternium's geographic exposure in Mexico and South America enables it to effectively meet infrastructure, automotive, and industrial demand, further solidifying its market leadership.
See More
Steel Dynamics Anticipates Decreased Q4 Earnings Due to Seasonal Factors
Earnings Guidance: Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) has projected fourth-quarter 2025 earnings per share between $1.65 and $1.69, an increase from $1.36 in Q4 2024, but a decline from $2.74 in Q3 2025 due to seasonal demand and operational challenges.
Operational Challenges: The anticipated decrease in profitability is attributed to lower steel prices, reduced shipment volumes, and production curtailments from maintenance outages, impacting the company's steel operations.
Future Outlook: Despite current challenges, Steel Dynamics reports steady order activity and a strong backlog, with expectations for improved volumes as interest rates may decline and infrastructure spending increases.
Stock Performance: STLD shares have risen 38.7% over the past six months, outperforming the industry average of 36%, while the company continues to invest in growth through stock repurchases and new facility developments.
See More
Exploring Undervalued Potential Stocks
- Investment Opportunities: Analyst Tyler Crowe emphasizes that while many investors focus on large companies, significant investment opportunities still exist within smaller firms, particularly those that are not widely recognized.
- Market Potential: Crowe points out that certain lesser-known stocks could evolve into larger businesses in the future, suggesting that investors willing to look beyond mainstream options may reap substantial rewards.
- Investment Strategy: By focusing on these undervalued stocks, investors can uncover unique opportunities in a competitive market, thereby enhancing portfolio diversification and potential returns.
- Long-Term Perspective: Crowe's analysis indicates that while these stocks may not be valued in the short term, they have the potential to become market leaders in the long run, making them worthy of investor attention.
See More
POSCO Holdings Partners with Yaskawa Electric to Enhance Automation in Mobility Parts Production
- Agreement Signing: POSCO Mobility Solutions, Yaskawa Electric, and POSCO DX signed a tripartite agreement on January 14 in Cheonan to accelerate advanced automation in global mobility parts operations, enhancing production efficiency.
- Robotic System Introduction: The new system will support the production of drive motor cores, expected to improve safety, reduce manual workload, and boost production speed, aiding the manufacturing of critical components for electric and hybrid vehicles.
- International Expansion: The automation rollout will cover plants in Cheonan and Pohang, as well as international facilities in Poland, Mexico, and India, further enhancing POSCO's competitiveness in the global market.
- Technical Integration and Support: POSCO DX will oversee system design and integration to ensure seamless compatibility with existing production lines, while Yaskawa will provide high-precision robots and technical support, facilitating the company's transition to intelligent factories.
See More
Ternium S.A. (TX) Stock Gains 14.3% Over 12 Weeks Indicating Strong Momentum
- Significant Price Momentum: Ternium S.A.'s stock has increased by 4.8% over the past four weeks, reflecting growing investor interest and enhancing market expectations for its future performance.
- Long-Term Return Potential: The stock has gained 14.3% over the past 12 weeks, demonstrating its capability as a momentum stock and indicating strong resilience amid market volatility.
- Excellent Momentum Score: Ternium S.A. currently holds a Momentum Score of A, suggesting that entering the stock in the current market environment has a high probability of success, enabling investors to capitalize on rapid growth opportunities.
- Valuation Advantage: With a Price-to-Sales ratio of 0.51, investors only need to pay 51 cents for each dollar of sales, indicating that the stock possesses good investment value while exhibiting strong momentum.
See More
Sonoco Products Co Upgraded to Buy with $60 Price Target by Analyst
- Dividend Appeal: Sonoco Products Co boasts a 4.65% dividend yield, attracting investors seeking stable returns during market turbulence, which highlights the company's strong free cash flow and commitment to shareholder rewards.
- Rating Upgrade: Analyst George Staphos from B of A Securities upgraded Sonoco from Neutral to Buy on January 5, 2026, raising the price target from $56 to $60, reflecting confidence in the company's future performance.
- Market Reaction: Following the analyst upgrade, Sonoco's stock price showed an upward trend, indicating market recognition of its growth potential, which may attract more investor interest.
- Recent Transaction: On November 3, Sonoco completed the sale of its ThermoSafe unit, further optimizing its asset portfolio, which is expected to enhance the company's financial flexibility and competitive position in the market.
See More
Ternium's Credit Strength Transforms Cyclical Business into Durable Investment
- Credit Advantage: Ternium, as a leading steel producer in Latin America, showcases strong credit strength characterized by low leverage and ample liquidity, allowing it to invest during industry downturns and protect shareholder value.
- Value Investment: Ternium trades at earnings and cash flow multiples below normalized cycle peaks, reflecting persistent skepticism towards the steel industry, yet improved industry discipline lays the groundwork for future growth.
- Momentum Recovery: With stabilized pricing and recovered volumes, Ternium's stock is firmly in an intermediate and long-term uptrend, indicating increasing market recognition of its value.
- Market Positioning: Ternium's geographic exposure in Mexico and South America enables it to effectively meet infrastructure, automotive, and industrial demand, further solidifying its market leadership.
See More
Steel Dynamics Anticipates Decreased Q4 Earnings Due to Seasonal Factors
Earnings Guidance: Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) has projected fourth-quarter 2025 earnings per share between $1.65 and $1.69, an increase from $1.36 in Q4 2024, but a decline from $2.74 in Q3 2025 due to seasonal demand and operational challenges.
Operational Challenges: The anticipated decrease in profitability is attributed to lower steel prices, reduced shipment volumes, and production curtailments from maintenance outages, impacting the company's steel operations.
Future Outlook: Despite current challenges, Steel Dynamics reports steady order activity and a strong backlog, with expectations for improved volumes as interest rates may decline and infrastructure spending increases.
Stock Performance: STLD shares have risen 38.7% over the past six months, outperforming the industry average of 36%, while the company continues to invest in growth through stock repurchases and new facility developments.
See More
